1. #1
    Tebowl
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    I have the Twins +183

    what do you guys think? good value tonight, right?!

  2. #2
    Tebowl
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    anyone else have the Twins tonight? sick play, so sick

  3. #3
    HoulihansTX
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    Blackburn is due to have an @least "average" game.

  4. #4
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Blackburn is due to have an @least "average" game.

    The Twins 51-65 record is not accurate... they SHOULD be at least .500, but theyre not...which means their due!!!! lol

  5. #5
    Duvel
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    I have Redsox on a parlay.

  6. #6
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duvel View Post
    I have Redsox on a parlay.
    well i guess one of us aint gonna hit then , huh? gl anyways !!!!

  7. #7
    wakeboardr886
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    There is a good chance min can't be swept at home

  8. #8
    KJ CottonChopper
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    I'm pulling for ya, Good luck with your plays!!!

  9. #9
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by wakeboardr886 View Post
    there is a good chance min can't be swept at home

    anytime the twins are underdog worse than +150, i take them.

  10. #10
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    anytime the twins are underdog worse than +150, i take them.
    ***************@ home i meant

  11. #11
    Tebowl
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    you never want to sweep the twins @ home.... ballplayers, esp. the twins, have long memories and they're gonna throw at the red sox if not this year next. lol i duno go twins!

  12. #12
    brahmabull117
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    absolutely terrible play



    the red sox are vastly superior on offense, bullpen and even the starting pitcher matchup is extremely lopsided. Lester is a hell of a lot better than that clown Nick Blackburn



    what makes you want to play a team on a nasty losing streak against the best team in the AL with the best road record in the majors anyways??? there are wayyyyyy better plays on the board

  13. #13
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    absolutely terrible play



    the red sox are vastly superior on offense, bullpen and even the starting pitcher matchup is extremely lopsided

    you can get to lester on the road.

  14. #14
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    you can get to lester on the road.



    Lester is 8-1 on the road with a 2.75 era



    again, this is an absolutely terrible play

  15. #15
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post



    Lester is 8-1 on the road with a 2.75 era



    again, this is an absolutely terrible play

    Whatever bro.... GO TWINS!!!!

  16. #16
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    Whatever bro.... GO TWINS!!!!


    this is how you becoming an excellent sports gambler - by ignoring all logic, research, stats and analysis and playing a game based on nothing but emotion






  17. #17
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    this is how you becoming an excellent sports gambler - by ignoring all logic, research, stats and analysis and playing a game based on nothing but emotion






    The only time you expect the unexpected is during a sports game? theres no logic in sports whatsoever thats why I suck at it, you cant predict the unpredictable....thats why I am thoroughly impressed when someone says "i'm good at sports betting"....cuz its the hardest thing ever.

  18. #18
    Tebowl
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    Let's be honest here, I'm not retarded, and I'm actually suggesting that you bet against the 72-43 red sox? thats the dumbest idea ever, but it'll work more often than +183 says it will. i DONT THINK THE tWINS are gonna win at all, because I dont know whos going to win.... if i knew, I wouldnt post about it here at sbr.

  19. #19
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    The only time you expect the unexpected is during a sports game? theres no logic in sports whatsoever thats why I suck at it, you cant predict the unpredictable....thats why I am thoroughly impressed when someone says "i'm good at sports betting"....cuz its the hardest thing ever.


    there's nothing difficult about betting. You gotta find matchups where the expected outcome is different than the line set by vegas and maximize on that difference



    my record since I started gambling on baseball (just a week and a half ago)



    7/30/11 Brewers - 1.5 - WIN
    7/31/11 Yankees - 1.5 - WIN
    7/31/11 Brewers/Cards ML parlay - LOSS
    8/1/11 Yankees - 185 - WIN
    8/2/11 Red sox - 1.5 - LOSS
    8/3/11 Yankees - 118 - WIN
    8/3/11 Phillies - 1.5 - WIN
    8/4/11 Yankees - 120 - WIN
    8/5/11 Angels - 250 - WIN
    8/6/11 CHI/CIN U 7.5 - LOSS
    8/6/11 Twins + 105 for series - LOSS
    8/6/11 Detroit - 189 - WIN
    8/7/11 Padres - 124 - WIN
    8/7/11 Red Sox - 167 - WIN
    8/8/11 Arizona - 180 - LOSS
    8/9/11 Rangers - 190 - WIN
    8/9/11 Red sox for Series - 155 - WIN


    That's a 12-5 record there, some decent size favorites there but that's still a terrific record with all things being considered (especially being my first 2 weeks of gambling in baseball ever)

  20. #20
    Tebowl
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    I know people in Mexico who think MLB is rigged, every game, every night. Thats the only thing to me that is not possible, lets put it that way....you cant rig MLB games, it's pure insanity

  21. #21
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    Let's be honest here, I'm not retarded, and I'm actually suggesting that you bet against the 72-43 red sox? thats the dumbest idea ever, but it'll work more often than +183 says it will. i DONT THINK THE tWINS are gonna win at all, because I dont know whos going to win.... if i knew, I wouldnt post about it here at sbr.


    realistically speaking, twins have maybe a 15-20% chance of winning this game




    they are massively outmatched on offense, starting pitching matchup and bullpen. On top of that, they are playing with zero confidence right now against the best team in the AL playing with all the confidence in the world

