1. #1
    SlickFazzer
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    Could you hit 55% ATS under these circumstances:

    1000 plays vs -110 NFL, NCAAF

    With access to:

    A real time line service.

    Tweet deck setup with all the breaking injury news.

    20tv monitors with all cable networks.

    Subscriptions to all online news sources.

    8+ betting out.

    ----

    In my 20's I would have thought its possible.

    In my 30's I would have said maybe.

    In my 40's I say I dont have the desire or time to devote 12+ hours a day to this battle.

  2. #2
    pologq
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    good post and i agree with the age things too.i would need to not work to watch and read everything.

    my goal is to retire early and be able to gamble for fun exactly as you said

  3. #3
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Anything less than 61% is unacceptable to me.

  4. #4
    iwantcougars
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    all plays are equal? and 55% is winning percentage (1000 bets) or expected roi of 5%+ from the whole bankroll?

  5. #5
    jjgold
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    Itís not worth it because itís chump change

  6. #6
    SlickFazzer
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    Lets try 550/450 ATS

  7. #7
    SlickFazzer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Itís not worth it because itís chump change
    The passion is gone.

  8. #8
    TommieGunshot
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    In my 20's I would have thought its possible.

    In my 30's I would have said maybe.

    In my 40's I say I dont have the desire or time to devote 12+ hours a day to this battle.
    In my 20s and 30s I wouldíve been focused too much on school and career and that bullshit. In my 40s I understand how much worse the workforce is than being able to just relax while scrolling and clicking around on screens.

  9. #9
    Otters27
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    Why not -105 juice?

  10. #10
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    1000 plays vs -110 NFL, NCAAF

    With access to:

    A real time line service.

    Tweet deck setup with all the breaking injury news.

    20tv monitors with all cable networks.

    Subscriptions to all online news sources.

    8+ betting out.

    ----

    In my 20's I would have thought its possible.

    In my 30's I would have said maybe.

    In my 40's I say I dont have the desire or time to devote 12+ hours a day to this battle.

    Only a line service and 8+ outs would help you; the other items you listed are worthless.

  11. #11
    SlickFazzer
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    Long term sports betting success is hard.

  12. #12
    flyingillini
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    Long term sports betting success is hard.
    You can hit 64%+ with my blessing, it works 2 days a week only.

  13. #13
    coolguy73739
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    I would say its possible provided you have a STRONG System/Model wherein you can compare your numbers with Books and follow these 3 situations.

    1- Your Number is in close range +-3/4 points to that of Books... Action: SKIP
    2. Your number is off by +-3/4 points to that of Books AND it makes no sense to you or General Public... Action: SKIP
    3. Your number is off by +-3/4 points to that of Books AND it makes a good sense of acceptance to General Public based on Public's perception of Power Ratings, Matchup on latest win records, previous H2H and whatever else that convinces them that number is right... Action: BET

    Do this for at least 100 games and most likely you will find yourself in GREEN ZONE $$$.
    Thanks and Cheers

  14. #14
    Waterstpub87
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Only a line service and 8+ outs would help you; the other items you listed are worthless.
    Agree to disagree on that. News sources, useless. 20 monitors useless. The injury thing is not bad. It isn't my thing, but some swear by chasing the steam on NBA injuries. Big player out, get there quicker than the book.

    Not my thing, doesn't mean it doesn't work.

  15. #15
    Yulia74
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    u forgot the most important thing


    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    1000 plays vs -110 NFL, NCAAF

    With access to:

    A real time line service.

    Tweet deck setup with all the breaking injury news.

    20tv monitors with all cable networks.

    Subscriptions to all online news sources.

    8+ betting out.

    ----

    In my 20's I would have thought its possible.

    In my 30's I would have said maybe.

    In my 40's I say I dont have the desire or time to devote 12+ hours a day to this battle.

  16. #16
    Yulia74
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    dont care much about these:

    Tweet deck setup with all the breaking injury news.

    20tv monitors with all cable networks.

    Subscriptions to all online news sources.

  17. #17
    trytrytry
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    peaked at 33

  18. #18
    KiDBaZkiT
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    I hit 57% last year 37 out of 65 plays and was not even slightly impressed or happy with myself. This year is raw dog leave a load in em time

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...otball-p8.html

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    Need -105 lines football or forget about it

  20. #20
    Fishhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Itís not worth it because itís chump change
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/26/2022


  21. #21
    SlickFazzer
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    I donít have the desire anymore. Spot bet some ball games, buy and sell things at the antique mall and invest in silver bullion.

