1. #1
    stevenash
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    Anyone have the juevos to fade Kershaw tonight?

    This is a list of all the no-hitters thrown this decade (2010-2014) and how they did their very next start.
    19 of them all told
    Combined record of the pitchers is 8 wins 10 losses and one no decision

    You can get +150 on Danny Duffy tonight.
    Just saying

    Next start after their no hitter start

    Pitcher IP Hits Walks ER Decision No-No Pitches Next Game Pitches
    Ubaldo Jimenez 7.1 5 2 0 Win 128 121
    Dallas Braden 8 7 1 4 Loss 109 98
    Roy Halladay 7 10 1 2 Win 115 108
    Edwin Jackson 5 7 3 4 Win 149 88
    Matt Garza 7 5 1 4 Loss 120 109
    Roy Halladay* 7 8 0 4 Loss 104 105
    Francisco Liriano 3 3 3 4 Loss 123 59
    Justin Verlander 8 2 3 1 Win 108 105
    Ervin Santana 9 8 2 1 Win 105 121
    Philip Humber 5 8 3 9 Loss 96 115
    Jered Weaver 6 3 2 1 Win 121 89
    Johan Santana 5 7 1 6 Loss 134 86
    Matt Cain 5 6 4 3 Win 125 100
    Felix Hernandez 7.2 7 1 1 Win 113 105
    Homer Bailey 4 4 0 0 ND 115 70
    Homer Bailey 5.2 10 3 4 Loss 109 103
    Tim Lincecum 3.2 8 1 8 Loss 148 78
    Henderson Alvarez 3 7 2 3 Loss 99 56
    Josh Beckett 5 5 1 2 Loss 128 88
    5.77 6.32 1.79 3.21 118.37 94.95

  2. #2
    Ted Sheckler
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    May ride him all in once lineups come out

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    There are a couple of differences with Kershaw though. First of all, the guy always seems to have no-hit stuff every start, so in this case the no-no really was not that much of an aberration from what he normally does, unlike a lot of guys that pitched the game of their lives in some no-nos in the past, making a "bounce" outing next time out inevitable. Also, Kershaw only threw 107 pitches, so it was not as if the Dodgers allowed him to go longer than usual to make sure he gets it.

    In other words, I don't the the old blind "fade after a no-hitter" rule should apply here.

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ted Sheckler View Post
    May ride him all in once lineups come out
    ROYALS is out.

    1. Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
    2. Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
    3. Billy Butler (R) DH
    4. Alex Gordon (L) LF
    5. Salvador Perez (R) C
    6. Omar Infante (R) 2B
    7. Danny Valencia (R) 3B
    8. Justin Maxwell (R) RF
    9. Alcides Escobar (R) SS

    Still waiting on Dodgers

  5. #5
    James Marques
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    I will not even touch a game Kershaw is pitching in. Won't eat all that chalk and sure as sh*t won't bet against the man.

  6. #6
    Geoff Herest
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    bet online opened him -159 yesterday and it went down to -132 in like 15 minutes. tells you something. Haren is a dog tomorrow against Shields. wouldn't be surprised to see royals sweep.

  7. #7
    Ted Sheckler
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    Sitting this one out. Wanted to go all in. Won't even bet them to win a unit.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Geoff Herest View Post
    bet online opened him -159 yesterday and it went down to -132 in like 15 minutes. tells you something. Haren is a dog tomorrow against Shields. wouldn't be surprised to see royals sweep.
    Don't be fooled by BOL openers, those are weak openers. Notice how the went from -155 to -135 as soon as CRIS opened. CRIS openers (usually) are the REAL openers, that clock starts then for anyone tracking line movement.

  9. #9
    teaserpleaser
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    Under 7

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    Under 7
    I'm not a Duffy believer

  11. #11
    OMGRandyJackson
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    ROYALS is out.

