[Vegas Gold]

Do you have any suggestions for % in line movement to lay off the pick? For example you posted Royals +122, and its dropped to +105. What do you guys suggest for line movement and staying with the picks? I'll be following this year! Good luck to all!

You stay with the pic. You adjust the amout of your bet. You bet the amount that you have to risk to win 1 unit. I hope that helps you. VG

[SBRMAN23]

Based on the line value it looks like the Colorado pick is the write in game 1 at 3pm ? Just making sure before I lock it in Thx Vg

[Vegas Gold]

Based on the line value it looks like the Colorado pick is the write in game 1 at 3pm ? Just making sure before I lock it in Thx Vg

Correct SBRMAN .... If Colorado looses the first game, we will go with the second also.... Vegas Gold

[dlunc3]

good stuff tonight VG

[SBRMAN23]

Nice job again Vg Thnx man

[syy211]

great call. keep it coming VG!

[Vegas Gold]

Results.......Vegas Gold.......Tuesday.......May 24.......Day 5

Colorado -167..............bet 1.67 units to win 1 unit.............W +1 unit ($100)
San Francisco -130.......bet 1.30 units to win 1 unit.............L -1.30 units (-$130)
NY Yankees -170..........bet 4.47 units to win 2.63 units.......W +2.63 units ($263)

Tuesday we won 2.33 units or $233

After 5 days this week, we are up $1170 or 11.7 units.......VG

[Rose']

Way to get that money VG! Are you playing anything today

[Vegas Gold]

2 additions with San Fran.....

Vegas Gold.......Wednesday.......May 25.......Day 6


San Francisco -133.......bet 3.06 units to win 2.30 units
LA Angels -105.............bet 1.05 to win 1 unit
Philadelphia -187..........bet 1.87 units to win 1 unit


After 5 days this week, we are up $1170 or 11.7 units......VG

[guesshwu]

ahhhh! go giants!!!!

[Vegas Gold]

Results.......Vegas Gold.......Wednesday.......May 25.......Day 6

San Francisco -133.......bet 3.06 units to win 2.30 units..........L -3.06 units
LA Angels -105.............bet 1.05 to win 1 unit.........................W +1 unit
Philadelphia -187..........bet 1.87 units to win 1 unit................W +1 unit

After 6 days days this week, we are up $1064 or 10.64 units......VG

[No coincidences]

Giants aren't dead yet....

[Vegas Gold]

Giants aren't dead yet....

I thought the game was over. Sorry for the blunder..... Vegas Gold....

[Rose']

I thought the game was over. Sorry for the blunder..... Vegas Gold....

[I_WILL_WIN]

[I_WILL_WIN]

I went with you on the Giants!

It looked like they were dead the entire game, Florida scored two runs in the 1st and I was like, DAMN!

I went to bed and fell asleep thinking I lost this game but I couldn't sleep and I check the score and I was like holy shit, how did that happen!

It would be an amazing comeback for the Giants to win this game!!

Good Luck!!!!!!!!!!

[Vegas Gold]

Vegas Gold.......Thursday.......May 26.......Day 7

Toronto -130.................bet 1.30 units to win 1 unit
San Francisco -104.......bet 1.41 units to win 1.36 units

Almost had a great night last night. San Fran came close.
After 6 days this week, we are up $1064 or 10.64 units......VG

[Vegas Gold]

Results.......Vegas Gold.......Thursday.......May 26.......Day 7

Toronto -130.................bet 1.30 units to win 1 unit..............L -1.30
San Francisco -104.......bet 1.41 units to win 1.36 units........L -1.41

After the first week, we are up $793 or 7.93 units
It could have been a lot higher but I will take this for a start.....Vegas Gold

[Vegas Gold]

Vegas Gold.......Friday.......May 27.......Start of week 2

Detroit -110.............bet 1.10 units to win 1 unit
Texas -171...............bet 1.71 units to win 1 unit
Atlanta -160.............bet 1.60 units to win 1 unit
Milwaukee -105.......bet 1.05 units to win 1 unit
Tampa Bay -145.......bet 1.45 units to win 1 unit
Colorado -149..........bet 1.49 units to win 1 unit
Washington -115.......bet 1.15 units to win 1 unit

Starting week 2 with a large schedule
After week 1, we are up $793 or 7.93 units......VG

[southpaw74]

Keep it going vg

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

Good stuff VG......let's bang these!

