1. #1
    Mr. Peepers
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    Hedge, Middle or Let it Ride?

    I was messing around on Nitrogen Mobile while I was holding my 2 year old son looking at the payout on potential parlays and I accidentally submitted a parlay with my entire bankroll of roughly $4700 to win $3200. First leg of the parlay Rams ML is most likely cashing with 5 minutes left and the other leg is Seahawks ML. A win or loss isn’t likely going to change my life for better or worse. Do I put $1500 on the Jets ML to win $6500 or try to middle with the Jets spread? I don’t think it’s impossible for the Jets to win this weekend. They have actually been playing pretty well the last few weeks and Russ has been struggling and I don’t think the Hawks are as good as their record indicates. I am looking to maximize my potential winnings while avoiding going busto from my mishap. Any suggestions to what I should do would be greatly appreciated. Thank you!

  2. #2
    pilebuck13
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    Let it ride jets are not beating the seahawks man

  3. #3
    Orbison
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    i'd either let it 100% ride or play the Jets +14 for half your parlay win amount ($1600)

  4. #4
    BuckyOne
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    Just play enough Jets money line to get your 4700 back if the Jets pull off the miracle. Did you see the horseshvt NFL football played last weekend? Anything can happen because it certainly did last weekend.

  5. #5
    Mr. Peepers
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    All good points and suggestions above. I have a few days to kick it around. I will let you know what I decide to do!

  6. #6
    eidolon
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    They aren't offering it at +500 or more?

  7. #7
    gauchojake
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  8. #8
    miaplus3
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    I would watch the 1st Quarter, regroup, reevaluate, then fire!

  9. #9
    hotcross
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    Let's ask Diggity
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: DiggityDaggityDo

  10. #10
    johnnyvegas13
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    Let it ride

    winless teams this late in the season never win on the road

  11. #11
    Mr. Peepers
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    I am getting flashbacks of the Bills winning last year in Minny as 16pt dogs...Granted that was a little different scenario with Josh Allen on the up and up and Kirk Cousins/ Minny being over valued but it does happen

  12. #12
    Art Vandelay
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    Throw a little on the Jets +14, then sit back and get ready to count your $3200. A Jets play winner would be a bonus!

  13. #13
    Otters27
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    Middle the spread for a guarantee profit or let it ride

  14. #14
    RudyRuetigger
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    how do you accidentally bet your entire balance???

  15. #15
    Hman
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    The age-old question.

    Everyone's situation is different.

    You have to ask yourself these questions:

    *How important is the money to you when it comes to being won or lost

    *How much will you kick yourself if you don't hedge & lose, or even hedge and the greed makes you have regrets that you did

  16. #16
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckyOne View Post
    Just play enough Jets money line to get your 4700 back if the Jets pull off the miracle. Did you see the horseshvt NFL football played last weekend? Anything can happen because it certainly did last weekend.
    Sharp.

    Never take advice from someone that tells you one pro sports team can’t beat another pro sports team.

  17. #17
    Mr. Peepers
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    how do you accidentally bet your entire balance???
    Crazy, I know. First time I have ever done this in 15 years of betting....Dude, I am not sure if you have a nitrogen account but once you put in a wager amount you are one click away from putting the bet in. Every other site I have ever used has a confirm bet page before the bet can be accepted.

  18. #18
    RudyRuetigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Peepers View Post
    Crazy, I know. First time I have ever done this in 15 years of betting....Dude, I am not sure if you have a nitrogen account but once you put in a wager amount you are one click away from putting the bet in. Every other site I have ever used has a confirm bet page before the bet can be accepted.
    yea but its not like you are dealing with round numbers on nitrogen and clicked an extra 0, its all kinda numbers due to being in bitcoin


    if you really didnt mean to place the bet in the first place, id hedge


    if you did mean to and are now scared, i wouldnt since the money isnt that big of a deal to you...you can either win or teach your past self a lesson about tilting so maybe it wont happen again


    up to you on which one is true


  19. #19
    Crusherrr
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    how do you accidentally bet your entire balance???
    On Nitrogen it's very easy. In the blackjack I accidentally bet 1000 mbtc which at the time was like $6000. Its not like other sites where you are betting $100. It's very easy to forget and somehow bet 100mbtc which would be $1,800 ish not $100 obviously

  20. #20
    SamsNCharge99
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    let it ride

  21. #21
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckyOne View Post
    Just play enough Jets money line to get your 4700 back if the Jets pull off the miracle. Did you see the horseshvt NFL football played last weekend? Anything can happen because it certainly did last weekend.
    maybe this but i really feel the jets are not winning. no mims, on the road, jamal adams revenge factor and knows their plays. adams wants this game probably more than any other game this year excluding a NFC championship and Super Bowl.