    1. Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
    2. Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
    3. Billy Butler (R) DH
    4. Alex Gordon (L) LF
    5. Salvador Perez (R) C
    6. Omar Infante (R) 2B
    7. Danny Valencia (R) 3B
    8. Justin Maxwell (R) RF
    9. Alcides Escobar (R) SS

    Still waiting on Dodgers
    Here ya go:

    3B: Justin Turner
    LF Matt Kemp
    DH Yasiel Puig
    1B Adrian Gonzalez
    CF Scott Van Slyke
    C AJ Ellis
    RF Jamie Romak
    SS Carlos Truinfel
    2B Miguel Rojas

  12. #12
    stevenash
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    No Dodger pitcher has won their next start after pitching a no hitter since 1964

    *disclaimer*
    Just throwing it out there for some later afternoon chit-chat, I am not advocation fading Kershaw of suggesting a play either way

    DODGERS IN START IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING NO-HITTER^
    Pitcher Date Opp Days Rest Dec IP H R ER BB K
    Sandy Koufax 6/8/1964 Cin 3 W 9 4 1 1 0 5
    Sandy Koufax ######## @Chi 4 L 6 5 2 1 0 3
    Bill Singer ######## @NY 3 9 5 1 1 3 7
    Jerry Reuss 7/1/1980 SD 3 L 7 4 4 0 3 3
    Fernando Valenzuela 7/4/1990 Chi 4 L 7 10 5 4 1 2
    Kevin Gross ######## Chi 4 ND 8 6 3 3 1 6
    Ramon Martinez ######## Hou 4 ND 7 9 5 0 1 5
    Hideo Nomo ######## @SD 4 L 5 7 3 3 3 3
    Josh Beckett ######## Pit 4 L 5 5 2 2 1 5

  13. #13
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I'm not a Duffy believer
    DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER BB SO Pit Dec. ERA
    19-Jun @ DET L 1-2 7 3 2 2 1 5 101 L(4-6) 2.8
    14-Jun @ CHW W 9-1 7 5 0 0 1 9 98 W(4-5) 2.83
    7-Jun vs NYY W 8-4 5.2 5 3 3 3 4 100 -- 3.26
    2-Jun @ STL W 6-0 6 1 0 0 1 5 85 W(3-5) 3.05

  14. #14
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I'm not a Duffy believer
    Dodgers don't exactly hit Left handlers very well somebody like Duffy could throw some zeros up there if only game was at dodger stadium be a no brainer..he should be able to handle that dodger lineup

  15. #15
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    There are a couple of differences with Kershaw though. First of all, the guy always seems to have no-hit stuff every start, so in this case the no-no really was not that much of an aberration from what he normally does, unlike a lot of guys that pitched the game of their lives in some no-nos in the past, making a "bounce" outing next time out inevitable. Also, Kershaw only threw 107 pitches, so it was not as if the Dodgers allowed him to go longer than usual to make sure he gets it.

    In other words, I don't the the old blind "fade after a no-hitter" rule should apply here.
    Excellent post, LT.

    I seriously considered the Royals tonight and if I was on a side here it would be KC but it was ultimately a no play for me.

    On Rockies and Astros instead.

  16. #16
    jjgold
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    pass

    guy is too tough

  17. #17
    farmhouse1
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    I like the astros too. Feel like the braves never show up for games like this and the young lineup for the astrso can have a field day on harang.
    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    Excellent post, LT.

    I seriously considered the Royals tonight and if I was on a side here it would be KC but it was ultimately a no play for me.

    On Rockies and Astros instead.

  18. #18
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by farmhouse1 View Post
    I like the astros too. Feel like the braves never show up for games like this and the young lineup for the astrso can have a field day on harang.
    Two things about the 'Stros
    a) They are the AL leaders in strikeouts, but Harang is not a prototypical strike out guy.
    b) They are loaded with kids with raw power, lots of it.

    Expect one of two things to happen.
    a) Harang throws a gem, 9 K gem.
    b) Harang coughs up 3 taters, doesn't make it to the 5th.

    No in betweens here

    *remember now*
    Feldman is not a dazzler, and you got mashers in that Brave lineup too.
    J Upton, Freeman, have you seen what Gattis has been doing to rawhides lately?
    Heyward ain't an easy out either

    Do you want your money on Feldman to get four guys out three times?

