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strong lean yankees team total over 4 runs (-115 @ greek.com)

Here are some stats on bluejays starter Burnett. I use pitch counts in prior games to figure winners for team totals. Yesterday i had rockies team total over 3.5 runs (+145).

Burnett's pitch count for his last 9 starts:

date # of pitches results
9/19 121 L 4-3
9/13 102 W 8-1
9/9 113 W 3-1
9/3 108 W 5-4
8/29 108 L 2-1
8/24 109 L 6-5
8/19 120 W 2-1
8/12 108 W 6-4
8/7 110 W 6-4

Burnett threw 119 pitches on June 29 against the braves and won 1-0. In his very next start on July 4, Burnett surrendered 8 runs as the angels beat him 8-2. After throwing 120 pitches on 8/19, burnett lost 6-5 to the redsox.

I am thinking Burnett will be tired in this game after throwing 100 plus pitches for his last 10 starts. Managers are idiots in burning out their pitchers. Since Burnett threw 121 pitches in his last start on 9/19, I am taking the yankees team total over 4 runs (-115) tommorrow. THe yankees will have 9 full innings to pick up 5 runs tommorrow.

Burnett's era at home: 4.75 and 1.5 whip

Yankees hitters vs Burnett
ARod 8/27, 3hr,double, 8 rbi
Abreu 19/56, 6 doubles, hr, 10 rbi, 12 walks


Any thoughts on the yankees team total over 4 (-115)?

[rynop123]

I think i'm going to just take the over at 8.5......I like this alot...Hughes still isn't ready and I think the yanks bats will come out tonight

[ICE-BLOOD]

burnett 33 starts opponents are
8 over 4
16 under 4
7 times score 4
i saw a team total of yanks 3 1/2 over-130
might be worth the extra 1/2 run in this spot

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I got lucky with the yankees team total over 4 runs by going into extra innings.