Once again my forecasts give Oklahoma City the win over Golden State Warriors. I have OKC beating GSW by a whopping 13 points while the non-predictive less sophisticated numbers will give OKC a win by about 6 points.
So the numbers give OKC a bigger win than the last game and we can see, based on the last game, that these numbers are a bit skewed. That said; remember that these same forecasts were all giving OKC the win even before last game’s blowout.
The value is with OKC here, both despite and because of the strong (and legitimate) public support for the Warriors.
As far as the totals, the line sits right about where bettors are using averages and non-predictive stats…222.
My forecasts give roughly a 224 point game, at the current line it is difficult for me to ascertain any value on the total and a total conclusion, if any, may have to come from other angles.
I will likely pass on the total and end up pressing that winning OKC bet from last game. While I like the timeless story line of the Warriors getting knocked down, then forced to respond, I get nervous when a team has to and is expected to emerge from that responding position in consecutive matches. The Warriors have gone to the well in game two, came up with some water, can they go to that same well twice?
My thoughts are that they won’t, but hey, this is the Warriors.
Good Luck.