1. #36
    SamDiamond
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    Michigan rolls by 21.

    Michigan State is horrible. After ND smacked 'em round, and tOSU broke their hearts, Sparty has folded.

    Nard Nard for 150/150, and the Wolverines roll.
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  2. #37
    jjgold
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    Teaser for me
    It looks too easy
    Good luck Deuce

  3. #38
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bigbill365 View Post
    how you figure that?3 point for homefield minus that out of michigans home spread and you have aproximate away spread
    No, take away 3 points and you get NEUTRAL line. If game is at Michigan State, you then move 3 points from that,

  4. #39
    thfootball
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    I'm done betting on michigan st, they're on my no bet list for now.

  5. #40
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by thfootball View Post
    I'm done betting on michigan st, they're on my no bet list for now.
    That may actually be the exact reason to bet ON them, they actually have line value this week after being overrated until now.

  6. #41
    MeatWad
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    The line is finally catching up to the actual impact of losing Kirk Cousins and some of their skills position players last year.

    Mich is still a rebuilding team from the Rich Rod era. Look at how effective Robinson and the offense were against the best D they faced this year ND, 6 total points and 4 INTS.

    This is definitely the 2nd best defense Michigan will have faced. The ST D unit is solid as fukk and have faced better offensives successfully already. They will likely keep St in this game, and put their own TD or put the Mich St O in position to score 1-2x. I know alot of sharp money including myself took Mich St early here, I was a little late on the boat at +10.

  7. #42
    suicidekings
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    This game is big for Michigan. Little Brother has had the edge for the last 4 years, and this Wolverines team has a great chance to win this game. MSU is just so horribly inefficient on offense. They really only have two weapons they can rely on in Deion Sims and Laveon Bell. Maxwell is very inconsistent and MSU just lost their starting center, Travis Jackson to a broken leg. That could have a big impact on their offense.

    With one of Michigan's main strengths being pass defense, I think Maxwell is going to struggle tomorrow, and Dion Sims is still a gametime decision, coming off an ankle injury. 10 points is a lot to cover, but I would be very hesitant to take MSU here.

  8. #43
    MeatWad
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    Maxwell probably struggles, nothing to indicate he will have a big game. But he is not a big mistake QB. He has 4 INTs this year, 3 vs BSU in the 1st game of the season 2 of which were tipped passes through his WR's arms, and last weeks INT which was a tipped pass in OT. He threw for 187 vs ND and 269 vs OSU w/o any INTs. I think their D, and running Bell keeps them in a fairly low scoring game, 23-17 Mich.

  9. #44
    chunk
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    Mich. St.

  10. #45
    Brock Landers
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    Deuce, don't you Fuk me here you motherfukker

  11. #46
    BeantownBlue
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    The best D they faced is not ND. It was Bama. And Mich moved the ball very well in the second half vs ND, when they decided to run the ball 80% of the time.
    I've got Michigan @-9.5.

    Having said that, I'm a homer... so I am not objective here.

    Quote Originally Posted by MeatWad View Post
    The line is finally catching up to the actual impact of losing Kirk Cousins and some of their skills position players last year.

    Mich is still a rebuilding team from the Rich Rod era. Look at how effective Robinson and the offense were against the best D they faced this year ND, 6 total points and 4 INTS.

    This is definitely the 2nd best defense Michigan will have faced. The ST D unit is solid as fukk and have faced better offensives successfully already. They will likely keep St in this game, and put their own TD or put the Mich St O in position to score 1-2x. I know alot of sharp money including myself took Mich St early here, I was a little late on the boat at +10.

  12. #47
    Deuce
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Deuce, don't you Fuk me here you motherfukker
    Nah, take Michigan please. You shouldn't take MSU. It is a horrible play.

  13. #48
    MeatWad
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    True Bama was the best team and D they faced. I recall they were down 31-7 at half, picked up some meaningless yards in the second half, but still only ended up with 269 total yards of O, 3 turnovers, and 14 points. I expect they score 21-24 here, and will take the 10 and hope. I predict a 23-17 type Mich win, but anything can happen.

