Twins have 3 players on DL (Mauer, Thome and Kubel). That is majority of the twins offense. For the Indians, Travis Hafner is on the DL as well. Hafner has just owned Scott Baker in every way possible. Hafner is 15/39 (385 BA) with 3 walks, 6 doubles, 4 hr and 8 rbi. Twins scored 6 runs yesterday and I doubt that they will score more than 3 runs with their minor league lineup. Indians have been shut out 2 games in a row. I see the indians winning a low scoring game (3-2 or 4-3).
I learned something about the spread dropped from 9 runs to 8.5 runs as the over/under. I am assuming a lot of money on the under in this game. THe ideal play would have been taking indians/twins over 4.5 runs (5 innings). Indians stayed under the total for 5 innings in 2 straight games against the rangers. Taking the indians/twins total to go 4.5 runs makes sense. Indians are eventually goin to be involved in games that go over the 5 inning totals. I have seen totals drop from 9 to 8.5 and a majority of those games went over the 8.5 total. Its hard when u are thinking under for a game and u see this happens. I am goin to take the over for 5 innings, which should be 4.5, when the total drops for 9 to 8.5.