1. #1
    Shortstop
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    Do We Pound PITT Again???

    I see a bunch of -3's and -3.5's out there...

    Will it even matter?

    Isn't PITT at least a TD better than UCONN?

    What's the deal here?



  2. #2
    Smoke
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    The Panthers could be in a huge letdown spot here. They have to be deflated after their triple overtime loss to the Fighting Irish last Saturday, which was their chance to salvage a poor season. I foresee them showing up mentally to play this game Friday after such a tough defeat.Connecticut has been better than its 3-6 record would indicate. It is actually outgaining opponents by 28 yards per game this season, which is a number more indicative of a team that would be above .500 on the year. It remains competitive thanks to a stop unit gives up just 18.6 points per game, and one that ranks 9th in the country in total defense at 290.2 yards per game allowed.Pittsburgh is 1-3 on the road this season where it is scoring just 17.2 points per game and averaging 331 total yards per game. It will have a hard time moving the football on this stingy Huskies’ defense Friday night. The home team has won three straight and six of the last eight meetings in this series.Paul Pasqualoni is 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached. Pasqualoni is 11-2 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached. The Huskies are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games following a S.U. loss. Connecticut is 31-15-1 ATS in its last 47 home games. Bet Connecticut Friday

  3. #3
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    The Panthers could be in a huge letdown spot here. They have to be deflated after their triple overtime loss to the Fighting Irish last Saturday, which was their chance to salvage a poor season. I foresee them showing up mentally to play this game Friday after such a tough defeat.Connecticut has been better than its 3-6 record would indicate. It is actually outgaining opponents by 28 yards per game this season, which is a number more indicative of a team that would be above .500 on the year. It remains competitive thanks to a stop unit gives up just 18.6 points per game, and one that ranks 9th in the country in total defense at 290.2 yards per game allowed.Pittsburgh is 1-3 on the road this season where it is scoring just 17.2 points per game and averaging 331 total yards per game. It will have a hard time moving the football on this stingy Huskies’ defense Friday night. The home team has won three straight and six of the last eight meetings in this series.Paul Pasqualoni is 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached. Pasqualoni is 11-2 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached. The Huskies are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games following a S.U. loss. Connecticut is 31-15-1 ATS in its last 47 home games. Bet Connecticut Friday
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...=1#post9673895

  4. #4
    Shortstop
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    Thanks for the analysis, Smoke!

  5. #5
    Smoke
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    And your point is? He asked why not take pitt so I cut and pasted a good write up.

  6. #6
    ronzer
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    seems to easy

  7. #7
    Shortstop
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    Would it help if Jim Calhoun was calling the plays?

  8. #8
    Smoke
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    Also 80% of bets are coming in on Pitt and line dropped a full point.

    Opened at -4.5 down to -3.5 now

  9. #9
    thetrinity
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    they should be deflated for this game, uconn a terrible ats team up to this point, proceed with caution.

  10. #10
    PAULYPOKER
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    Power Rating
    Estimate Edge
    PITTSBURGH -8
    CONNECTICUT
    Team Trends and Angles

  11. #11
    cutchemist42
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    Pitt is definitely a TD better. Don't let the record fool you, they are around the 40ish best team.

  12. #12
    No coincidences
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    I would say it's a trapish line, but after watching Vegas give away free money all last weekend and again with the Colts last night, apparently they're in the giving mood lately.

  13. #13
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    Smoke, if that dude wouldn't have pointed out that you copy and pasted that write-up, I would have assumed you wrote it. This probably does not bother anyone else, but it's shady to pass off someone else's information as your own. Would be better to say outright that you copy and pasted someone else's write-up. You don't want to get expelled for plagiarism again, do you?
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  14. #14
    MiAMiEDDY
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    Quote Originally Posted by High3rEl3m3nt View Post
    Smoke, if that dude wouldn't have pointed out that you copy and pasted that write-up, I would have assumed you wrote it. This probably does not bother anyone else, but it's shady to pass off someone else's information as your own. Would be better to say outright that you copy and pasted someone else's write-up. You don't want to get expelled for plagiarism again, do you?