[Vegas Gold]

Results.......Vegas Gold.......Friday.......May 27.......Start of week 2

Detroit -110.............bet 1.10 units to win 1 unit.......L -1.10 units
Texas -171...............bet 1.71 units to win 1 unit.......L -1.71 units
Atlanta -160.............bet 1.60 units to win 1 unit.......L -1.60 units
Milwaukee -105.......bet 1.05 units to win 1 unit.......L -1.05 units
Tampa Bay -145.......bet 1.45 units to win 1 unit.......W +1 unit
Colorado -149..........bet 1.49 units to win 1 unit.......L -1.49 units
Washington -115.......bet 1.15 units to win 1 unit........W +1 unit

We lost 4.95 units tonight. Tomorrow will be a much better day.
Not a good start to week 2 but we will win more money this week.
Remember where you heard it.......VG.......

[Vegas Gold]

Vegas Gold.......Saturday.......May 28.......Day 2 of week 2

Detroit +134.............bet 1.57 units to win 2.1 units
Texas -180...............bet 4.88 units to win 2.71 units
Atlanta -145.............bet 4.16 units to win 2.60 units
Milwaukee -130.......bet 2.67 units to win 2.05 units
Colorado +120..........bet 2.08 units to win 2.49 units

We lost 4.95 units last night. It should be a much better day Saturday.
We will make some money today......VG

[dlunc3]

hey VG..do you mind if I ask what book you get these lines at? the last few days, including today, I am getting nowhere near the lines you are getting, on not even one game.. im looking at Col +113, Milw -140, tex -200, atl -155, and det +132.... not a big deal.. just curious.. i use three books, and cant find any lines better then that.. guess its time for a 4th!

[Vegas Gold]

hey VG..do you mind if I ask what book you get these lines at? the last few days, including today, I am getting nowhere near the lines you are getting, on not even one game.. im looking at Col +113, Milw -140, tex -200, atl -155, and det +132.... not a big deal.. just curious.. i use three books, and cant find any lines better then that.. guess its time for a 4th!

I live in Vegas. Dlunc.... It doesn't matter. Bet thye games any where and apply my strategy. If you don't understand it, let me know.....VG

[Vegas Gold]

Results.......Vegas Gold.......Saturday.......May 28.......Day 2 of week 2

Detroit +134.............bet 1.57 units to win 2.1 units..........PP...no action
Texas -180...............bet 4.88 units to win 2.71 unit...........W +2.71units or $271
Atlanta -145.............bet 4.16 units to win 2.60 units.........W +2.60units or $260
Milwaukee -130.......bet 2.67 units to win 2.05 units.........W +2.05units or $205
Colorado +120..........bet 2.08 units to win 2.49 units........W +2.49units or $249

We won 9.85 units last night or we won $985.
We are now up $490 for week 2.
As I said last night, it was a much better day Saturday.
We made some money today......VG

[Vegas Gold]

Vegas Gold.......Sunday.......May 29.......Day 3 of week 2

Detroit +105.............bet 2 units to win 2.1 units
(If Detroit loses the first game Sunday, bet the same amount on game 2.)
(If Detroit wins the first game, we are finished for the day)

We won 9.85 units last night.
We are now up $490 for week 2.
We are also up 12.83 units or $1283 since we started 9 days ago.
We will make some money today......VG

[Vegas Gold]

Good luck everyone.....Vegas Gold

[Tedd]

Good luck everyone.....Vegas Gold

Good to see you back VG!!

[Vegas Gold]

Good to see you back VG!!

Thanks Tedd....Good to see you.....Vegas Gold....

