1. 04-21-19 10:50 AM #1
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Happy Easter: NBA in-game thread

    Playing the celtics early. What do my fellow degens like today?

    Points Awarded:

    The Kraken gave High3rEl3m3nt 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 04-21-19 10:51 AM #2
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 04-21-19 10:52 AM #3
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    all over Boston
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 04-21-19 10:55 AM #4
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 04-21-19 11:33 AM #5
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Clipper +9.5 a possibility here.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 04-21-19 11:38 AM #6
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    KVB, what's your model's total for warriors/clippers?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 04-21-19 11:40 AM #7
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    I actually have GS winning by 21 points.

    But this is the playoffs and while the contrarian adjustments are knocking it down, it's still higher than the line.

    Yet the line doesn't move much, we've been seeing 14 point lines this playoffs, it could easily go there but it doesn't.

    Am looking closely but lean the +9.5 or even +10 if we can get it.

    Wouldn't be the first time Warriors fuk me though, it's as if that's the only reason they exist.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 04-21-19 11:57 AM #8
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    What does your model like for the total on that game?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 04-21-19 12:14 PM #9
    timdog12
    timdog12's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-27-18
    Posts: 669
    Betpoints: 308

    Good bet high I have 5k on Celtics minus 3
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 04-21-19 12:20 PM #10
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by High3rEl3m3nt View Post
    What does your model like for the total on that game?
    Just about right at the number, and no meaningful market adjustments, a slight bit towards UNDER 235.5.

    But oh so slight.

    The biggest pass my office has seen in a while.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 04-21-19 12:38 PM #11
    shadymcgrady
    shadymcgrady's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-12
    Posts: 10,036
    Betpoints: 2978

    This game is going to be a dogfight, Celts role players coming up flat on their shots. Legs fatigued. If celts pull away and cover Hayward and brown gonna have to do the heavy lifting with the freshest legs today
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 04-21-19 02:37 PM #12
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Couldn't imagine having celtics -4 there
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 04-21-19 02:39 PM #13
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    passing on GSW Clips game.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 04-21-19 03:25 PM #14
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    KVB has been dead-on in these playoffs from what I can see.

    We need you to check in and give us the run down on the rest of the NBA card. Good stuff, bud!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 04-21-19 03:26 PM #15
    pablo222
    pablo222's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-03-19
    Posts: 8,813
    Betpoints: 25570

    Passed on this game also. Looking at Magic under.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 04-21-19 03:27 PM #16
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    GL, Pablo
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 04-21-19 08:18 PM #17
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    lean Blazers
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 04-21-19 08:22 PM #18
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Quote Originally Posted by pablo222 View Post
    Passed on this game also. Looking at Magic under.
    winner if you played it. Nice call.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 04-21-19 08:28 PM #19
    pablo222
    pablo222's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-03-19
    Posts: 8,813
    Betpoints: 25570

    Thanks. Magic terrible offensively
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 04-21-19 08:30 PM #20
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Here's what I have. The forecast is basically a tie, with OKC city getting a slight moneyline edge and the Total is basically just like the line movement. The forecast says about 224 points but when I adjust for market factors it drops to 222.

    I see what I identify as sharp moves on the UNDER and it seems that would be the play if I had to. The Totals is a pass.

    Looking at the spread it seems like that close forecast is in line with the public view. Contrarian adjustments tell us OKC. Also, the information I am getting shows the money differing from the public and being on OKC is the play.

    In my opinion, in spite of the money, the books appear to have moved the line and tried to induce steam on Portland.

    The recipe for Portland is too much for my taste and the market seems to be forcing them here. They could get it, but history tells us that this doesn't work out well for Portland.

    I countered the move and pulled the trigger on OKC -5 (-105) and I may seek a favorable live line on OKC.

    Good Luck.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 04-21-19 08:36 PM #21
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Gl kvb
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 04-21-19 08:40 PM #22
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Sorry so late with this game and missing the last game. Easter, you know



    Good Luck Higher!

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 04-21-19 09:39 PM #23
    The Kraken
    The Kraken's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-11
    Posts: 28,917
    Betpoints: 532

    Nice work in here, and good luck with the Thunder
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 04-22-19 10:40 AM #24
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Playing Rockets -3 tonight.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 04-22-19 12:38 PM #25
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146



    dime time.

    what do you all like today?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 04-22-19 01:05 PM #26
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Thinking Detroit +12.5 or even 13.

    I have Mil winning by 16 points in a 218 -219 point game but market adjustment appear to be trending towards the dog.

    Once again that Total becomes so close to call, even with the minimal adjustments.. The spread is "on" too, but I am looking at Detroit. That is happening more often than we'd like to see.

    I need more info here.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 04-22-19 05:05 PM #27
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Gl, kvb
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »