1. #1
    DOM_Toretto
    Hoop Head
    DOM_Toretto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-13
    Posts: 9,035
    Betpoints: 989

    Broncos +3 @ Chiefs

    Tonight I like the Denver Broncos getting 3 points at KC Chiefs. Three reasons below.

    1. Peyton Manning: He is not done. Remember last year when everyone said the same thing about Brady?? How'd that work out? Peyton is 6-0 vs KC since 2012 with a 16-3 TD/INT ratio. He will have a good game tonight. With Anderson being a little banged up my guess is Kubiak give Peyton a little more freedom to call plays and do his thing.

    2. Denver D: One of the best defenses in the NFL. With a LB crew of DeMarcus Ware, Von Miller, Brandon Marshall and Danny Trevathan, KC will struggle running and throwing short slant routes. SS TJ Ward is back from suspension to start tonight. Aqib Talib and Chris Harris make up an elite CB group.

    3. KC Hype: They're a little overrated right now. Yes, they are a good team and maybe a playoff squad. But they struggle against Denver every damn year. They beat up on a weak Houston team with no real starting QB or RB. YET, they only won by one score. Their offense was shut out in the second half, when houston could adjust to the beastly Kelce and new QB style.

    Conclusion: I think Denver wins s/u, so getting 3 points is a nice bet if you ask me.

  2. #2
    Book Crook
    Book Crook's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-14
    Posts: 306
    Betpoints: 673

    I am usually with you on most of your plays. I haven't decided on this one yet. I feel like KC defense is really good, Arrowhead is loud, KC offense seems to be clicking enough to move the chains.

    but I also agree with your last two points. My drawback is Peyton. I just think he looks soft and unpolished. I mean he is still good, but it just seems like he's lost his competitive edge or something. The last 2-3 times I have backed him thinking surely he will show up, He lays a penetrating egg and I get burned.

    It is prime time and getting +3 with peyton manning and a good DEN defense is a pretty good deal, but I'm just not completely sold yet.

  3. #3
    survive
    and advance
    survive's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-11
    Posts: 2,388
    Betpoints: 8560

    I agree, simply because I think this will be a low scoring game. Wade Phillips actually seems to have a clue as to how to run this Denver defense. Can see either team winning but should be tight

  4. #4
    House
    House's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-11
    Posts: 7,019
    Betpoints: 5492

    Chiefs played very safe in the second half last week . I think they took the foot off the pedal to be safe , not get hurt and not show off everything in the playbook , this team has a lot of new blood on offense , lots of speed , and that defense is for real with 5 sacks last week and 3 turnovers on the road ... KC at night is no joke with that crowd behind them , and they want Denver after 4 straight losses ... This is a good team , theres a reason the Chiefs are favored this year at home vs the Broncos when they were 4 point underdogs last year in the same game ...both teams are 1-0 , why isn't Manning and the number 3 defense the favorite tonight ....... I think the Chiefs roll the Broncos much like they did the Pats last year ..... we'll see but Im on Chiefs -3 and ml ... also like the over tonight ..over 41 ... The Broncos like to play fast in KC might wanna look back ... The Chiefs are gonna try to make Denver keep up tonight

  5. #5
    SharpAngles
    SharpAngles's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-15-14
    Posts: 9,467
    Betpoints: 1638

    Interesting you bring up Brady because all I can think about is what the chiefs did to him during prime time last year. I won't fade Peyton getting points but I would not be surprised if it plays out similar to the pats game last year. Arrowhead is no joke and those fans will be out of their minds for the home opener.

  6. #6
    Jayvegas420
    Vegas Baby!
    Jayvegas420's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-09-11
    Posts: 28,154
    Betpoints: 14757

    Sounds like the under is a better bet than either side?

  7. #7
    JMon
    I'd be a lot cooler if you did.
    JMon's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-11-09
    Posts: 9,800
    Betpoints: 10742

    Bol Dom

    Over 5 sacks seems to be a good bet, but my book has it at -115

  8. #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    KC tough at home early in year

    I took over and no idea why

  9. #9
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    I'll take the walrus over kubiak 8 days out of a 7 day week. Don't over think this folks.

  10. #10
    Book Crook
    Book Crook's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-14
    Posts: 306
    Betpoints: 673

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Don't over think this folks.
    That's exactly what I am doing I guess... my first thought when I saw this game was "oh, KC will roll that ass" and now for some reason I still haven't locked in a bet and I seem to be searching for reasons to go with manning & co.

  11. #11
    House
    House's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-11
    Posts: 7,019
    Betpoints: 5492

    Quote Originally Posted by Book Crook View Post
    That's exactly what I am doing I guess... my first thought when I saw this game was "oh, KC will roll that ass" and now for some reason I still haven't locked in a bet and I seem to be searching for reasons to go with manning & co.
    SBR will do that to you if you let it

  12. #12
    texhooper
    texhooper's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 9,864
    Betpoints: 7894

    i am on broncos +3 myself.

    i will posit that i, in fact, am the one not overthinking it.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: POOLSIDE

  13. #13
    shaunovery
    shaunovery's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-07
    Posts: 18,143
    Betpoints: 103

    Liking Kansas. Denver has only 215 passin yds v Ravens don't think manning looked comfortable in a regular offense

  14. #14
    WWCD
    Winner Winner Chicken Dinner
    WWCD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-22-13
    Posts: 1,957
    Betpoints: 663

    I am on Denver as well.