  22. #22
    Ian
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    Let it ride.

    There's no point in making a -EV bet just because you already made a different -EV bet.

  23. #23
    RudyRuetigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crusherrr View Post
    On Nitrogen it's very easy. In the blackjack I accidentally bet 1000 mbtc which at the time was like $6000. Its not like other sites where you are betting $100. It's very easy to forget and somehow bet 100mbtc which would be $1,800 ish not $100 obviously
    i play on nitrogen and never have that problem

  24. #24
    Hushie
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    Let that shit ride.

  25. #25
    jjgold
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    Only hedge it’s large stakes are involved

  26. #26
    ace7550
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckyOne View Post
    Just play enough Jets money line to get your 4700 back if the Jets pull off the miracle. Did you see the horseshvt NFL football played last weekend? Anything can happen because it certainly did last weekend.
    This. Make it so you can only win.

  27. #27
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    I always see these hedging questions. I've even asked myself before but it all comes down to if it is a large amount for you, then you hedge. If it's not a big deal, let it ride.

  28. #28
    Stallion
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    Just let it ride. Seattle isn't taking the Jets lightly like they did the Giants last week.

  29. #29
    texhooper
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    Because this was supposedly an accident, id say the answer is pretty easy. Hedge out to win $4700 on Jets point spread and hope for a nice middle. Seattle hasn’t taken anyone to the woodshed this year and the Jets seem to have a little life here lately so you could easily win a couple of really big bets

    But normally, like if it wasn’t an accident, I’d say let it ride, unless it’s like an insane life changing amount. Did you make the bet to win the bet or did you make the bet to oil up your vagine just to have your boyfriend fukk you in the asshole instead? I didn’t think so. But since this was an accident, let’s try to finesse the situation a little bit, because no matter what you say, you would hang yourself if you lost $4700 in this fashion

  30. #30
    RudyRuetigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crusherrr View Post
    On Nitrogen it's very easy. In the blackjack I accidentally bet 1000 mbtc which at the time was like $6000. Its not like other sites where you are betting $100. It's very easy to forget and somehow bet 100mbtc which would be $1,800 ish not $100 obviously
    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    i play on nitrogen and never have that problem
    im not hating


    ive misclicked a bet


    but on bitcoin books the fact you have to type in so many bs numbers, that should make you realize something weird is going on

  31. #31
    Mr. Peepers
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    yea but its not like you are dealing with round numbers on nitrogen and clicked an extra 0, its all kinda numbers due to being in bitcoin


    if you really didnt mean to place the bet in the first place, id hedge


    if you did mean to and are now scared, i wouldnt since the money isnt that big of a deal to you...you can either win or teach your past self a lesson about tilting so maybe it wont happen again


    up to you on which one is true

    Math is not a personal strength of mine especially when it comes to calculating parlays. I will often but a bet amount in the box to see the payout to see if the risk is worth the reward. At that point on Nitrogen you are only 1 click away from a placed wager. It wasn’t a bad bet in my mind just a 100% of my roll

  32. #32
    Mr. Peepers
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crusherrr View Post
    On Nitrogen it's very easy. In the blackjack I accidentally bet 1000 mbtc which at the time was like $6000. Its not like other sites where you are betting $100. It's very easy to forget and somehow bet 100mbtc which would be $1,800 ish not $100 obviously
    Did you win the hand???

  33. #33
    RudyRuetigger
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    i could see if you said i was trying for 10% or 1% of the bet


    but you clicked every fukkin number for an all in


    so my point remains if you meant to do it or not


    and that is what you should do


    my post, number 18

    Hedge, Middle or Let it Ride? (sportsbookreview.com)

  34. #34
    texhooper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Peepers View Post
    Math is not a personal strength of mine especially when it comes to calculating parlays. I will often but a bet amount in the box to see the payout to see if the risk is worth the reward. At that point on Nitrogen you are only 1 click away from a placed wager. It wasn’t a bad bet in my mind just a 100% of my roll
    There are parlay calculators out there that will give you a pretty good idea. I googled it the other day and used the one the VSin site, and it matched Heritage when I put the parlay in for real. There used to be one on here somewhere, I think, maybe it’s still around. Something to consider if you want to avoid this in the future

  35. #35
    biggie12
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    Let it ride.... cashout and use the money for your kid. He deserves it after all it was his selections.

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