  22. #22
    Roscoe_Word
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    I dont think I could hit .550 for 1000ABs.

    BASE got the bettor of me but the college footballs will be flyin soon.

    Lets give foot a shot..........................

  23. #23
    Chi_archie
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    no

    play the variance game. get hot, take a big shot. get out

  24. #24
    SlickFazzer
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    I like this Archie.

    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    no

    play the variance game. get hot, take a big shot. get out

  25. #25
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    no

    play the variance game. get hot, take a big shot. get out
    Then what?
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
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  26. #26
    pologq
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    i would like the 20 tvs just to be bombarded with sports at once on a saturday and sunday during the fall

  27. #27
    jjgold
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    How do you member multiple TVs donít accomplish anything other than not turning the channel you can only watch one thing

  28. #28
    SlickFazzer
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    I think it would just make you feel more like a professional with all types of monitors, screens, etc.

  29. #29
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    Agree to disagree on that. News sources, useless. 20 monitors useless. The injury thing is not bad. It isn't my thing, but some swear by chasing the steam on NBA injuries. Big player out, get there quicker than the book.

    Not my thing, doesn't mean it doesn't work.
    There is very few, if any, info that you might know that the books don't. Every bit of info is most surely baked into the line and thus gives you no edge.

  30. #30
    peacebyinches
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    I would need waayyy more TVs to make that happen.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/26/2022

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/22/2022

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 09/19/2022


  31. #31
    Waterstpub87
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    There is very few, if any, info that you might know that the books don't. Every bit of info is most surely baked into the line and thus gives you no edge.
    So as soon as an injury is announced, the lines are instantly updated? At all books? By the people making 18$ an hour at US books?

    5 minutes before a game, yes. Night before, no.

    Again, not my thing. Some people claim to do this, and it makes sense that there would be some latency between announcement and line update.

  32. #32
    SlickFazzer
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    Right, you can probably pick of some stale stuff. But damn, seems like a real grind for what you get out of it.

    Maybe for the right person.

    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    So as soon as an injury is announced, the lines are instantly updated? At all books? By the people making 18$ an hour at US books?

    5 minutes before a game, yes. Night before, no.

    Again, not my thing. Some people claim to do this, and it makes sense that there would be some latency between announcement and line update.

  33. #33
    OldBill
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    i never have lost a wager due to late breaking injury how many times the 2nd stringer goes in and outperforms the starter simply because they play all in ....

    eons ago when texans first came into nfk they were a huge 14.5 dog to the dolphins well one miami player said to texan player see ya after practice buddy during warmups ........... he immediatley reported to his team and wow they out right beat the dolphins

    i won because i saw this a trap game for miami they had the rival bills up next

  34. #34
    HedgeHog
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
    1000 plays vs -110 NFL, NCAAF

    With access to:

    A real time line service.

    Tweet deck setup with all the breaking injury news.

    20tv monitors with all cable networks.

    Subscriptions to all online news sources.

    8+ betting out.

    ----

    In my 20's I would have thought its possible.

    In my 30's I would have said maybe.

    In my 40's I say I dont have the desire or time to devote 12+ hours a day to this battle.
    Your premise is flawed from the start. Bettors that can hit 55%, or close to it, don't bet -110 lines. Reduced juice lines would dramatically increase their profits, so why limit yourself to full juice odds. Also, they don't have a set number of plays in mind, like 1000, instead they just bet the games that they have an edge in.

  35. #35
    SlickFazzer
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    Well said Hedge,

    I was just making some generalizations - pointing out that it is very difficult to do, and as someone said
    in the thread the amount of profit/vs the time invested.... is it really even worth the effort.

    For some maybe. For some maybe not.

    Quote Originally Posted by HedgeHog View Post
    Your premise is flawed from the start. Bettors that can hit 55%, or close to it, don't bet -110 lines. Reduced juice lines would dramatically increase their profits, so why limit yourself to full juice odds. Also, they don't have a set number of plays in mind, like 1000, instead they just bet the games that they have an edge in.

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