1. 05-26-22 06:15 AM #1
    jjgold
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    Most gamblers should really be shutting it down until September

    Baseball has about a 98% loss rate

    Other than bonus whores trying to arb out of bonus

    Major league baseball lines are perfectly priced for the last 50 years

    It’s a very easy sport because of the data to come up with accurate lines
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  2. 05-26-22 06:29 AM #2
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Plz STFU, guy.
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  3. 05-26-22 06:30 AM #3
    Mackballs
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    You should shut down your vital signs til about eternity.
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  4. 05-26-22 06:31 AM #4
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
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    firing away
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  5. 05-26-22 07:09 AM #5
    jjgold
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    We are going to build a roll
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  6. 05-26-22 07:16 AM #6
    Snowball
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    in the tennis
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  7. 05-26-22 07:49 AM #7
    Easy-Rider 66
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    SARATOGA starting soon GOLD. Good luck
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  8. 05-26-22 07:56 AM #8
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    SARATOGA starting soon GOLD. Good luck
    Yeah, Easy ... I'll ride with ya

    Let's rock and roll
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  9. 05-26-22 08:00 AM #9
    PD77
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    Gold, remember the good old days? https://forum.bodybuilding.com/showthread.php?t=267511
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  10. 05-26-22 08:05 AM #10
    SamsNCharge99
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    what's the fun in that
    Points Awarded:

    ChuckyTheGoat gave SamsNCharge99 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  11. 05-26-22 08:15 AM #11
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Yeah, Easy ... I'll ride with ya

    Let's rock and roll
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  12. 05-26-22 09:55 AM #12
    jjgold
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    Horse contests
    Working on models
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  13. 05-26-22 09:58 AM #13
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Horse contests
    Working on models
    good luck gold. keep us updated on your progress. thx
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  14. 05-26-22 10:27 AM #14
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    ...Major league baseball lines are perfectly priced for the last 50 years...
    You are wrong, couldn't be more wrong.

    I could start a thread like this one below nearly every day, but I don't think many posters understand it...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Vig Free
    Pinny Prices Imp. Prob Hold Imp Prob Vig Free line
    COL 126 0.4425 0.0184 0.4343 130.24
    PIT -136 0.5763 0.5657 -130.24
    BM
    COL 119 0.4566 0.0249 0.4452 124.60
    PIT -132 0.5690 0.5548 -124.60
    BOL
    COL 119 0.4566 0.0195 0.4477 123.37
    PIT -129 0.5633 0.5523 -123.37
    ...
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  15. 05-26-22 10:39 AM #15
    stevenash
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    ^
    Thanks.
    Spot on, you beat ne to the punch.
    No flies on KVB.

    Not for nothing I understand it.
    That has to count for something, right?

    Continue the go dude, I read most of your posts daily, astute and intelligent.
    Thanks for all that.
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  16. 05-26-22 11:02 AM #16
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post

    Major league baseball lines are perfectly priced for the last 50 years
    I lol’d
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  17. 05-26-22 11:14 AM #17
    stake1
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    Jj on fire lately
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  18. 05-26-22 12:19 PM #18
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    Jj on fire lately
    Broken clocks are correct twice a day, and blind squirrels have been known to gather acorns on occasions.

    But for reasons unknown, we love our Coach.
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  19. 05-26-22 02:20 PM #19
    teecee
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Baseball has about a 98% loss rate

    Other than bonus whores trying to arb out of bonus

    Major league baseball lines are perfectly priced for the last 50 years

    It’s a very easy sport because of the data to come up with accurate lines
    You can give your money to the books now or later. Doesn't really matter.
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  20. 05-26-22 04:21 PM #20
    sweethook
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    to much money left to be made in ufc .. gl
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  21. 05-26-22 06:41 PM #21
    Eddy Munny
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    What makes you think September is any different? The average gambler gets wrecked in football too.
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  22. 05-26-22 07:22 PM #22
    jjgold
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    Eddy It’s a cool thing to do
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  23. 05-26-22 08:01 PM #23
    b1slickguy
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    Real pros would only shut down until August.
    Pre-season is where you should begin your demise.
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  24. 05-26-22 08:04 PM #24
    lakerboy
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    Baseball can be beat. I like to enjoy the good weather though.
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  25. 05-26-22 09:13 PM #25
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
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    Lol

    I am in like a 12 game win streak
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  26. 05-26-22 09:13 PM #26
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Baseball can be beat. I like to enjoy the good weather though.
    Absolutely
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  27. 05-26-22 10:33 PM #27
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Baseball can be beat. I like to enjoy the good weather though.
    For sure, spot play dogs.

    Only bet chalk with another chalk on a two team money line parlay.
    Reason being it cuts into the books vig.
    I can prove out the math, but please don't ask, it's time consuming,

    I'll bet chalk on the road on occasion if I'm confident in the ace or staff ace, run line only.
    I'll lay the 1.5 runs if I can reduce the line from -16o to say +100.
    ONLY on the road.
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  28. 05-27-22 12:49 AM #28
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Broken clocks are correct twice a day, and blind squirrels have been known to gather acorns on occasions.

    But for reasons unknown, we love our Coach.
    He is Sbr’s Nostradamus. Philosophy and predictions flow from his fingers every day
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  29. 05-27-22 12:51 AM #29
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    Lol

    I am in like a 12 game win streak
    that forum? Total trash. only thing that will generate “something” that can make noise, is a 4th of July ladyboy hot dog eating contest between the 2 ladyboys that moderate there
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  30. 05-27-22 05:35 AM #30
    Headsterx
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    Why? When we’re getting great tips on -320 and -10000 plays! 😂😂😂
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  31. 05-27-22 06:01 AM #31
    Str8Mush4Life
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    Why? When we’re getting great tips on -320 and -10000 plays! 
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  32. 05-27-22 06:25 AM #32
    Booya711
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mackballs View Post
    You should shut down your vital signs til about eternity.
    Yes mackers….chucky should definitely do this
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  33. 05-27-22 10:06 AM #33
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    For sure, spot play dogs.

    Only bet chalk with another chalk on a two team money line parlay.
    Reason being it cuts into the books vig.
    I can prove out the math, but please don't ask, it's time consuming,

    I'll bet chalk on the road on occasion if I'm confident in the ace or staff ace, run line only.
    I'll lay the 1.5 runs if I can reduce the line from -16o to say +100.
    ONLY on the road.
    If you do the 2 team ML parlay, do you only take home teams? Are they between -160 and -200 favs for both legs? Just curious.
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  34. 05-27-22 10:16 AM #34
    flyingillini
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    Making a killing at Freehold lately
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  35. 05-27-22 10:50 AM #35
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    If you do the 2 team ML parlay, do you only take home teams? Are they between -160 and -200 favs for both legs? Just curious.
    Pretty much, yeah.

    Let's say you like a-170 favorite and a -180 both equally, and both strong plays.

    You're better off in the long run hooking them up in a two team parlay then betting them both individually.

    A -170/-180 pays 3:2 (+148 actually)
    Of course you need both pitchers to win, but with a two teamer you are eliminating the (horrors) risk of both games losing if you bet them 100 each individually. You'd bet out $350 if they both lost.

    If the two individual games split, you'd collect 100 on the winning -170 bet, but lose -180 on the other, for a net loss of 80 dollars.

    Why wouldn't you risk a 100 to win 150, and eliminate the risk of losing 350?

    Run line on the road though used to be profitable, but the extra inning ghost runner rule screwed me a few times last season/
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