[Vegas Gold]

Results.......Vegas Gold.......Sunday.......May 29.......Day 3 of week 2

Detroit +141.............bet 1.49 units to win 2.1 units..........L -1.49 units
Detroit -103..............bet 2.6 units to win 2.1 units...........W +2.1 units

We won .61 units Sunday night.
We are now up $551 for week 2.
We are also up 13.44 units or $1344 since we started 10 days ago.
Big day tomorrow.....Picks for Monday will be up in an hour......VG

[Vegas Gold]

Vegas Gold.......Monday.......May 30.......Day 4 of week 2

Boston -175.............bet 1.75 units to win 1 unit
Tampa Bay -115......bet 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Detroit -145.............bet 1.45 units to win 1 unit
Atlanta -180............bet 1.80 units to win 1 unit
St. Louis -141..........bet 1.41 units to win 1 unit
Cincinnati -121.......bet 1.21 units to win 1 unit
Arizona -106...........bet 1.06 units to win 1 unit

We won 0.61 units last night.
We are now up $551 for week 2.
We are also up 13.44 units or $1344 since we started 10 days ago.
Big day on Monday......VG

[fitguy67]

Hey, VG...I like your style. I have one question tho'...what is supposed to happen on the third play after two successive losses with the same team. It appears that you've done two different things so far...

When SFO lost 1.30, then another 3.06 (trying to win 2.30=the 1.30 lost on game#1 plus a fresh 1.00 for game#2), for a two game loss of 4.36...your next play tried only to recoup just the "small change" 0.36 bit of the 2-game-loss (aiming only for 1.36)...i thought then that your approach was just to recoup enough to just "clean up the loss" to an even whole number of units. If the team finally wins game 3, at least you end up with a "tidy" subtraction from the unit tally (just as every win leaves ends up giving us a "tidy" addition.) In this case we end the three game set down exactly 3.00 units.

But the next time a team lost g1, and recuperative g2 successively (DET, -1.10/push/-1.49 in pursuit of a 2.10 win) for a 2.59 loss...i would have expected you'd shoot for 1.59 in game 3 (which was the second game of sunday's double-header) enough to register a tidy loss of just 1.00 if successful...instead you repeated the previous bet and aimed for 2.59 again which would have left us with a different sort of consolation if game 3 were to succeed (that of losing, on balance...only game 1).

In addition to winning its own fresh 1.00 unit, what is the third bet supposed to be trying to recoup from losses suffered the previous two games...enough to tidy up the net loss to a round number (as with SFO), or enough to nullify the game#2 loss (as we just saw with DET)...or is something else going on.

Finally, I think you'll be happy to know that you've been shortchanging yourself a unit ever since Week#1, Day#2 (when g2 chase wins of 2.65 and 2.72 gave you 5.37...which added onto day#1's nice start of 2.63 to make 8.00 (not 7.00). So you now stand after 10 calendar days (9 with actual play) at 23-13 (63.9% of 36) and +14.44 (one more than the +13.44 you're reporting now).

BOL on the big Monday slate...

[fitguy67]

Last bit of paragraph 3 above should be

...instead you repeated the previous bet and aimed for 2.10 again which would have left us with a different sort of consolation if game 3 were to succeed (that of losing, on balance...only game 1).

[fitguy67]

Damn it still doesn't make sense...after Det's g2, we're down 2.59...what was the logic of betting to win 2.10 units on the third game?

Think i figured it out...Ideally, if it weren't a double header you'd have been able to tell us to next bet to win 1.59 (enough to at least tidy up the units lost, just like you did with SFO)...but because it was a double-header and you wouldn't be able to state the odds in your usual format...you told us to just "repeat" the bet, which was a close enough approximation

I'm interested in this cuz I'm interested in chalk- (but not loss-) recovery bet-sizing methods. Marty and Labby's get scary cuz they impatiently try to recoup previous losses...but methods that aim at recouping only the chalk effectively reward you after your last win to the "+100" state, and are almost as easy to "sleep" with as straight flat betting.