1. 05-30-19 06:38 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Thursday, 5/30/19

    1 MLB Play Thursday

    Angels +103 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 114-118-7, -2.69
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  2. 05-30-19 06:44 AM #2
    jjgold
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    boring season for LT as of now
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  3. 05-30-19 06:53 AM #3
    LT Profits
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    6-1 yesterday, here I come!
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  4. 05-30-19 06:54 AM #4
    LT Profits
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    I do hate low volume cards though and today looks like another one.
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  5. 05-30-19 07:06 AM #5
    sosawestbrook
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    Solid work LT good luck today

    What are your thoughts on the young Cards pitcher Dakota Hudson?
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  6. 05-30-19 07:15 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by sosawestbrook View Post
    Solid work LT good luck today

    What are your thoughts on the young Cards pitcher Dakota Hudson?
    I don't like him at all, horrific 6.41/4.05 K/BB per 9 ratio so not need to dig any further. I may actually be overrating him at 20% below average, but cutting him slack due to small sample size.
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  7. 05-30-19 07:17 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I don't like him at all, horrific 6.41/4.05 K/BB per 9 ratio so not need to dig any further. I may actually be overrating him at 20% below average, but cutting him slack due to small sample size.
    I should add that his great groundball rate is keeping Hudson from being totally atrocious.
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  8. 05-30-19 07:34 AM #8
    sosawestbrook
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    what is considered ELITE k/bb? above 5?
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  9. 05-30-19 07:41 AM #9
    LT Profits
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    5 is super elite, ratio above 3 would rank around top 50 in baseball right now.
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  10. 05-30-19 09:57 AM #10
    snider
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    Where do you need to be on the Rangers and White Sox?
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  11. 05-30-19 10:09 AM #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by snider View Post
    Where do you need to be on the Rangers and White Sox?
    I only have Texas 58% (-138), I think the opportunity there was actually with KC early on.

    And I would not go near the White Sox as I have pitching mismatch with Cleveland 67% (-203).
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  12. 05-30-19 11:00 AM #12
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I don't like him at all, horrific 6.41/4.05 K/BB per 9 ratio so not need to dig any further. I may actually be overrating him at 20% below average, but cutting him slack due to small sample size.
    THIS IS WHY IM SO ANGRY LT. I FADED CARDINALS LAST TIME THIS HUDSON FUK WAS PITCHING. His velocity dropped and his stats SUCK. I had done all my research used the advanced stats like you, made my largest bet of the year on the fukkin braves. Stupid fukking mlb always lose. The other guy, I forget his name, was a true sub 2 ERA with good strike to ball ratio, 3 xFIP while Hudson 5+ and just Atlanta pitcher beautiful stats all around.

    Fukking 8th inning they imploded and I lost. LT I despise baseball. Games that on paper look like should win, fukking lose every time. Pitchers be 5-0 and I’m their first loss. Feel fukking cursed. Sorry but the Atlanta play was a HUGE play for me at -110 over the weekend. 1.5k
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  13. 05-30-19 11:04 AM #13
    eaglesfan371
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    Felt like goddamn LT that day. Looked at K/BB, xFIP, strike to ball ratio, groundball/flyball ratio, velocity recent and past years, the whole works. Thought I had capped the game beautifully that day. 0-2 SO ANGERING. On vacation too to make matters worse!
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  14. 05-30-19 02:48 PM #14
    LT Profits
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    Again, Angels No Action due to Pitching Change and again, I re-bet them at new price.

    1 MLB Play Thursday

    Angels +105 (Heritage)
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  15. 05-30-19 04:31 PM #15
    LT Profits
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    AGAIN Re-Bet Angels

    SECOND Pitching Change for Angels as they are now using opener, so another No Action and I again re-bet at new price.

    1 MLB Play Thursday

    Angels +103 (Heritage)
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  16. 05-30-19 05:13 PM #16
    LT Profits
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    1 Last MLB Addition

    2 MLB Plays Thursday

    Pirates +113 (Heritage)
    Angels +103 (Heritage)
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  17. 05-30-19 05:15 PM #17
    eaglesfan371
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    LT have you ever "gambled" in the past year? Meaning, made a bet that your model did not agree with because you thought differently and were extremely confident about some alternative, non quantitative factor?
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  18. 05-30-19 05:19 PM #18
    NBAtony
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    2 MLB Plays Thursday

    Pirates +113 (Heritage)
    Angels +103 (Heritage)

    waiting for this play all day.. on 1H as well...bucccoooos
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  19. 05-30-19 05:32 PM #19
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglesfan371 View Post
    LT have you ever "gambled" in the past year? Meaning, made a bet that your model did not agree with because you thought differently and were extremely confident about some alternative, non quantitative factor?
    No, have not bet on "feel" since my youth.
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