1. #1
    kenz
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    15 units ($1500) on Stan to beat Nadal @1.92

    Only worry was Stan being tired but Nadal also played a final/5 games last week


  2. #2
    kenz
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    5 more units on Wawrinka @1.99(with the added price+payout on 1xbet)

    Total Risk: 20 units


  3. #3
    kenz
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    Damn wish I waited for Pinnacle Price, it is @2.11

  4. #4
    nspa87
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    Just having a discussion here, but I watched both games today and I felt Nadal carried himself far better than Wawa did, who seemed exhausted, frustrated, and somewhat coming undone. In my opinion he had a much easier match to win against Raonic today and should be favored to win, which is probably why you saw that line movement.

  5. #5
    mrlif1
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    was just perusing the tennis section with my local, saw this price (+102 for me), was confused, came on here, see this thread....tailing. gl

  6. #6
    kenz
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    Dont like the line movement. If Stan is Fit tomorrow he should win, hopefully he is Fit and hungry

  7. #7
    Goat Milk
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    I don't know about this. Nadal is hungry right now. He's looked a bit sloppy against Fognini and Raonic but if Nadal brings his A game and Wawrinka brings his A game, there's no question Nadal will beat him pretty easily. Problem is Nadal's A game comes and goes these days and you are really just guessing when you bet against him. GL.

  8. #8
    kenz
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    Dont like the continuous line movement. I am seeing mine a loser bet. This also made me feel unsecure

    http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2015/...s&emc=rss&_r=0

    I think nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35 looks better than my bet, unfortunately.

  9. #9
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Dont like the continuous line movement. I am seeing mine a loser bet. This also made me feel unsecure

    http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2015/...s&emc=rss&_r=0

    I think nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35 looks better than my bet, unfortunately.
    Line movement has nothing to do with your bet pal. It's all about the matchup. Lines move simply to even out the money. Books don't bet on sides....

  10. #10
    MGTennisTipster
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    Wawrinka received medical timeout in first set on his right shoulder and that might be one of the reasons why he only got 51% first serve in against Cilic. The Suisse ended the match with poor numbers: 30 winners / 51 unforced errors and was break down in first and second set however Cilic too inconsistent to hold those leads.

    Nadal raising the level week after week and mentally also much stronger. The way he managed to take the win against Karlovic was Nadal vintage showing all his mental strenght under pressure. Rafa brought the confidence from that match to defeat Raonic in straight sets with a very solid performance.

    Stan was 3 hours on court with Cilic, with around 17 / 18 hours between the two matches and will have to face one of the best competitors that have ever played the game. Nadal so determined to do well while Stan has been far from his best outside Grand Slams, true that he has been making an extra effort in last two weeks but this might be a good time for him to get some rest.

    Adding to this, Nadal top spin forehand is very hard to handle and his crossed forehand with that tremendous spin will explore Wawrinka shoulder problems. One handed backhand requires a huge ammount of strenght and Wawrinka was hitting many slices today, if he does that against Rafa the Spaniard will punish him like he does against Federer for example.

  11. #11
    kenz
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    ^Still dont like it

    I also dont like how Wawa lost the first serve vs Cilic and Troicki before getting breaks back. All in all Something aint right here. I take many 15-20 unit bets which generally hit but this is the most awkward I felt about a big bet for a long long time

  12. #12
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by MGTennisTipster View Post
    Wawrinka received medical timeout in first set on his right shoulder and that might be one of the reasons why he only got 51% first serve in against Cilic. The Suisse ended the match with poor numbers: 30 winners / 51 unforced errors and was break down in first and second set however Cilic too inconsistent to hold those leads.

    Nadal raising the level week after week and mentally also much stronger. The way he managed to take the win against Karlovic was Nadal vintage showing all his mental strenght under pressure. Rafa brought the confidence from that match to defeat Raonic in straight sets with a very solid performance.

    Stan was 3 hours on court with Cilic, with around 17 / 18 hours between the two matches and will have to face one of the best competitors that have ever played the game. Nadal so determined to do well while Stan has been far from his best outside Grand Slams, true that he has been making an extra effort in last two weeks but this might be a good time for him to get some rest.

    Adding to this, Nadal top spin forehand is very hard to handle and his crossed forehand with that tremendous spin will explore Wawrinka shoulder problems. One handed backhand requires a huge ammount of strenght and Wawrinka was hitting many slices today, if he does that against Rafa the Spaniard will punish him like he does against Federer for example.
    Good Post

    You might be the new blood this dead forum needs. I like what you bring to the table on every thread

  13. #13
    MGTennisTipster
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Good Post

    You might be the new blood this dead forum needs. I like what you bring to the table on every thread
    Thank you, you can also find daily previews at http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tennis/

  14. #14
    kenz
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    Putting 18 units on Nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35

    This is the best I found as a hedge. If Wawa wins first and Nadal wins the game, I expect some nice heat by other users

  15. #15
    MGTennisTipster
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Putting 18 units on Nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35

    This is the best I found as a hedge. If Wawa wins first and Nadal wins the game, I expect some nice heat by other users
    Considering that one of the issues in Nadal side is the physical condition I wouldn't be completely surprised to see that happening. Rafa much more fresh and Stan can lose some gas after the first set and allow a comeback.

  16. #16
    kenz
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    I feel Nadal will win 1st and Ml Stan may win 2nd set if any

    Talentwise it is Wawa with recent form but tomorrow will be mental

  17. #17
    MGTennisTipster
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    Stan first serve average only at 183km/h and 45% first serve in. That shoulder was in clear pain and Wawrinka just wanted to get out of court as quick as possible while Rafa is rising his level match after match

  18. #18
    kenz
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    +$430

  19. #19
    tokio
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    glad you went back and get some back from the Wawrinka bet. Wow, sad performance by him.

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