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The Importance of Strength of Schedule ATS Wlldcard Weekend
Interesting stats I heard from my good friend Teddy Covers. When using Sagarin Strength of Schedule wild card weekend just blindly tailing the team with the harder schedule is 41-17-2 since 2002 ATS. When that number is 10 points are more that team covers at a 80% clip. I’m trusting teddy on these numbers as did not research. Last year did go 2-2. Philly & Dallas are in the 10 point clip this weekend.
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Damn, pretty sick If accurate. Fits my liking of dallas. Not so much cause I like bears. Lol
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that is what sucks about football betting, there is never enough data (41-17 is nothing) and the lines dont move enough!! I really think that NFL betting is so much fun but purely recreational, books kill it on football!
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Originally Posted by
danshan11
that is what sucks about football betting, there is never enough data (41-17 is nothing) and the lines dont move enough!! I really think that NFL betting is so much fun but purely recreational, books kill it on football!
Without a doubt! I usually think this a really good weekend to use 6 point teasers. Lines generally pretty good and most these games look to be tight.
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heavy teaser action this weekend.
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Bears should have lost last week. Now they’ll get knocked out first round
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Corona on St. Pats... WTF!
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Originally Posted by
daneblazer
Bears should have lost last week. Now they’ll get knocked out first round
Yep, they had the rare opportunity to choose their first round opponent. Can't believe they chose Philly over the pathetic Vikes!
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Originally Posted by
daneblazer
Bears should have lost last week. Now they’ll get knocked out first round
I will laugh my ass off if that happens.
I thought they they would be smart about it last weekend and it cost me money...
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Bears did the right thing. Very hard to beat a division rival 3 straight games. Teams rest sometimes and lose there edge.
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And Teddy covers is living out of a box that’s what you need to know
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Originally Posted by
jjgold
And Teddy covers is living out of a box that’s what you need to know
Guy throws out actual stats and you try & bury him. He said on his twitter feed you were up his ass so much in Vegas he had to call security.
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good info
another reason players talk is needed
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Originally Posted by
jjgold
And Teddy covers is living out of a box that’s what you need to know
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its all about matchups and current status of a team
what happened in Sept is like light years away from what happens this weekend.
look at position groupings offensive vs defensive especially o line and d line
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Brutal Dallas beat on this but other pick a winner
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Guess teddy can move out of his box
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Hope it doesn't rain on his box
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Why all the Teddy Hate? Met the guy in Costa Rica was very cordial
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Not hating. This is good stuff
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Originally Posted by
USCPHILLYGUY
Brutal Dallas beat on this but other pick a winner
He should have won with Dallas. It was -1 or -1.5 for several days.
That being said, Teddy Never Covers is never a follow. Fade or pass only!
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I met the guy in Vegas, he introed himeself as Teddy Covers and I introed myself as greaser, and he says “what’s your name?” like greaser wasn’t good enough. It must say Teddy Covers on his birth certificate???
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Originally Posted by
grease lightnin
I met the guy in Vegas, he introed himeself as Teddy Covers and I introed myself as greaser, and he says “what’s your name?” like greaser wasn’t good enough. It must say Teddy Covers on his birth certificate???
that's funny
Is he even a 'Teddy'?
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Originally Posted by
grease lightnin
I met the guy in Vegas, he introed himeself as Teddy Covers and I introed myself as greaser, and he says “what’s your name?” like greaser wasn’t good enough. It must say Teddy Covers on his birth certificate???
Hopefully you said Grease Lightnin
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I’m obviously fascinated by numbers. Here’s an amazing one. Chicago was +2 in the turnover dept. yest. Home teams that were +2 in the playoffs in the past 40 years were 112-4
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