First off, I realize that the over/under is 11 for a reason and how high scoring games can be in Chicago when the wind is blowing out. Out of the last 9 meetings between these teams it has gone over 11 runs four times.
Some bookmarks also have the line at 11.5, and bookmarks aren't lowering the line even though 81% of the public are on the under which shows the oddsmakers are confident in the line they made.
However, I feel that 11 is pretty high for two respected pitches like Chacin (8-4, 2.71 ERA) vs. Garza (3-6, 4.11 ERA). Even though Garza has been pitching badly this year he is expected to get better as the season goes on. Also this is a make up game so Colorado didn't fly all the way to Chicago to play in a shit show. Just because the wind favors a lot of runs doesn't mean two good pitchers vs two mediocre offenses are going to produce over 11 runs. I would feel a lot different if it was Davis vs Cook but these are good pitchers. Lets not forget there is no DH in the NL and Garza and Chacin are easy outs. I think I like my chances with the under here.
1 unit on the Under of 11
I'm gonna start posting more of my plays bc I've been getting hot lately and wanna see if I continue my streak and get some followers