  15. #15
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Denver gaining steam

  16. #16
    Book Crook
    Book Crook's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-14
    Posts: 306
    Betpoints: 673

    I locked in KC +4 and Clemson +1 in a 2 team teaser (-118)

    Now all there is to do is get some beer and ride out the storm.

  17. #17
    sandyw123
    sandyw123's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-11
    Posts: 307
    Betpoints: 3080

    I'm waiting for the line against Denver to increase. The public and sharps are both on Denver, but the sharps aren't infallible.

  18. #18
    MecStar
    MecStar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-31-11
    Posts: 478
    Betpoints: 8768

    The over is gonna cash in ...I think Peyton gonna be tested and I think they will have to put up 24 points to win... Denver wins or close but I think 24-21 game ...

  19. #19
    TheLock
    TheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-06-08
    Posts: 14,429
    Betpoints: 7931

    Chiefs -3 for me

  20. #20
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,021
    Betpoints: 3780

    DOM you're better than this...

  21. #21
    hugh_morris
    hugh_morris's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-09
    Posts: 2,039
    Betpoints: 976

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    I'll take the walrus over kubiak 8 days out of a 7 day week. Don't over think this folks.
    sea,i agree....peace

  22. #22
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    I've got KC (+9.5) in my teaser...so as long as the donkies don't pummel the Chiefs (which I don't see happening) and the game is within one score either way, I'm happy!...

  23. #23
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
    High3rEl3m3nt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-10
    Posts: 8,004
    Betpoints: 4146

    Quote Originally Posted by sandyw123 View Post
    I'm waiting for the line against Denver to increase. The public and sharps are both on Denver, but the sharps aren't infallible.
    If the Public and Sharps were both on Denver, the line wouldn't be at 3

    101 Denver @ 102 Kansas City
    09/17/15 06:25pm
    Time Denver Kansas City
    09/17/15 03:03:48pm u55% 64%
    09/17/15 02:38:20pm 52%
    09/17/15 02:02:24pm 50%
    09/17/15 01:52:07pm o52%
    09/17/15 01:47:02pm o51%
    09/17/15 01:41:56pm o52%
    09/17/15 01:16:29pm o51%
    09/17/15 01:11:24pm o52%
    09/17/15 01:06:18pm o51% 62%
    09/17/15 01:01:01pm 61%
    09/17/15 12:55:55pm 55%
    09/17/15 12:45:43pm 54%
    09/17/15 12:40:36pm 55%
    09/17/15 12:10:00pm o52% 54%
    09/17/15 12:04:45pm o50% 60%

  24. #24
    icecapper
    icecapper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-29-09
    Posts: 786
    Betpoints: 394

    Under looks good.

  25. #25
    LethalPicks
    LethalPicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-13
    Posts: 114
    Betpoints: 4490

    bucha noobs.none of you know how to make the right line. if you knew, you wont bet denver.

  26. #26
    red12sox
    red12sox's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-28-14
    Posts: 1,034
    Betpoints: 1913

    Denver +9 and Clemson +1 teaser for me

  27. #27
    beg154860
    beg154860's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-26-11
    Posts: 964
    Betpoints: 1138

    Denver Clemson 6 pt teaser is exactly what I am on tonight I love it lets get this $$$

  28. #28
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1944


  29. #29
    beg154860
    beg154860's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-26-11
    Posts: 964
    Betpoints: 1138

    Clemson on their own -5 is probably solid as well I think they roll eventually in that game

  30. #30
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,189
    Betpoints: 410

    Denver very poor on the road. I think they lay an egg tonight. Chiefs beat the Patriots last year at home in similar conditions. Guess who won the SB.

  31. #31
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24866

    Old man Peyton not getting a full week to recover and on the road...

    Pass..

    I'll take the under. Easy

  32. #32
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
    Bbfromgpt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-12
    Posts: 6,115
    Betpoints: 4429

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Denver very poor on the road. I think they lay an egg tonight. Chiefs beat the Patriots last year at home in similar conditions. Guess who won the SB.
    Poor on the road? They haven't lost a road division game since Manning got to Denver

  33. #33
    lucasdawg
    pro as sometimes
    lucasdawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-13
    Posts: 3,399
    Betpoints: 5519

    on over

  34. #34
    ByAnYMe9n$
    ByAnYMe9n$'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-15-10
    Posts: 587
    Betpoints: 803

    Under N Denver is the play Manning throwing with his left arm is better then Smith

  35. #35
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,932
    Betpoints: 14428

    Denver

12 Last
Top