1. #1191
    GGPLAYER
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    I'm starting to think the Oakland/Hou game is more about no A. Johnson than RLM.

  2. #1192
    gizmo2431
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    I see Carolina and Chicago as the best RLMs this week. Anyone else with opinions or plays they are going with? Denver has too large a jump, and as previously mentioned, may have lost its value by now. Other games are close, but don't meet the 65% criteria at the moment I am looking right now. THoughts?

  3. #1193
    8ArIvd5
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    i'm only playing chicago. don't like the .5 pt moves off key numbers. denver still has a decent number at 3.5, but i really like sd in this spot.

  4. #1194
    Totolover1409
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    Chicago +5

  5. #1195
    Totolover1409
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    Because Denver does satisfy all criteria, I will be keeping record of it. Not one of my most confident plays, and will put a very small one on it. But for the sake of the record, I will be on Denver +4

  6. #1196
    gizmo2431
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    did new England qualify?

  7. #1197
    Totolover1409
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    Jets +7.5

  8. #1198
    bobbyk1133
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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    Jets +7.5
    Denver +4
    These picks exemplify why it is idiotic to chase "sharp" $$ after the value has been sucked out of it.
    Sharps liked DEN +6, not +4. They liked NYJ +9.5, not +7.5.

    It's frickin' amateur hour in here....

    Time to wake up
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  9. #1199
    Totolover1409
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    Go **** yourself.

  10. #1200
    dvb02
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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    Go **** yourself.

  11. #1201
    Totolover1409
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    I mean come on. You think that im happy i'm 0-2, let alone made a lot of other people lose? Not at all, and i don't need other people tellin me I ****** up.

  12. #1202
    james4512
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    you missed the RLM on panthers and chiefs both winners

  13. #1203
    SportsMushroom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    I mean come on. You think that im happy i'm 0-2, let alone made a lot of other people lose? Not at all, and i don't need other people tellin me I ****** up.
    he didnt say you fuxked up, all he is saying is that if you cant get the opening number then stay away because there is no value

  14. #1204
    LT Profits
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    It looks like Bears were a head fake, scratch them.

  15. #1205
    bobbyk1133
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsMushroom View Post
    he didnt say you fuxked up, all he is saying is that if you cant get the opening number then stay away because there is no value
    This.

    Nothin' personal Totolover, just speakin' logic. At the end of the day we're all tryin to beat the books, but you're gna be fighting an uphill battle if you're chasing bad numbers all year. The main reason many sharps profit has just as much to do with grabbing the best numbers/price rather than the side they are on.

  16. #1206
    8ArIvd5
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    took da bears +5 last night and when i woke up this morning

  17. #1207
    Ras1112
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    Numbers are sure important, we never considered RLM play on moneyline exactly for that reason.
    All so called RLM plays yesterday came short by */-3 points, at least in my case
    So there is a lot of to think about in what "bobbyk" has to say. I would say if public dogs start shaving points, take it at the time don't wait till game time as we usually do. We can always hedge it later, hopefully all we lose is a juice
    Last edited by Ras1112; 10-10-11 at 03:16 PM.

  18. #1208
    Totolover1409
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    Last year I had great success even while waiting until the day before the games. I will reconsider. Thanks for those who have been supportive

  19. #1209
    Takethebooki
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    stop this ******* thread

  20. #1210
    thebestthereis
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    Quote Originally Posted by 8ArIvd5 View Post
    took da bears +5 last night and when i woke up this morning
    not sure why you would bet the bears early rather than late, you must have known you would get a minimum of 6.5 at some point? i do like the bears but you should of waited. maybe it won't matter, it usually doesn't. bears lose by a late field goal, win su or get bombed in all likelihood. good luck!

  21. #1211
    ThaWoj
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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    Last year I had great success even while waiting until the day before the games. I will reconsider. Thanks for those who have been supportive
    yeah it seemed RLM was pretty successful last year. i dont remember off the top of my head but wasn't it a lot better later in the season than early? maybe thats why its not working out that well this year.

    btw your 0-2 wasn't terrible capping, denver blows it with a failed 2 pt conversion and the jets blow it b/c they allow late garbage field goal. but what can u do.
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  22. #1212
    Sidetracked
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    it gets better later in the year because the books have more of an idea of how the teams are, stay patient

  23. #1213
    mangina11
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    It will even out in the end

  24. #1214
    GGPLAYER
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    Jax
    SF
    Clev
    Dal
    Mia

  25. #1215
    Capybara
    Punta Cana, bitches!
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    No one tracking today's college plays? I see a boatload! Just curious...

  26. #1216
    Dogway
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    Looks like Miami fits opened @+8 down to +6.5.

  27. #1217
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dogway View Post
    Looks like Miami fits opened @+8 down to +6.5.

    Miami has had RLM in almost every game they have played. That team just kills me. 3 times they should have scored td's in the 1st quarter and only came away with 6 points and a 100 yd pick 6. They actually out gained NYJ in the game and still lost by a ton. I even had them teased up to 14pts and still lost!

    This week I don't really see anything yet.

  28. #1218
    ApricotSinner32
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    Air Force?

  29. #1219
    allenc85
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    Would Arkansas fit? That line smells pretty fishy to me...

  30. #1220
    GGPLAYER
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    Washington Redskins

  31. #1221
    Dogway
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    I don't know if you guys are done or not but there are several games in college this weekend that have RLM. Or at least looks like ones to watch.

  32. #1222
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dogway View Post
    I don't know if you guys are done or not but there are several games in college this weekend that have RLM. Or at least looks like ones to watch.
    Yeah, what do you see/what do you like?

    I'm eyeing Ga Tech, Vandy, Missouri, Indiana, Arizona, and USC... couple of those look like "RLM traps" to me, though.

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