1. 12-03-12 03:28 PM #1
    ChalkyDog
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    How do people cap totals?

    Started thinking about this in another thread - and came to the conclusion that this is one area I don't have a clue.

    Considering the amount of work I put into sides, it seems that I can tweek those stats to project and cap totals.

    Outside of the remedial PF/PA capping tool - what are other peoples strategy to attack totals?

    Systems OK.
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  2. 12-03-12 04:12 PM #2
    Br0nxer
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    Photobucket
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    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: RubberKettle
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  3. 12-03-12 04:13 PM #3
    Louisvillekid1
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    two well known great defenses bet over, two well known great offenses bet under...
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  4. 12-03-12 04:14 PM #4
    Justin3587
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    two well known great defenses bet over, two well known great offenses bet under...
    Are you serious about this? If so, do you do well at that?
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  5. 12-03-12 04:14 PM #5
    BIGDAY
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    Study Defenses more than offense. I'm better at college hoops totals than any other sport.
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  6. 12-03-12 04:16 PM #6
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin3587 View Post
    Are you serious about this? If so, do you do well at that?
    lmao, what do you think...
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  7. 12-03-12 04:18 PM #7
    TheMoneyShot
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    Quote Originally Posted by Br0nxer View Post
    gotta love Bronx

    I Second This Method
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  8. 12-03-12 04:20 PM #8
    ChalkyDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    two well known great defenses bet over, two well known great offenses bet under...
    hahaha, shhhhh man - this is my angle.

    Been working that one for years to a seemingly good result. Although I am sure the backchecking nuts among us would be able to debunk this quickly.
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  9. 12-03-12 04:20 PM #9
    RubberKettle
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    People guess at football and basketball

    Baseball totals all about your ability to cap pitching

    Soccer totals all about the form of team's strikers
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  10. 12-03-12 04:22 PM #10
    ChalkyDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by RubberKettle View Post
    People guess at football and basketball

    Baseball totals all about your ability to cap pitching

    Soccer totals all about the form of team's strikers
    Frustrating considering the sports people guess on is the only damn ones I play.

    Fukkin' totals.
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  11. 12-03-12 04:22 PM #11
    boeing power
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin3587 View Post
    Are you serious about this? If so, do you do well at that?
    This Justin kid is so fukin naive.
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  12. 12-03-12 04:26 PM #12
    Justin3587
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    This Justin kid is so fukin naive.
    It's a legitimate question you cokksukker. You always have some shit to say about EVERYTHING. I'm sorry I have problems figuring out forum humor. Go check your Christian Mingle account or something.
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  13. 12-03-12 04:29 PM #13
    trytrytry
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    the wisecrack answer to your thread title is


    "We Look them OVER"
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  14. 12-03-12 04:37 PM #14
    EaglesPhan36
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    Easier IMO to do totals @ half time when you can look at tempo and stats. Basketball especially, you can see how the foul calls are going also. Football, look for games with a high number of plays being run if you like overs + their ability in finishing drives. Low play totals and stalled drives better for under tries, etc. Prior to a game, you're looking at the usual stuff - offense v. defense, vice versa + weather factors for football and baseball, etc. Recent trends tell a lot as well if you're betting stuff like team totals. Take the Eagles anemic defense. They had given up 28 points in every game since their DC got fired. Dallas was offered @ 27.5 last night. Easy try for me on the over, although I punched it down to an even 27 just in case.
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  15. 12-03-12 04:46 PM #15
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by Br0nxer View Post
    Photobucket
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  16. 12-03-12 04:48 PM #16
    rumnblack
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin3587 View Post
    It's a legitimate question you cokksukker. You always have some shit to say about EVERYTHING. I'm sorry I have problems figuring out forum humor. Go check your Christian Mingle account or something.
    Something tells me you could be in the wrong place...
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  17. 12-03-12 04:53 PM #17
    shaunovery
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    Genrally look at teams offenses avg points per game

    Look at the defenses ppg given up

    Genrally lower the total than over
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  18. 12-04-12 12:31 AM #18
    Justin3587
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    Quote Originally Posted by rumnblack View Post
    Something tells me you could be in the wrong place...
    How so? Because A guy made a joke about a formula for capping totals? And I asked him if he was serious or not? Get the fukk outta here.
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  19. 12-04-12 12:34 AM #19
    PAULYPOKER
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  20. 12-04-12 12:44 AM #20
    PAULYPOKER
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    Ask, 2dabank he plays totals all da time
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  21. 12-04-12 06:28 AM #21
    JayLA
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    I'd like to get better at totals too. I always read how totals should be easier but.........yea no.
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  22. 12-04-12 11:05 AM #22
    TheMoneyShot
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Easier IMO to do totals @ half time when you can look at tempo and stats. Basketball especially, you can see how the foul calls are going also. Football, look for games with a high number of plays being run if you like overs + their ability in finishing drives. Low play totals and stalled drives better for under tries, etc. Prior to a game, you're looking at the usual stuff - offense v. defense, vice versa + weather factors for football and baseball, etc. Recent trends tell a lot as well if you're betting stuff like team totals. Take the Eagles anemic defense. They had given up 28 points in every game since their DC got fired. Dallas was offered @ 27.5 last night. Easy try for me on the over, although I punched it down to an even 27 just in case.
    I agree Eagles. You speak with a lot of true logic. But, for example... let's say you witnessed a lot of stalled drives, turnovers, sloppy play... causing in theory... AN OVER to go Under the 1st half. What would your theory be in the 2nd half? If the O/U was originally 51 and they only scored 17 for a half. The line comes out 25.5 2H. Do you go over... saying to yourself... there's no way they will continue to play that sloppy?? Or... will that offense stall out again??? To me... it's still a crap shoot.
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  23. 12-04-12 11:11 AM #23
    rfr3sh
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    For basketball its all about pace and offensive / defensive efficiency
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  24. 12-04-12 11:15 AM #24
    thetrinity
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    lol at the christian mingle account pretty funny stuff

    anyways

    i like to try to get inside the coaches head for totals. whats his gameplan gona be? hows he gona react to getting down? for basketball, will he be more likely to concede early or keep fouling forever?
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