[jjgold]

Cincy only play here

[beefcake]

Im sure there are some obscure soccer plays out there..lol

[cashwaveking]

Cincy has to be the play but I haven’t seen them play at all , also haven’t seen Pitt play without Ben . Thoughts ?

[pilebuck13]

Cincy has to be the play but I haven’t seen them play at all , also haven’t seen Pitt play without Ben . Thoughts ?

Thoughts: breath, wait tell end of week patience grasshopper

[Sam Odom]

moving $$$ around today

claiming re-up Bonuses

[BIGDAY]

Might throw a freggen DART...

[clockwise1965]

Pass

[smitch124]

Arsenal.Man U takes center stage.

[Hot Jerry]

Wnt - mnf !!

[veriableodds]

how many cups of java b4 this post coach??

[asiagambler]

Arsenal PK +146

Arsenal in good form, won 3 in a row and coming off 5-0 beatdown of Nottingham. Only missing Lacazette

United look terrible, very lethargic. Needed penalties against Rochdale, lost to West Ham, barely scraped by Astana in Europa league and lucky to beat Leicester, both at home

Lot of injuries for United. Martial is out. Phil Jones out. Luke Shaw, Dalot and Angel Gomes all doubtful. Looks like Rashford could be playing but dealing with groin injury, doubt he's 100%. Pogba is playing but looks like he's ready to leave.

United line is dropping I guess because Rashford was named to the squad but I'll take the team in much better form

[shocka1212]

just take the day off....

[Sam Odom]

just take the day off....

Just one tonight... MNF

Not sure which way yet -- but will bet soon then be gone until Tuesday

[JIBBBY]

Dead schedule.

MNF that's about it. Couple of 0-3 teams.

[shocka1212]

Just one tonight... MNF

Not sure which way yet -- but will bet soon then be gone until Tuesday

steelers probably win, Bengals probably cover though.. you gotta be a complete degen to touch this one and thats coming from someone who bet Korean soccer totals and went to sleep while they were playing

[gauchojake]

Tailing morino player props

[vividjohn45]

Cincy only play here

I took a Pitt heavy draftkings card. One Cincy player.. I won $8 bux on a $3 NFL card yesterday had it up to $75 bux before Rams/buccs players crushed the card. I mean loading up on bucs vs Rams in l.a. smh. Anyway those guys crushed it yesterday. 95 total points scored.

[JIBBBY]

steelers probably win, Bengals probably cover though.. you gotta be a complete degen to touch this one and thats coming from someone who bet Korean soccer totals and went to sleep while they were playing

May throw a dart on Andy Dalton and the crap Bengals if I do bet this garbage.. Andy Dalton is still a decent QB.. Should put up points.

https://sports.yahoo.com/m/5a2d4400-...ositional.html

[Sam Odom]

Cincy only play here

steelers probably win, Bengals probably cover though...

Food for thought

[shocka1212]

Tailing morino player props

James Connor rushing attempts will be a lock tonight.

[BigdaddyQH]

Terrible game tonight. Pass.

[KVB]

Picked up some moneylines today for next week's NCAAF...

The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has picked up...

343	4-Oct	ARIZONA +135
367		W MICHIGAN +115

Got fukked on the W Mich price because of system issues. Should have had +145.

The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog ML Fund has picked up...

309	4-Oct	N MEXICO +220
313		BC +160
355		IOWA +170
361		N'WESTERN +230

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Arsenal PK +146

Arsenal in good form, won 3 in a row and coming off 5-0 beatdown of Nottingham. Only missing Lacazette

United look terrible, very lethargic. Needed penalties against Rochdale, lost to West Ham, barely scraped by Astana in Europa league and lucky to beat Leicester, both at home

Lot of injuries for United. Martial is out. Phil Jones out. Luke Shaw, Dalot and Angel Gomes all doubtful. Looks like Rashford could be playing but dealing with groin injury, doubt he's 100%. Pogba is playing but looks like he's ready to leave.

United line is dropping I guess because Rashford was named to the squad but I'll take the team in much better form

I took arsenal + 1/2 -130

[MisterSack]

Picked up some moneylines today for next week's NCAAF...

LOOK AT THOSE MEAT WAGONS!!!

[shocka1212]

LOOK AT THOSE MEAT WAGONS!!!

[KVB]

[Tanko]

Im leaning Cincy slightly but could easily be talked out of it and just go with player props.

[MisterSack]

Black and ​Yellow ML

[KVB]

Black and ​Yellow ML

I think this might be the answer.

I have so many reasons to pick up Cinci and those reasons and adjustments so far when applied to the NFL season have done very, very well.

That's not going to last and Monday night like this where all those previously successful adjustments can be applied to Cinci, sure feels like the take part of the give and take NFL market.

The market tends to expoit the bettors this way, particularly those who chase or up their bet size just because they've won some bets.

Leaning Pitt strong here and have a raw forecast to justify even the 3.5, that's how big the adjustments towards Cinci really are here, and also takes away the need to bet on "feel" like I might be tempted to do.

Could be a pass, to just sit on the previous profits and let this one ride out.

[MisterSack]

I think this might be the answer.

I have so many reasons to pick up Cinci and those reasons and adjustments so far when applied to the NFL season have done very, very well.

That's not going to last and Monday night like this where all those previously successful adjustments can be applied to Cinci, sure feels like the take part of the give and take NFL market.

The market tends to expoit the bettors this way, particularly those who chase or up their bet size just because they've won some bets.

Leaning Pitt strong here and have a raw forecast to justify even the 3.5, that's how big the adjustments towards Cinci really are here, and also takes away the need to bet on "feel" like I might be tempted to do.

Could be a pass, to just sit on the previous profits and let this one ride out.

Great thought. Don't pass up on a great investment

[KVB]

Great thought. Don't pass up on a great investment

It's a tough one, because when I say the adjustments have done very very well it's not tooting a horn, it's saying they are over performing.

But like I say when discussing strategies that have conflicting plays, who am I to decide when a +EV play will fail?

In that regard, the play becomes Cinci again, riding the streak.

Goes back to that piece I once wrote about there being two type of bettors.

One...streak riders.

And B...streak breakers.

The contrarian in me tends to run on the streak breaker mentality but I also recognize the gambler fallacy trap that can be entertained there.

Poster Jibby is definitely a streak rider and he has done that to profit on great runs many times. Honestly, and I wouldn't say this about many posters, but with Jibbs, I would trust his streak riding bets. He's been pretty good with them among all sports and even props over the years.

[stevenash]

Cincy only play here

This, or wait for the baseball game tomorrow.

[KVB]

Im leaning Cincy slightly but could easily be talked out of it and just go with player props.

What props are you looking at Tanko?

[cashwaveking]

Wish it was that easy lol

just take the day off....

[KVB]

This, or wait for the baseball game tomorrow.

Who you liking in the Wild Card? Might hit the UNDER but man I've gotten killed on UNDERs this season...

29-Sep	Plays	Units
Overall	657	3.69
Totals	191	-6.43
ML's	466	10.12
29-Sep	# of	1 Unit
	Plays	per bet
OVER	66	5.7
UNDER	125	-12.13
Total	191	-6.43