1. 06-24-11 12:25 PM #1
    mighty maron
    USA Bra over 2.5
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    Line still moving Boston ML tonight vs Pitt..why?

    How can anyone bet Boston and make money right now. They are so overvalued...-155 on the road against a young .500 team. What I dont get is that the line has been moving ML to -165 for Boston......

    Specualte why for me because I dont see this except the public is blindly pounding another meaningless regular season inter league game
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  2. 06-24-11 12:40 PM #2
    Lord and Master
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    Pretty easy to see why...Boston has one of the best offenses in the league, pittsburgh one of the bottom 5. Lester is one of the best pitchers in the league and Malhom is far below average
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  3. 06-24-11 12:42 PM #3
    leetreaper
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    Under 7.5 looks promicing there...
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  4. 06-24-11 12:43 PM #4
    cobeez
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    I think Boston wins this pretty handily. they will cover the over themselves in my opinion.
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  5. 06-24-11 12:59 PM #5
    RockyMiavia
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    Perception and I'm one of the those. In many games this year where I have seen boston offense exploded and score 7, 8 runs in 1 inning.
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  6. 06-24-11 01:06 PM #6
    gshock1
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    Boston just lost series vs. SD & going to be on the road for 9 games. They need to set a winning precedent and it starts tonight.
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  7. 06-24-11 01:16 PM #7
    HoulihansTX
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    Wait for the lineups fellas. This is Boston's first road interleague game, and it will be interesting to see what they do with Papi, and Gonzo
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  8. 06-24-11 01:26 PM #8
    bretb27
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    Sox will score at least 6 off Maholm and with lester in the 9 spot a lil small ball might even help contribute to that
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  9. 06-24-11 02:46 PM #9
    thebestthereis
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    papi will not be playing unless you think he will play first and gonzo will sit. if you think that then you are gonzo yourself.
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  10. 06-24-11 03:45 PM #10
    dudekid
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    Quote Originally Posted by thebestthereis View Post
    papi will not be playing unless you think he will play first and gonzo will sit. if you think that then you are gonzo yourself.
    i cant confirm this but papi is on my Fantasy team and ive been preparing for this lol 99.9% chance papi sits for gonzo
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  11. 06-24-11 03:49 PM #11
    LT Profits
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    Because 83% of all Money Line bets are on Boston through over 13.000 bets.
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  12. 06-24-11 03:51 PM #12
    Allure
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Because 83% of all Money Line bets are on Boston through over 13.000 bets.
    Where you got this information, esp. the amount of placed bets.
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  13. 06-24-11 03:55 PM #13
    HOT WINGS
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    Quote Originally Posted by Allure View Post
    Where you got this information, esp. the amount of placed bets.
    This is one place http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sport...-spy-insights/ Seeing 86% on Boston ML here. Websites will vary sometimes best to cross reference some.
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  14. 06-24-11 03:58 PM #14
    gshock1
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    Is Ortiz playing?
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  15. 06-24-11 04:02 PM #15
    Bald Bull
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post
    Pretty easy to see why...Boston has one of the best offenses in the league, pittsburgh one of the bottom 5. Lester is one of the best pitchers in the league and Malhom is far below average
    3.29 era this year

    1.86 last three starts

    2.12 at home

    far below average?

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  16. 06-24-11 04:07 PM #16
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bald Bull View Post
    3.29 era this year

    1.86 last three starts

    2.12 at home
    he has a SIERA(skill-interactive era) this season of 4.39 and it was worse last year. His ERA has been alot better than it should be, he has some serious regressing to do
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  17. 06-24-11 04:12 PM #17
    Bald Bull
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post
    he has a SIERA(skill-interactive era) this season of 4.39 and it was worse last year. His ERA has been alot better than it should be, he has some serious regressing to do
    i'm not saying he isn't pitching above his head, but to say he's 'far below average' is a stretch given some of the shit pitchers i've seen this year

    he's a pretty crafty lefty

    what are you playing?
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  18. 06-24-11 04:27 PM #18
    blanda
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    Pirates will win tonight...4-3...this is a huge game for the Bucs, and they will be ready...
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  19. 06-24-11 04:37 PM #19
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bald Bull View Post
    i'm not saying he isn't pitching above his head, but to say he's 'far below average' is a stretch given some of the shit pitchers i've seen this year
    i'm just going based on his body of work

    what are you playing?
    pirates
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  20. 06-24-11 04:43 PM #20
    Bald Bull
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post
    i'm just going based on his body of work



    pirates
    that's your only play?

    doesn't that contradict what you just posted?
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  21. 06-24-11 04:47 PM #21
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bald Bull View Post
    that's your only play?
    on this game

    doesn't that contradict what you just posted?
    no not at all. pirates are +150 home dogs that is a HUGE line. the pirates won't come close to winning this game more often than not and you don't need them to for it to be a profitable bet. As I've said a million times, being on the right side of a game is just not as simple as betting on great teams or great pitching and betting against awful teams or awful pitching
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  22. 06-24-11 05:30 PM #22
    Bald Bull
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post
    the pirates won't come close to winning this game more often than not and you don't need them to for it to be a profitable bet.
    what?
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  23. 06-24-11 05:37 PM #23
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Wait for the lineups fellas. This is Boston's first road interleague game, and it will be interesting to see what they do with Papi, and Gonzo

    exactly, every game this series either Sox lineup gonna be less intimidating or they gonna have huge holes in the D. Pit series price is tempting but think ill just play them every day till i get a W at least.
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  24. 06-24-11 06:07 PM #24
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bald Bull View Post
    what?
    the pirates are +150, you only need them to win 40% of the time to breakeven
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  25. 06-24-11 06:10 PM #25
    shocktopme
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    sox

    I think red sox cover -1.5 too but hey they screwed me when they scratched Beckeet for Aceves!!!!!
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  26. 06-24-11 11:56 PM #26
    bretb27
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    ******* boston.. i had them parlayed and flat with the rays and texas.. both of which were easy winners... one run against the pirates? you have to be kidding me
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  27. 06-25-11 12:18 AM #27
    BigDan
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    [quote=BigDan;10557343]exactly, every game this series either Sox lineup gonna be less intimidating or they gonna have huge holes in the D. Pit series price is tempting but think ill just play them every day till i get a W at least.[/quote

    like them again. but something different maybe. like pit ff. bos tt ov. pit rl probably in a parlay.
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