1. #1
    lakerboy
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    Tomorrow night the tennessee titans are laying 3 points

    Now the general opinion is that they win.

    Let's do a simple breakdown.

    Denver opened as a favorite of-1.5/2. The broncos lost von miller and the line went to-3 tennessee. Obviously miller is not worth all that so there must be some sharp money on tennessee right?

    Well in this covid era home field means little in most places but not in denver. The altitude in week 1 with no pre season is a factor. I don't think the titans will be able to overcome that factor. The broncos still have a good d even with miller out. Tannehill is still a bum. He had a good run last year but long term he isn't a great qb.

    Over the years laying 3 points in mile high is suicide

  2. #2
    Unrivaled
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    Von Miller is worth a few points but both teams are bad hard to say.

    Hard to win in Denver in September.

  3. #3
    jjgold
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    Tailing although they do not have a good qb or at least subpar

    It’s tough playing quarterbacks that aren’t that good

  4. #4
    lakerboy
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    Drew lock isn't supposedly good. I'm not sure. All I've heard all week is that he beat up on shit teams last year.

    Guys tennessee beats all the great teams.

    They don't show up in games vs trash teams.

    That is why they are a mediocre team.

  5. #5
    johnnyvegas13
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    I am on donks tmr

  6. #6
    Unrivaled
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Drew lock isn't supposedly good. I'm not sure. All I've heard all week is that he beat up on shit teams last year.

    Guys tennessee beats all the great teams.

    They don't show up in games vs trash teams.

    That is why they are a mediocre team.
    The fact there isn't preseason though... did Titans train for a couple weeks in Denver or just arrive? These are things to consider.

  7. #7
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    The fact there isn't preseason though... did Titans train for a couple weeks in Denver or just arrive? These are things to consider.
    That's a good point but playing in a real game is different.

    Do you know what the broncos record is as a 3+ point dog at mile high?

  8. #8
    johnnyvegas13
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    Titans still hung over from last seasons run

    donks rested and at home

    laker is right here

  9. #9
    hotcross
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    Tannehill is 0-2 in his career at Denver

  10. #10
    SamsNCharge99
    5x POTM. 2x Video maker of the year
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    On denver

    public will be on titans based on afc championship appearance last season

    letdown spot for them here

  11. #11
    Wrongside
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    Denver were pre-season darlings, so they got that going for them/against. Plenty of excitement around that team. Miller is huge from a leadership standpoint...he changes things out there with how quickly he gets to the Q. Don't forget about the addition of Clowney. That being said, I think your points are pretty good.

  12. #12
    Orbison
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    Sutton is also out

  13. #13
    Unrivaled
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    That's a good point but playing in a real game is different.

    Do you know what the broncos record is as a 3+ point dog at mile high?
    I'm assuming it's really good but they also used to have a good team and they are pretty bad now.

    Bears and Jags beat them at mile high in September last year.

  14. #14
    pilebuck13
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    I like the over pit giants game better but can see Denver winning here

  15. #15
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    I'm assuming it's really good but they also used to have a good team and they are pretty bad now.

    Bears and Jags beat them at mile high in September last year.
    What was line in those games?

  16. #16
    hotcross
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    I'm assuming it's really good but they also used to have a good team and they are pretty bad now.

    Bears and Jags beat them at mile high in September last year.
    Sept.15, 2019 Denver +3 closing line at home vs Chicago, Lost 14-16

    Sept.29, 2019 Denver -2.5 closing line at home vs Jax, Lost 24-26

    just keeping track

  17. #17
    thetrinity
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    Laker makes a solid point that being at home in Denver is probably the one place that matters, at least now. Late in the year, weather could matter in some spots

  18. #18
    gauchojake
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    How is Denver’s run defense? O- line? When the line crosses that zero it’s a bad sign for the team that was favored to start. Ten probably wins by 2 though.

  19. #19
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    How is Denver’s run defense? O- line? When the line crosses that zero it’s a bad sign for the team that was favored to start. Ten probably wins by 2 though.
    Good point let's take the giants.

  20. #20
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Good point let's take the giants.
    Agreed

  21. #21
    lakerboy
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    Great game

  22. #22
    MinnesotaFats
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    LOL if the dude could kick the game would be over

    We had a gay French exchange student in HS that kicked for us, he was better.....and he knew about Jellywatching and foot fetishes

  23. #23
    lakerboy
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    Let's go

  24. #24
    hotcross
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    Sept.15, 2019 Denver +3 closing line at home vs Chicago, Lost 14-16

    Sept.29, 2019 Denver -2.5 closing line at home vs Jax, Lost 24-26

    just keeping track
    Sept.14, 2020 Denver +3 closing line at home vs Tennessee, Lost 14-16

    couldn't have scripted it any better

  25. #25
    ThaTopMoron
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    hahaha

    so rigged at the end

    Titans have it all perfectly setup. 2 timeouts left. 3rd and 1 with Henry...

    audible to shotgun and throw an uncatchable ball to the corner of the endzone

    why?

    if Henry gets stuffed THEN you kick it

  26. #26
    sweethook
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    nice win

  27. #27
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    How is Denver’s run defense? O- line? When the line crosses that zero it’s a bad sign for the team that was favored to start. Ten probably wins by 2 though.
    You are welcome.

  28. #28
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
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    I should taken the points. The hits keep coming

  29. #29
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    You are welcome.
    Nice man.

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