  22. #22
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    there's nothing difficult about betting. You gotta find matchups where the expected outcome is different than the line set by vegas and maximize on that difference



    my record since I started gambling on baseball (just a week and a half ago)



    7/30/11 Brewers - 1.5 - WIN
    7/31/11 Yankees - 1.5 - WIN
    7/31/11 Brewers/Cards ML parlay - LOSS
    8/1/11 Yankees - 185 - WIN
    8/2/11 Red sox - 1.5 - LOSS
    8/3/11 Yankees - 118 - WIN
    8/3/11 Phillies - 1.5 - WIN
    8/4/11 Yankees - 120 - WIN
    8/5/11 Angels - 250 - WIN
    8/6/11 CHI/CIN U 7.5 - LOSS
    8/6/11 Twins + 105 for series - LOSS
    8/6/11 Detroit - 189 - WIN
    8/7/11 Padres - 124 - WIN
    8/7/11 Red Sox - 167 - WIN
    8/8/11 Arizona - 180 - LOSS
    8/9/11 Rangers - 190 - WIN
    8/9/11 Red sox for Series - 155 - WIN


    That's a 12-5 record there, some decent size favorites there but that's still a terrific record with all things being considered (especially being my first 2 weeks of gambling in baseball ever)

    Just by your record I see that you're not betting like I bet. When you only have $50 on a sportsbook account and make an all-in decision, there's a 90% chance yur gonna do something REALLY dumb (alternate line, run line, first 5), much less win, and if you do win, you'll lose it later on cuz yur making decisions based on nothing. Thats why I never win, because I am never in the right frame of mind while betting.... the smart thing to do , and the only way to beat sports betting long term.... is to bet no more than 4% of your roll on a game, NO PARLAYS... boom, a winner, but its not that easy to do ive tried it, it gets really boring really fast, what they call, a grind. so you start looking for action, and you find it pretty quick, but it gets out of hand even quicker.

  23. #23
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    realistically speaking, twins have maybe a 15-20% chance of winning this game




    they are massively outmatched on offense, starting pitching matchup and bullpen. On top of that, they are playing with zero confidence right now against the best team in the AL playing with all the confidence in the world
    dude if the red sox win I wont care at all, thats what everyone expects.

  24. #24
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    Just by your record I see that you're not betting like I bet. When you only have $50 on a sportsbook account and make an all-in decision, there's a 90% chance yur gonna do something REALLY dumb (alternate line, run line, first 5), much less win, and if you do win, you'll lose it later on cuz yur making decisions based on nothing. Thats why I never win, because I am never in the right frame of mind while betting.... the smart thing to do , and the only way to beat sports betting long term.... is to bet no more than 4% of your roll on a game, NO PARLAYS... boom, a winner, but its not that easy to do ive tried it, it gets really boring really fast, what they call, a grind. so you start looking for action, and you find it pretty quick, but it gets out of hand even quicker.


    I actually bet about 20% of my bankroll on every game, sometimes even more



    I'm just so confident that I'm gonna win a huge percentage of my bets that I have no problem doing that




    sports gambling is about logical analysis brah, make picks based on good logic and research and you will make money

  25. #25
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    dude if the red sox win I wont care at all, thats what everyone expects.
    also consider the fact I'm betting at freesportsbet.com... this means nothing to me.

  26. #26
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    I actually bet about 20% of my bankroll on every game, sometimes even more



    I'm just so confident that I'm gonna win a huge percentage of my bets that I have no problem doing that




    sports gambling is about logical analysis brah, make picks based on good logic and research and you will make money

    Whatever works I guess, but to me, if you're beating MLB with ease? try it again next year, and if you still beat it, try it one more year, guarantee you'll bust in that 3 year span. GUARANTEE IT

  27. #27
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tebowl View Post
    also consider the fact I'm betting at freesportsbet.com... this means nothing to me.

    brah I'm one of the best bettors on this site, I'm trying to give you my strategies so you can make money gambling!!


    I took a 300 dollar bankroll and turned it into 1700 in a little over a week, I'm gonna turn that into 3 Gs by end of next week



    let me know if you want to instant message or something and I'll turn you into a betting winner as well

  28. #28
    Tebowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    brah I'm one of the best bettors on this site, I'm trying to give you my strategies so you can make money gambling!!

    I dont want to make money gambling... I do it for fun.

  29. #29
    Tebowl
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    now if I hit a parlay or go on a streak, I do cash out... cuz I do like to win, but I dont try to

  30. #30
    Tebowl
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    c'mon guys you know that you only get something when you dont want it...thats my strategy in sports, do the most insane thing i can think of and see what happens next and go from there

  31. #31
    Tebowl
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    i'll tell you what though, winning money and cashing out is the greatest thing ever assuming the book youre using is oging to pay you.. mm mmmmm nothin better i swear

  32. #32
    Tebowl
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    this is the best time of year right now, right before football season, just gotta get thru pre-season then I plan on hammering the books with 10 point 3 team NFL teasers only. Simply because I cannot win anything else.

  33. #33
    Tebowl
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    the problem is, and they call it the sweethear teaser i believe.... the problem is I dont always hit teasers....i only hit 75% of the time, so its not a guarntee that I win those either.

  34. #34
    Tebowl
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    The books always find a way.....bottom line....GO TWINS!!... later guys

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