1. 04-17-19 06:33 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Wednesday, 4/17/19

    3 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Mets +106 (Heritage)
    Royals / White Sox UNDER 9 -110 (Heritage)
    Angels / Rangers UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 33-42-2, -7.24
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  2. 04-17-19 10:08 AM #2
    MinnesotaFats
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    I feel a big run coming

    Time to tail!
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  3. 04-17-19 11:11 AM #3
    NBAtony
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    Quote Originally Posted by MinnesotaFats View Post
    I feel a big run coming

    Time to tail!
    yes.

    also the wind/temp should help both of those unders

    tail all 3 bol!
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  4. 04-17-19 11:19 AM #4
    jjgold
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    The model not reading things correctly early on
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  5. 04-17-19 12:07 PM #5
    jolyolyolyman
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    The model not reading things correctly early on
    Sure missed on that Phils/Mets Under yesterday. It went over in the first inning. Now backing the Mets with Arrieta on the mound for the Phils. Very Interesting model...
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  6. 04-17-19 12:12 PM #6
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    The model not reading things correctly early on
    Shut TF up what the hell do you know asss clown
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  7. 04-17-19 01:15 PM #7
    Doogie M.D.
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    Orioles ?
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  8. 04-17-19 01:47 PM #8
    thirdeye42
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    Another loser for LT with the Mets. Worst capper on this site
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  9. 04-17-19 02:32 PM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Doogie M.D. View Post
    Orioles ?
    Not for me, I get Rays 71% (-245)
    Points Awarded:

    Doogie M.D. gave LT Profits 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  10. 04-17-19 02:36 PM #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by thirdeye42 View Post
    Another loser for LT with the Mets. Worst capper on this site
    Why, because I am -7 units in April?

    Do a little simple research before posting stupid shit like that, I am currently up double-digits in both NBA and NHL and the only sport I lost in over the past year was College Hoops, where I came back from almost -40 to finish a scant -1.something. Not to mention 4 winning MLB seasons in the last 5 years.
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  11. 04-17-19 04:43 PM #11
    dirtycash66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Why, because I am -7 units in April?

    Do a little simple research before posting stupid shit like that, I am currently up double-digits in both NBA and NHL and the only sport I lost in over the past year was College Hoops, where I came back from almost -40 to finish a scant -1.something. Not to mention 4 winning MLB seasons in the last 5 years.
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  12. 04-17-19 04:45 PM #12
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Why, because I am -7 units in April?

    Do a little simple research before posting stupid shit like that, I am currently up double-digits in both NBA and NHL and the only sport I lost in over the past year was College Hoops, where I came back from almost -40 to finish a scant -1.something. Not to mention 4 winning MLB seasons in the last 5 years.
    Over the past 5 years, what is your combined record across all sports?
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  13. 04-17-19 05:27 PM #13
    KVB
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    Was on the Mets too in the Contrarian Fund, bases loaded top of the ninth and couldn't get it done.

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  14. 04-17-19 06:44 PM #14
    eaglesfan371
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    Also, what does the model have Astros/Athletics tonight. I see a lot of sharp action on athletics from movement but I struggle to see how oakland is more than a -105 true line ML even though Miley is a below average pitcher. Astros have had As number for past year or two and Miley has done well against them historically. Nothing stands out from the lineups. While I definitely understand pitching favors the As here, can't see why the line is moving so much.
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  15. 04-17-19 06:53 PM #15
    spippen
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Was on the Mets too in the Contrarian Fund, bases loaded top of the ninth and couldn't get it done.

    Me too. That's the Mets for you.
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  16. 04-17-19 07:01 PM #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglesfan371 View Post
    Also, what does the model have Astros/Athletics tonight. I see a lot of sharp action on athletics from movement but I struggle to see how oakland is more than a -105 true line ML even though Miley is a below average pitcher. Astros have had As number for past year or two and Miley has done well against them historically. Nothing stands out from the lineups. While I definitely understand pitching favors the As here, can't see why the line is moving so much.
    I have Astros 55% (-122) so line movement is a mystery to me with what looks like normal lineups. And as I have said several times, I never like when line runs away so much from model line, so I am not getting involved.
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  17. 04-17-19 07:28 PM #17
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I have Astros 55% (-122) so line movement is a mystery to me with what looks like normal lineups. And as I have said several times, I never like when line runs away so much from model line, so I am not getting involved.
    Bottom line, sharp, respectable money spoke and the market reacted. Maybe the books created the situation, maybe not, but I can't identify much buyback here, just a stall around +104 - +106.

    Oakland even had Estrada hit the injury list, yet still no buyback.

    I like Oakland here, in agreement with that money, but it hasn't triggered a play in the Fund.
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  18. 04-17-19 07:49 PM #18
    El Sol
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    Quote Originally Posted by thirdeye42 View Post
    Another loser for LT with the Mets. Worst capper on this site
    these guys. They come on, follow some stranger on a random day, lose, yell at the capper for losing than you never hear from them again....
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  19. 04-17-19 08:39 PM #19
    spippen
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    It's not LT's fault that the Mets suck. The Mets suck. If you want to bet the Mets be ready for a loss because the Mets suck. Come back in June and I bet LT is up strong units.
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  20. 04-17-19 10:49 PM #20
    Doogie M.D.
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    Thanks for the Orioles tip. I took Rays -1.5
    Figures Marlins kill me with 10 runs, then immediately follow that up with scores of 1...2....0....0 ugh
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  21. 04-17-19 11:16 PM #21
    eaglesfan371
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    Crying inside

    Took Astros, got "trapped"

    Oh well, onto the next. Overall even for the day. Mad at myself for taking 1st 5 instead of full game pirates...
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  22. 04-18-19 05:40 AM #22
    LT Profits
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    At the end of the day, a winning 2-1.
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  23. 04-18-19 05:45 AM #23
    spippen
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    At the end of the day, a winning 2-1.
    Feels good right? Looks like almost all games except a couple stayed under the total.
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  24. 04-18-19 06:26 AM #24
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by spippen View Post
    Feels good right? Looks like almost all games except a couple stayed under the total.
    Yeah totals are close to 50/50 overall this season, so fact that I am like 8 games under .500 in Unders is just random variance, I should be alright.
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