Cards -140
Brewers -140
Diamondbacks/Braves over 7.5 -115
Phillies/Nats under 8.5 -110
gone 5-0 on posted plays the last two days. Don't really like playing as much juice as I do on brewers and cards but the stats look like they both have a pretty significant edge.
Don't like the over and under plays.. I think there's value on Brewers but am going to cap other games.. Too much juice! I don't like Garcia 0-3 in the last 3 games with a 6.0 ERA. I only like the brewers on here..
cubs only won 2 of the last nine against cards and both games were against westbrook. Garcia has kept the cubs to one run the last two times he's faced them. Cards coming of a series loss to the Bucs and will be looking to get a strong start this series.
In the last 4 year Oswalt has face the nats 4 times the nats have scored 2,2,1 & 0. Of course this isn't really the main concern it really is if philly breaks out the bats. I think you always run that risk playing the under on teams like philly, texas etc. but philly have shown recently their bats can go quiet for a full game. Philly only scored 2 runs against hernandez when they last faced him and kept them to 5,4 and 4 the three previous games this year. Obviously hoping for a worse a 5-2 game as to hit the over one of these pitchers will have to have their worst outing in their last 4 games which obviously isn't unthinkable I just think I'm getting a fair price on this not happening. I'm aware the sample size of these stats isn't huge but it's recent form and I"m going with it.
Over is 7-1 in Zona's last 8 friday games and 9-2 last 11 games when the dbacks were a dog, over is 12-4 in atlantas last 16 and 8-3 in the last 11 times these teams have met. Over is 3-0 in both pitchers last 3 starts Lowe has an era of 7.88 in his last 3. Arizona hit 7 last time they faced Lowe, Hudson gascanned against houstons AAA offence for 9 runs I'm comfortable playing an over of 7.5 here.
And you like the brewers so no explanation necessary
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