1. #1
    Chi_archie
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    Quarterback Rushing Over props for Playoffs

    going to track this year.

    hypothesis is that in these playoff games, if it is a close game the QB's are more likely to take a risk and make that 3rd down or 4th down run when the play breaks down instead of throwing away because there is no tomorrow.

    during the regular season your brain has to be just a bit more conservative and thinking ahead.

    might need to find parameters. For games that are blow out spreads

    for game 1 I see

    Allen O/U 30.5

  2. #2
    RockBottom
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    Played Allen over 31.5.

  3. #3
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Great thread.. I mentioned the QB rushing props in another thread ...
    I’m big on Wilson today

  4. #4
    RockBottom
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnuckleHeadz View Post
    Great thread.. I mentioned the QB rushing props in another thread ...
    I’m big on Wilson today
    He was 8/60 and 3/9 in the two Rams games this year. Tough decision, what is the o/u?

  5. #5
    Chi_archie
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    Wilson over under 22.5

  6. #6
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by RockBottom View Post
    He was 8/60 and 3/9 in the two Rams games this year. Tough decision, what is the o/u?
    And this is win or go home. With that pass rush Wilson will not hesitate today

  7. #7
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by RockBottom View Post
    Played Allen over 31.5.
    I did as well, gl.

  8. #8
    Chi_archie
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    I haven't played a ton of QB rushing props, but i'm quite certain i've only taken overs

    and the dozen or so times i've done so, it often seems they've hit with just 1 run.

    maybe that is why they seem so Tantalizing at times

    we all remember those plays where a QB that isn't even mobile has a deep down field play where everyone is covered and there is good line of scrimmage engagement and the guy rolls or steps up and suddenly has an easy 20-30 yards of green in front of him



  9. #9
    Chi_archie
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    Over for Allen hits

    1-0

    should be safe from going back under, but not impossible....

  10. #10
    Chi_archie
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    Did anyone see any offerings for Rivers?

    he hasn't had a game with + yards since week 2 so I figured no one offered it

  11. #11
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Easy hit before half

  12. #12
    lonegambler23
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    i dont get why you would think this changes for the playoffs? lol

  13. #13
    RockBottom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    Did anyone see any offerings for Rivers?

    he hasn't had a game with + yards since week 2 so I figured no one offered it
    Didn't see it offered. The projections I saw was 1 yard. Brady is 1.5 yards. TB's would scare me as kneel downs at the end of the game wipe out any positive yards he had.

  14. #14
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by RockBottom View Post
    Didn't see it offered. The projections I saw was 1 yard. Brady is 1.5 yards. TB's would scare me as kneel downs at the end of the game wipe out any positive yards he had.
    I remember hitting one of these for Brady in the Super Bowl some years back, they offered that same 1.5

  15. #15
    Chi_archie
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    yeah, no way we want any part of any 1.5's as mentioned.... you can always get 2-3 kneel downs to end a game

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    Chi_archie
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    Russell Wilson o/u 22.5

  17. #17
    RockBottom
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    Mine is 25.5 but I think the over is the right side. Ramsey will be on Metcalf, so Lockett should get some more looks today also.

  18. #18
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Over

  19. #19
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    Over
    Let’s get it !!!

  20. #20
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by RockBottom View Post
    Mine is 25.5 but I think the over is the right side. Ramsey will be on Metcalf, so Lockett should get some more looks today also.
    Totally agree. Lockett yards and receptions props are probably good bets.

  21. #21
    RockBottom
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    Totally agree. Lockett yards and receptions props are probably good bets.
    5.5/63.5

  22. #22
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    yeah, no way we want any part of any 1.5's as mentioned.... you can always get 2-3 kneel downs to end a game
    Aren't kneel downs now considered team rushing yards and not individual?

  23. #23
    d2bets
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    I took Trubisky O12.5-112. Felt like stealing. He hasn't run quite as much lately because he didn't want to get hurt, but now it's the playoffs. He still has that weapon, people forget. Bears can't leave anything on the table. He'll get that in one run, probably early.
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  24. #24
    RockBottom
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Aren't kneel downs now considered team rushing yards and not individual?
    nope

  25. #25
    Chi_archie
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    two easy overs...
    Taylor Heinke over 20.5? I have no clue if i'd want to take this

    but i'm sure he'll be desperate and running scared

  26. #26
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I took Trubisky O12.5-112. Felt like stealing. He hasn't run quite as much lately because he didn't want to get hurt, but now it's the playoffs. He still has that weapon, people forget. Bears can't leave anything on the table. He'll get that in one run, probably early.
    Trubisky O13.5-112 for Fanduel users.

  27. #27
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Wilson would have had that long ago if not for all the offensive holding penalties

  28. #28
    Chi_archie
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    3-0 for the overs today.

    Should maybe have 6 viable book offerings tomorrow?

  29. #29
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    3-0 for the overs today.

    Should maybe have 6 viable book offerings tomorrow?
    I see 74.5 for Lamar. He might, but damn, that's a high number.

  30. #30
    Kermit
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I see 74.5 for Lamar. He might, but damn, that's a high number.
    It seems high, but in games like this when everything is on the line, if he doesn't see anything, he is gonna take off. I wouldn't be surprised if he has 100 rushing yards.

  31. #31
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kermit View Post
    It seems high, but in games like this when everything is on the line, if he doesn't see anything, he is gonna take off. I wouldn't be surprised if he has 100 rushing yards.
    👍👍👍

  32. #32
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Can someone please post all QB’s current rush yards for tomorrow if they have them..

  33. #33
    ThaTopMoron
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    what was the o/u for Rivers rushing yards?

    over/under .5 yards???

    over .5 yards +750

  34. #34
    Chi_archie
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    lamar 76.5
    tannehill 17.5
    trubisky 12.5
    baker 13.5
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  35. #35
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I see 74.5 for Lamar. He might, but damn, that's a high number.
    Yeah I wouldn't be able to take that on principle. Just shocking to the senses to bet that on an NFL QB

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