[ChuckyTheGoat]

NBA Play-In selections:

4* NEW ORL +1.5 (1.90). 4 to win 3.60.

3* SACRAMENTO +1.5 (2.00). 3 to win 3.00.

Good Luck!

[lakerboy]

Love the Pelicans play.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Love the Pelicans play.

Thx, Laker! Will try to root them in.

A little background on that one:
*Pelicans had been playing really well late in the season.
*Just a bad day at the office against the Lakers on SUN. Props to the Lake-show.
*There will be no travel. Immediate re-match at the same site.
*Pelican ball movement late in the season has been great. Zion playing well, and McCollum getting open looks.

Line move swing based on Sunday's result. I personally love the Pelicans here. GL.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

NBA Play-In selections:

4* NEW ORL +1.5 (1.90). 4 to win 3.60.

3* SACRAMENTO +1.5 (2.00). 3 to win 3.00.

Good Luck!

Adding a unit on NO. +1.5 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
...Capping it at 5-units. GL.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Beginning Balance = 111.42

[ChuckyTheGoat]

NBA Play-In selections:

4* NEW ORL +1.5 (1.90). 4 to win 3.60.

3* SACRAMENTO +1.5 (2.00). 3 to win 3.00.

Good Luck!

Two more units on SAC +3 (1.88). 2 to win 1.76.

Two 5* plays in action. GL.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

A few thoughts on these games. My personal opinions, so do as you see fit:

*Lakers have the name players. And they're off a convincing win. Easy to back.
*Pelicans completed a great road trip. Love their cohesive ball movement.
*One fly in the ointment = Ingram returning. In theory, should be a Plus. I liked them better w/o Ingram.

*SACTO is solid. Sabonis maybe the most consistently productive player in the league. And he gets ignored.
*Sacto did get some bench players back from injury. Good bench contribution from guys like Len/Vezenkov.
*Have mentioned my distaste for GoldSt. Top players have slowed down. Don't like their rotation.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

1* PHI Sixers -5 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
...Just an action play.
...Sixers would be more like a 3-seed if Embiid hadn't missed so many games.
...Rozier OUT. That's enough to tilt me to PHI, as I don't like Spoelstra's guard options.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: 5-5.
...Was hoping for more out of NO. But SAC wins going away.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

1* PHI Sixers -5 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
...Just an action play.
...Sixers would be more like a 3-seed if Embiid hadn't missed so many games.
...Rozier OUT. That's enough to tilt me to PHI, as I don't like Spoelstra's guard options.

Adding a unit. PHI -5 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
...Matchup looks pretty good.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* NEW ORL Pelicans +1.5 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84.
...Kings off a HUGE breakthru win. They knock out the 4x champ and the team they nearly pipped LAST YEAR.
...Kings off an emotional high. Now have to travel east.
...Pelicans played great on the West Coast swing. Now off two duds, public opinion is down.
...If Zion is out, Nance/Murphy/Alvarado will get more Minutes. I like those guys.
...Pelicans can win w/o Zion. And if Zion clears the health-scan, Pelicans will surely flip back to Favorites.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* MINN Twolves (Gm1) -2.5 (2.10). 2 to win 2.20.
...Towns is back. This has to be their best lineup. Just haven't shown it yet.
...Call me contrarian. I love this price.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: 5-5.
...Was hoping for more out of NO. But SAC wins going away.

Day: 0-2. Week: 5-7.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* (Gm 1) Phi Sixers +3 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.
...+3 is great line value, relative to the historical prices in this series.
...Knicks have had a good year, easy to back them. Sixer record is lower with Embiid missing all those games.
...If Embiid had been healthier, this would likely be a 2 vs 3-seed.
...Embiid's per game stats look good. His 3%/FT%/Asts are all at career-high levels. But he missed > 40 games.
...Thibs has been playing a smallish lineup. Mitchell Robinson hasn't looked good after returning from injury, can't count on him.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* (Gm 1) Phi Sixers +3 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.
...+3 is great line value, relative to the historical prices in this series.
...Knicks have had a good year, easy to back them. Sixer record is lower with Embiid missing all those games.
...If Embiid had been healthier, this would likely be a 2 vs 3-seed.
...Embiid's per game stats look good. His 3%/FT%/Asts are all at career-high levels. But he missed > 40 games.
...Thibs has been playing a smallish lineup. Mitchell Robinson hasn't looked good after returning from injury, can't count on him.

Adding a unit: Phi +3 (1.98). 1 to win .98.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Adding a unit: Phi +3 (1.98). 1 to win .98.

Adding a 4th unit. Phi +3 (2.03). 1 to win 1.03.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* NEW ORL Pelicans +1.5 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84.
...Kings off a HUGE breakthru win. They knock out the 4x champ and the team they nearly pipped LAST YEAR.
...Kings off an emotional high. Now have to travel east.
...Pelicans played great on the West Coast swing. Now off two duds, public opinion is down.
...If Zion is out, Nance/Murphy/Alvarado will get more Minutes. I like those guys.
...Pelicans can win w/o Zion. And if Zion clears the health-scan, Pelicans will surely flip back to Favorites.

Day: 2-2. Week: 7-7.
...Great effort from NO without their key guy.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Adding a 4th unit. Phi +3 (2.03). 1 to win 1.03.

5th unit = Phi +3.5 (1.98). 1 to win .98.

...Is this fuker (Embiid) really not going to play?
...I referenced Embiid's good stats in a limited # of games.
...If he's out there, he's more than capable.
...Even if he's out, PHI's backup big-men are pretty good. Would give Sixers a fair shot even w/o Embiid.
...And I said that the Knicks are now very public. They're a popular pick to get to the East finals. Very ez to back.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: 0-2. Week: 5-7.

4/19: 2-0
4/20: 2-5

Week: 9-12

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Beginning Balance = 111.42

Week = -3.20/21

End BAL = 108.22