1. #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Thursday, 4/12/18

    3 MLB Plays Thursday

    Cardinals -141 (Heritage)
    Yankees +100 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +165 (Heritage)


    YTD: 43-51-2, +1.63

  2. #2
    Hot Jerry
    Hot Jerry's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-13
    Posts: 5,545
    Betpoints: 4638

    LT - BOL today !

  3. #3
    Rigbone
    Rigbone's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-27-13
    Posts: 62
    Betpoints: 2177

    Wow! Cards are the biggest favorite I can ever remember you playing in a couple years of tailing LT. I’m guessing you have a pretty high variance on that game?

  4. #4
    JohnsonJeff428
    JohnsonJeff428's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-07-18
    Posts: 3
    Betpoints: 12

    like those LT

  5. #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Rigbone View Post
    Wow! Cards are the biggest favorite I can ever remember you playing in a couple years of tailing LT. I’m guessing you have a pretty high variance on that game?
    First item: I am experimenting for now by raising my max ML from -130 to -150. My model was backtested and the -131 to -150 range was actually profitable.

    Second item: Yes to nice variance, I get St. Louis 62% (-163).

  6. #6
    JohnsonJeff428
    JohnsonJeff428's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-07-18
    Posts: 3
    Betpoints: 12

    good luck

  7. #7
    Conqueror
    Conqueror's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-08-13
    Posts: 16,131
    Betpoints: 5724

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    First item: I am experimenting for now by raising my max ML from -130 to -150. My model was backtested and the -131 to -150 range was actually profitable.

    Second item: Yes to nice variance, I get St. Louis 62% (-163).
    Good news that is.
    I'm still skeptical though about playing a road favorite of -141 with a suspect bullpen. I like Cardinals FF than for the entire game. Just saying.

  8. #8
    Rich Boy
    Rich Boy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-09
    Posts: 9,713
    Betpoints: 1106

    Not sure why the price of a line would matter. An edge is an edge at any price. In fact a 5% edge at -150 is more valuable than a 5% edge at +150 due to expected growth.

  9. #9
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    2 MLB Additions

    5 MLB Plays Thursday

    Tigers / Indians OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Cardinals -141 (Heritage)
    Yankees +100 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +165 (Heritage)
    Angels -126 (Bookmaker)

  10. #10
    stackz125
    stackz125's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-03-16
    Posts: 6,097
    Betpoints: 412

    Why yanks?

    Pitching?

  11. #11
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by stackz125 View Post
    Why yanks?

    Pitching?
    I have Yankees favored 53% (-113).

    Starters are close but Yanks better bullpen and offense, especially with Hicks back.

Top