1. 10-10-09 05:37 AM #1
    Hybris
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    My play 10/10

    Hi guys, just sharing my play for today. Dont have time for writeup today beacuse it takes awhile (bad english) and I´m off to a birthday celebration.

    10/10 20:30 CET, Austria to win against Lithuania @1.75, -133.

    Would love to get inputs and thoughts about this one..
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  2. 10-10-09 06:00 AM #2
    Sportslover
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    Last time these 2 sides met in Lithuania, the match ended in a 2-0 victory for Lithuania. Neither team has anything to play for really because they don't have a realistic chance of qualifying. France is at home to Faroe Islands so they can guarentee qualification with a victory in that match. As a result of this situation, there is no pressure on either team to go out and win and, therefore, I wouldn't be confident placing a bet on this match, plus I feel the odds of -133 are too low to place a bet on this match.

    I actually think that Austria will probably win or get a draw at the very least, however, I would be cautious when looking at these types of games because motivation can be a negative factor when teams have nothing to play for.
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  3. 10-10-09 06:09 AM #3
    Hybris
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    They have something to play for, they cant just assume that France wins, Lituania comes from a loss against faroe islands...
    But i understand your concern about motivation..
    Last edited by Hybris; 10-10-09 at 06:15 AM.
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  4. 10-10-09 06:12 AM #4
    mihaita666
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    austria is good at home, i think its a good pick
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  5. 10-10-09 06:24 AM #5
    alka07
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    i also think home win her
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  6. 10-10-09 06:36 AM #6
    Sportslover
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hybris View Post
    They have something to play for, they cant just assume that France wins, Lituania comes from a loss against faroe islands...
    But i understand your concern about motivation..
    Yeah, I see the point you are making but personally I can't see France failing to beat Faroe Islands at home in France. Even if the Austrian coach tells them to keep believing I think that deep down they will feel their chances are gone. With such thoughts in the back of their mind, it might affect their performance, even if they don't realise it.

    I still think you've got a good chance of winning, though.

    Good luck with your pick.
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  7. 10-10-09 09:57 AM #7
    Hybris
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    Thanks guys, BOL with your plays today
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  8. 10-10-09 03:01 PM #8
    Hybris
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    Looks like this will be a loss...1-1 15 minutes left.
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  9. 10-10-09 03:28 PM #9
    Hybris
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hybris View Post
    Looks like this will be a loss...1-1 15 minutes left.
    And there is the antijinx from me...2-1 FT after a penalty 2 minutes after i wrote this.
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  10. 10-10-09 04:14 PM #10
    Sportslover
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hybris View Post
    And there is the antijinx from me...2-1 FT after a penalty 2 minutes after i wrote this.
    Glad to see that you bagged the win here. I thought Austria might struggle to motivate themselves but thankfully they got the late penalty to seal victory. Well done.
    Last edited by Sportslover; 10-10-09 at 04:18 PM.
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