let me break this down to 2a and 2b
2a deals with fading pitchers having ERA under 2.0 last 3 starts, i believe pitchers will always regress to their mean ERA 3+ , also the other advantage would be getting good value on the other side as bookmaker and public juice up strong favorites
2b deals with backing pitchers having an ERA differential of over 5+ compared to his opposing pitcher (last 3 starts ERA avg)
let go
Monday
Day 1
2 a)
Oakland Atletics ml (+100) - 2 units - L
Chicago White Sox ml (-106) - 2 units - W
Toronto Blue jays ml (-116) - 2 units - L
Tampa Bay Rays ml (-135) - 2 units - W
2-2 (-0.32) need to look at the -110 factor here !
Now
2 b)
Detroit Tigers ml (+151) - 2 units - W
Chicago White Sox (-105) - 2 units - W
2-0 (+5.02)