Originally Posted by
gottimhimmel
So i have lost about $350 playing tennis, I'm not upset or anything, I will just pay it off and try again, but I am really interested in playing some underdog lines in the future, we have Basel and Valencia ATP 500 tournies coming up. So here's some Retrospect stats. Thanks for your time.
Definitions: DOG: ML OVER 1.91
FAVS: ML UNDER 1.91
Oct 15th 2013 ATP Moscow
1 unit on each match
Total: 13
OUTCOME!
favs: 9
dogs: 4
Loss: $ 900 Win: $568
Oct 16th 2013 ATP Moscow, Vienna, Stockholm
Total: 12
Favs: 8
Dogs: 4
Loss: $800 Win: $645
OCt 17th 2013 ATP Moscow, Vienna, Stockholm
Total: 18
Favs:11
Dogs:7
Loss: $1100 Win: $978
Oct 18th 2013 ATP Moscow Vienna, Stockholm
Total: 8
Favs: 6
Dogs: 2
Loss: $600 Win: $ 480
Oct 19th 2013
Total: 6
Favs: 3
Dogs: 3
Loss: $300 Win: $578
JUST THESE NUMBERS: OVERALL PROFIT: $3600-3200= $-400
I am not going to write the whole deal for the WTA
The biggest dog scores in WTA/ATP Oct 15-20
Robin Haase over Tsonga: 4.48 ML
Benoit Paire over Milos Raonic: 4.45 ML
Kenny de Schepper over Kevin Anderson 4.30 ML
Karin Knapp over Petkovic 4.00 ML
Lukasz Kubot over Florian Mayer 4.80 ML
Kleybanova over Suarez Navarro 3.5 ML
Tisparevic lost to number 808 in the world in Moscow, it was about anywhere from 8.00-9.00 ML, I along with many others
think that this was a fixed match. But that was by far the best single shot.
This was just something I've wanted to do, You can see that everyday (at least in the men's, cause that's what I looked at
anywhere from 30-50% of people over 1.91 do win the Moneyline. I'm just going to try and figure out if
I can make these picks and actually win something! From now on I am not going to bet favorites in Tennis.
Note: All of my numbers aren't scientifically gathered, they're just rough numbers to get the idea across. Finding some solid spots where a 3.00+ ML is definitely possible, I Just haven't done it!
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