  14. #49
    BeantownBlue
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    You are dead on. I bet Michigan's score will be around 25, while MSU scores 10~15. The game will be extremely physical and emotional. Michigan is angry because of the beat down last year and desperate to snap MSU's streak, while MSU is angry because they think they don't get the respect from Michigan and desperate because their season is on the line. A lot can happen under these circumstances.

    Quote Originally Posted by MeatWad View Post
    True Bama was the best team and D they faced. I recall they were down 31-7 at half, picked up some meaningless yards in the second half, but still only ended up with 269 total yards of O, 3 turnovers, and 14 points. I expect they score 21-24 here, and will take the 10 and hope. I predict a 23-17 type Mich win, but anything can happen.
    Last edited by BeantownBlue; 10-20-12 at 02:00 AM.

  15. #50
    MeatWad
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeantownBlue View Post
    You are dead on. I bet Michigan's score will be around 25, while MSU scores 10~15. The game will be extremely physical and emotional. Michigan is angry because of the beat down last year and desperate to snap MSU's streak, while MSU is angry because they think they don't get the respect from Michigan and desperate because their season is on the line. A lot can happen under these circumstances.

    Right on, I will be watching this game for sure, think it will be a dog fight and close. Like you said should be emotional and physical as hell. Mich could break out on them, but that St D is soo strong. They had at least two dropped INT last week, hopefully that doesn't happen again. Definitely should be exciting smash mouth game. I expect Mich to snap the 4 game losing streak to St in a close one, and start building a streak of their own.

  16. #51
    Deuce
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    63% on MSU scares me.

  17. #52
    MeatWad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deuce View Post
    63% on MSU scares me.

    That is an ugly number, and Mich breaking out to a fast start could make for an ugly game too. Mich St doesnt have the big play potential to play from behind. Still riding with that talented D +10. Bell runs soo physically and Maxwell usually doesnt do anything too helpful or hurtful, thinking it should stay close.

  18. #53
    testertips
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    I might take them @ + 17.5

  19. #54
    Wilfred
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    I agree with the pick and I hope MSU can possibly squeak of out or at least make it interesting at the end. Hopefully MSU is ready for Denard because they sure were not ready for B Miller. All this talk about how bad the MSU offense is is true but remember this is a rivalry game with a ton of emotions so you can throw some of that out the window.

  20. #55
    MeatWad
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    Looks like it is time to count the winnings! These two teams are soo evenly match, loved getting that 10 with that defense, under was gold too.

  21. #56
    Deuce
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    Been buried with less time before. Not over until ttwarrior sings.

  22. #57
    hawley
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    Good work Deucer.

    WE knew.

  23. #58
    MUHerd37
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    Michigan is a joke

  24. #59
    MeatWad
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    I like to get the money counters warmed up a little early. Not worried about jinxing it with this MSU D.

  25. #60
    CanuckG
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    Deuce in the parking lot listening to the game on the radio eating a snow cone holding his cokk

  26. #61
    MUHerd37
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    Michigan beats Sparty for the 1st time in like 5 years!!!

  27. #62
    Deuce
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    Quote Originally Posted by MUHerd37 View Post
    Michigan beats Sparty for the 1st time in like 5 years!!!
    4

    Analysis spot on.

  28. #63
    Deuce
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    No haters today?

  29. #64
    ZetaPsi808
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    Deucer sharp as a tack

    Deucer i want all future plays in my email inbox

    i am on the pre-release list guy

  30. #65
    mynameismud
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    fukk yes!! i couldnt watch the field goal. almost had a heart attack. go blue baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  31. #66
    jjgold
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    I played this off Deuce's thread

  32. #67
    No coincidences
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    Nice hit Deuce.

    What a weird line.

  33. #68
    BeantownBlue
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    Congrats. 12-10? Way overestimated Mich O.
    I've been very lucky this seaons (13-4, only bet 2-3 games a week),
    but two of the losers are from Michigan. (ND & MSU)
    I should really really stay away from my team. Easier said than done.
    At least, Mich won and snapped this nice little run that our little bro had.

    Good luck for the rest of the season, guys.

  34. #69
    Ernie Mccracken
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    What the hell happened to MSU this year?

  35. #70
    Brock Landers
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    Excellent call Deucer...made 300 bones

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