Djokovic: -175, -3 -108
Federer: +164, +3 +100
o/u 40.5 -105
(Pinny lines)
These two have met 26 times but only 5 on clay. And only 2 of those times were within the past 3 years with Djoko straight setting Fed 2 weeks ago in Rome and Federer winning in 5 last year here at the French.
As of now, I'm leaning Djokovic although I don't like laying chalk like that. I would love to see Federer win this one but it's extremely hard to go against Novak when he once again as proven how hard it is to actually get the win from him. Guy is a beast who refuses to lay down and die. Federer hasn't played exceptionally well throughout this tournament and I don't believe he can keep up the fight for a 5 setter against Djokovic at this point in his career. For him to win, he'll need to play as close to perfectly as possible and he is just too error-prone for me to be willing to risk my money on that. Even as a dog.
* For those who may be banking on Fed because he beat Djoko in the same spot last year, just keep in mind that they used Babolat balls last year for the first time. It was a big drama throughout the tournament, with the top players complaining constantly because the balls moved faster, farther and were easier to use for topspin shots. Those balls have now been ditched.
For the total, the over almost seems too easy which is enough to frighten me off of it. I will be on the over 3.5 sets instead if I decide to go near that at all.
Hopefully it'll be another epic match!