What's the better bet? It's happened at least ten times this year, I had a winner after 5 inn and ended up getting jerked by $hit pens. I tend to bet the whole game but I'm thinking of changing to 5 inn game. opinions?
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View Poll Results: 5 inn or full game
- Voters
- 1. You may not vote on this poll
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1st half 5 inn
0 0% -
Full game
1 100.00%
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06-03-11 12:33 PM #1
5 inn or full game
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06-03-11 12:42 PM #2
If you don't take bullpens into consideration when you are capping then bet the 5 inning line.
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06-03-11 01:49 PM #3
My thought and reasoning is the following:
Are games priced by overall results? or are games priced by pitching matchups? I would say alot of games, NOT ALL, but alot are priced by pitching matchups...so it would make more sense to bet the FF if you are betting a fave. if you are betting a dog, i would say a complete game would be better, using this reasoning ofcourse...i have no numbers to back this up.
i agree, baseball can be erratic and a game can change so much in one inning, so I think when capping sides that betting FF is a better bet. Also, one thing to consider. Books who have 5 cent lines do not offer those for the FF, they mostly offer dime lines.
This extra 5 to 10 cents you might lose add up over time. Ive bet over 600 games this season already, so those 5 cents mean somewhere around 30 units difference!
something to think about.
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