    3. Freeman
    4. Gattis
    5. Heyward
    6. J. Upton

    p.s. the number 7 guy did hit .321 last season

    Where's the easy out there?
    Remember, Feldman is near rock bottom in K - ratio.
    His command had better be spot on, those are big boy sticks in the Brave lineup

  19. #19
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Lean Kc but like the under better. You get 2 lefties 1 of whom is mlb best arm facing squads in interleague that have never faced them. Also a very friendly UN head ump tonight behind the dish. Gl

  20. #20
    Tony Williams
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    Where do you guys get these official lineups, as they are released?

  21. #21
    Tony Williams
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    Also what is CRIS? Tried looking it up and couldn't find anything relevant to it and line movements

  22. #22
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tony Williams View Post
    Where do you guys get these official lineups, as they are released?
    http://www.baseballpress.com/lineups

  23. #23
    stevenash
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  24. #24
    STAX
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    Kansas City -2.5 (+460)

  25. #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tony Williams View Post
    Also what is CRIS? Tried looking it up and couldn't find anything relevant to it and line movements
    Bookmaker for USA customers. I consider the real openers the ones at CRIS and Pinnacle, and CRIS (Bookmaker) is almost always first these days.
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  26. #26
    Tony Williams
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    Right on- thanks!

  27. #27
    BennyBigNuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    and you got mashers in that Brave lineup too.
    J Upton, Freeman, have you seen what Gattis has been doing to rawhides lately?
    Heyward ain't an easy out either
    Don't know which one is funnier.
    You're losing it Nasher.

  28. #28
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyBigNuts View Post
    Don't know which one is funnier.
    You're losing it Nasher.
    Is this some lame attempt to try and discredit me pal.

    Braves are 4th in the NL in homeruns hit.

    Gattis has 16 HR's
    Freeman 14
    Upton 12

    I call that mashing when it's still weeks before the break. Ummm yeah.

    Heyward while only hitting .256 has drawn 34 walks making the OBA over .340 well above league average
    Yeah, he's not an easy out.

    Thanks for dropping by slick, next time, bring something to the table or go home jackass

  29. #29
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I'm not a Duffy believer
    what does the guy have to do to get some respect?

    he's been lights out this year.
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  30. #30
    Amadeo-Picks
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    The list is pretty obvs. Take out the record and look at the true aces after their no hitter. They have all won .

  31. #31
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Yeah gotta ride with Benny hear the Bravos are full of limp dikks who hardly ever deliver and their offense is pretty bad. More bark than bite with those "mashers"!

  32. #32
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    what does the guy have to do to get some respect?

    he's been lights out this year.
    Hardly. He has a blah ratio of 6.93 strikeouts vs. 3.39 walks per nine innings and he has greatly benefited from an abnormal .213 BABIP. His FIP is decent at 3.89, but that is still more than a full run higher then his 2.80 ERA, and his xFIP blows at 4.56. He'll come back to earth soon.

  33. #33
    stevenash
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    ^
    He is what he is.
    A capable #3 starter

  34. #34
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Btw Nash I wasn't calling you out I respect you and always have enjoyed your writeups. To be more clear on what I was getting at. The Bravos may have the dinger #'s but they don't translate into much as some may think. Much like the Yanks past couple years or so most are solo blasts which do minimal damage. As a team tho they are mid pack slg %, near the bottom in runs scored, batting avg, on base %. So when you look at the big picture there offense is nothing special at all.
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  35. #35
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by R.P. McMurphy View Post
    Btw Nash I wasn't calling you out I respect you and always have enjoyed your writeups. To be more clear on what I was getting at. The Bravos may have the dinger #'s but they don't translate into much as some may think. Much like the Yanks past couple years or so most are solo blasts which do minimal damage. As a team tho they are mid pack slg %, near the bottom in runs scored, batting avg, on base %. So when you look at the big picture there offense is nothing special at all.
    And the Braves are often not clutch, I get that, and I get what you are saying too, my point is, and was, and it's simple, Braves lineup features four hitters that are capable of hitting a ball out at any time. And that included Heyward, who has 111 homers in less than 4.5 seasons. I mean he already has a 30 homer season

    All good, peace.

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