    Was thinking the same exact thing.

  15. #15
    pimike
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    Shorty Pitt is the play. No let down here. Talent will proceed any potential let down. You have 2 teams going in seperate directions here.

  16. #16
    Bcatswin
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  17. #17
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    And your point is? He asked why not take pitt so I cut and pasted a good write up.
    You failed to point out who did the work of the write up.

  18. #18
    statnerds
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    didn't see this mentioned, i live in the Burgh and am playing uconn tonight.

    2 reasons:

    1. the expected letdown after choking at ND

    2. the part i didn't see mentioned, so i guess it didn't get any national play? Tino "I suck in pressure situations and am afraid to throw the ball" Sunseri blamed the Notre Dame loss on the kicker. now i don't know how many other players felt the same way, but you are supposed to be a team leader and talk the talk, win as a team, lose as a team. would like to point out to Tino if his sorry ass could get one first down there would have been no OT.

    don't know if that will result in anything, but he isn't that popular to begin with.

    straight fukkin punk move.

  19. #19
    BIGDAY
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    Let's smack it Shorty!!!

  20. #20
    El Nino
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    Landers on UCONN...bet accordingly.
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  21. #21
    SamDiamond
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    I love Pitt in this spot, but I don't know how they get back up after last week.

    That has to be pinging around their heads a little.

    I'm on Pitt, smallish.

  22. #22
    Cuse0323
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    No clue what happens in this game, one of those games where you can't guess who comes to play. Probably a sloppy, ugly Big East game. I'd feel better on the under watching these teams ineptness on offense.

  23. #23
    vitalogist
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    Pitt moneyline is rising

  24. #24
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    You failed to point out who did the work of the write up.
    This isnt the service plays forum so I couldnt post it as that. I would have probably received an infraction. Last time a posted a service play with the namec and dime amount I got banned

  25. #25
    SpeedPro
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    This does seem to have the makings of a big let down. Not sure why they are only -3 if they are that much better the Uconn.

  26. #26
    hougigo
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    Yea Pitt might be a little demoralize from last week, but wouldn't Uconn also having lost 4 straigh, getting crushed by syracuse, blowing their lead against temple and not having a win in the Big East?
    Wouldn't Pitt be motivated and hungry to win to get into bowl contention considering their last 2 game?
    If Pitt can pound the rock effectively like they did against a much better defense in Notre Dame, I dont' see why not.
    Pitt usually plays down/up to their opponents level, so I wouldn't be surprised if this was a close game

  27. #27
    qsilver335
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    Pitt is the better team, but coming off of their loss last week there is no way I would play Pitt here.

  28. #28
    Harry N. Lloyd
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    Gimme UConn plus the three and a half. Sooner or later they have to play a good game. Seems like a Thursday night TV showdown might be the time. Pitt is the better team, but will probably be emotionally flat after ND and only had a few days to prepare for a weeknight road game. Intangibles heavily favor the Huskies.

  29. #29
    BettingWizard
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    team could be miserable that they choked

    under has some value, line should be 39 or so

  30. #30
    Cuse0323
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    Pitt making UConn look like a good offensive team.

  31. #31
    Brutus84
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    Pitt is pounding my parlay. Better score this next possession.

  32. #32
    sitzlejd
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    Pitt sucking so far. Shouldve been another pick. At least i parlayed with the over so i still have somewhat of a chance.

  33. #33
    Pivotpoint
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    Wow. I was reading Smokes write-up and thinking, damn, I under estimated Smoke. Dude was digging deep, throwing stats around. Seemed brighter than I first thought?

    Time will tell I guess. I'm sure he's a cool guy.

    That dude Houlihans tx is resourceful. Must have been a detective in another life.

    Should have read Smokes writeup. Pitt - 3 1/2 for me. Gulp, it's early.

  34. #34
    falconticket
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    Pitt should win by double digits. No sweat

  35. #35
    sitzlejd
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    Ugh...

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