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The point of a parlay, say a two pick, is to get both right or both wrong. Going 1-1 is no help.
A parlay is a good way to minimize risk and increase reward, but if you go 1-1, you may have built it wrong.
This parlay above is designed to track the flow of money, and there are some "iffy" choices in there.
I will use this parlay, along with the Forecasts, to help guide LIVE decisions as well as game by game bets.
I expect Arkansas to start out fast tonight.
Originally Posted by KVB
From earlier, this is the sharp moneyflow parlay we are working with...
K State +107
Uconn -3.5 (-108)
FAU +5.5 (-111)
Gonzaga +1.5 (-109)
Bama -7.5 (-108)
MIA +7.5 (-102)
Texas -4 (-111)
Don't want a mix of wins and losses here. I want all wins or all losses, going into tomorrow.
But whatever the results, it should tell us a lot.
Picking 7 games over two days is bold, if I am on the right track, there should be a spoiler. Possibly a spoiler each day.
It's the detective work to find the spoiler that makes that parlay useful
KVB, I want to hit ALL THREE of these:
CJ McCollum o4.5 Reb -112
Jalen Williams o3.5 AST -108
Trey Murphy at least 4 Three pointers +158
(+850)
Chances are I got all three wrong though.
Go Uconn!!!
^
I want to hit the UConn cheerleader on the left.
Make no mistake, I want to hit them all.
But I also have little two picks in there, like KState/Uconn and Uconn/FAU.
If you hit the +158 and another play and lose the parlay, that sucks. If that happens betting them individually you would have won money.
You don't want hit those 2 fave prices and lose the +158. Then you've lost your one bet. But if you bet them all individually, and hit get that result, you also would be up money.
But if you hit all three, or lose all three, then you can rest easy knowing those were the best possible outcomes for pulling the trigger on the parlay over betting them individually.
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Obviously when you start talking about 3 picks and up, allthose equations change.
But the two pick is the classis example.
If you go 1-1, you will have wished you bet them individually. Any other result and you are glad you made the parlay.
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What about when you bet 3 three games,and you lose all 3 and then you wished you just did one parlay.i hate thoseObviously when you start talking about 3 picks and up, allthose equations change.
But the two pick is the classis example.
If you go 1-1, you will have wished you bet them individually. Any other result and you are glad you made the parlay.
There aren't just two picks, there's a 4 pick parlay with those first four plays, because as I said going into day 2 is bold as are missing so much information...
K State +107
Uconn -3.5 (-108)
FAU +5.5 (-111)
Gonzaga +1.5 (-109)
There is likely a spoiler in there. If the first two hit, it will be tough to decipher in those 45 minutes between the start of FAU and then the final game.
That means FAU could play tough for the first 45 minutes, then the game could turn. I will be looking at potential LIVE trades based on what I expect from a parlay that should have a spoiler. I mentioned having parlays last week that I sold back the last play.
This is what I was doing. I did share it all with a poster, who got so many texts over a couple of days it was ridiculous. I never had time to shave.
^
21.6% of all the DFS contest players tonight are on McCollum as their PG.
Me included.
I thought SGA would be the high volume PG tonight, because of matchups, but no.
KVB be spittin knowledge like..
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Shaved today though, had to.
Took my son to the AT&T store and got him an iPhone13.
He's stoked. Little fukker dropped his last phone in water and I come down and see a bag of rice with the phone in pieces.
I'm like...
Huskies looking good Nasher.
Are you erect yet?
Maybe semi woody at the moment?
KVB is always ahead of the game.i want to be like him when I grow upKVB be spittin knowledge like..
See KVB?
I told you. I said what I said.
Rasta, the only way you can ever be like KVB is to master the art of rafter hanging.See KVB?
I told you. I said what I said.
Rafter hanging is an art that only KVB has managed to master.
Nasher, do you have McCollum on speed dial?
Hit him up and tell him those zero rebounds in the 1st ain’t gonna fukkin cut it.
Well, then I'm screwed haha
It’s tough, man. It takes balls.
That wasn't me, it was DDD.
That said, there is certain meditation element that can't be denied. Especially up there in the rafters.
Oh Nasher's erect alright.
Uconn putting the entire heavyweight division on notice...
So hard the kitty cat couldn't scratch it.
So hard the kitty cat couldn't scratch it.
My only two futures are still alive.
Now go Bruins!
0.2u Connecticut +1100
0.2u UCLA +1200
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I feel like Stevie Adams in a Lily AT&T commercial right now.
My only two futures are still alive.
Now go Bruins!
0.2u Connecticut +1100
0.2u UCLA +1200
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Here we go again.
Pressure on FAU, were they spoiler? Can't imagin both FAU and Gonza win their games.
But a spread cover not out of the question.
I wanna have Lauren Shehadi's babies.
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