1. 10-08-12 02:26 PM #1
    k13
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    Packers +5.5 vs Houston...Thoughts

    Probably good idea to get this line now even if you don't like the play.

    Texans are viewed at the top of perception right now, expected to crush the Jets.
    There is no higher ceiling for them even if they win easily.

    If they look average against the Jets or somehow lose or a big injury happens, line will go down.

    I'm still not 100% sure on this play but grabbed the points already, will wait till game time.
    It's a good/bad spot for the Packers, some things I don't like about it.

    Good game for once.
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  2. 10-08-12 02:30 PM #2
    Iwinyourmoney
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    Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

    Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
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  3. 10-08-12 02:35 PM #3
    BIGDAY
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    Packers Suck
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  4. 10-08-12 02:36 PM #4
    p19101
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
    Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

    Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
    Did you even read what he typed? He is on GB, his point was that there is no outcome of this game that can worsen his bet.
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  5. 10-08-12 02:36 PM #5
    Monitor-Tan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
    Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

    Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
    If a key player gets hurt, would that be advantageous to you tobet now since then the packers line would drop?
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  6. 10-08-12 02:39 PM #6
    Iwinyourmoney
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    Didn't read the whole thread.

    My bad
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  7. 10-08-12 03:13 PM #7
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
    Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

    Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
    Sober up Iwin.

    We want injuries/suspensions here.
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  8. 10-08-12 03:15 PM #8
    ermzzy
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    texans will cover, packers still dont have thier best WR jennings in the squad, i can see houston blowing them out pretty bad, look bad how bad they struggled vs colts good god.
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  9. 10-08-12 03:17 PM #9
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
    Why would you bet now? What if key players get hurt tonight, or someone gets suspended?

    Stupid if you even consider a bet on this
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  10. 10-08-12 03:18 PM #10
    hockey216
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    if you think houston will lose get it now. if you think houstin will win big get it later. if houston blows out the jets, this line will go up. the line on jacksonville was 3 last week before the monday night game. after chicago beat dallas it shot up to 6.
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  11. 10-08-12 03:19 PM #11
    Stevedore
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    Houston is only -2.5 on a neutral field? Line is way off IMO, Houston should be favored by at least 7-10 points.
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  12. 10-08-12 03:19 PM #12
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by ermzzy View Post
    texans will cover, packers still dont have thier best WR jennings in the squad, i can see houston blowing them out pretty bad, look bad how bad they struggled vs colts good god.
    This logic is just so far off my man. First the Colts punched them in the mouth in that second half and they are not a bad team. The Packers are only slightly better. Also betting on a team before they have played their game from the previous week is -EV...

    However good luck with your plays...

    k13 sharp as always pal
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  13. 10-08-12 03:19 PM #13
    SBR Lou
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    Guys intending to take GB are probably hoping for a Houston blowout tonight.
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  14. 10-08-12 03:20 PM #14
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by hockey216 View Post
    if you think houston will lose get it now. if you think houstin will win big get it later. if houston blows out the jets, this line will go up. the line on jacksonville was 3 last week before the monday night game. after chicago beat dallas it shot up to 6.
    I don't see how blowing out the jets would make the line go up
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  15. 10-08-12 03:37 PM #15
    Sunde91
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    I'd see the most valuable situation as hoping Texans blow Jets out and you get a better line and get to fade off the charts perception that crashes down on SNF.

    It's more likely Texans lose or struggle, but in that case you might only get a useless +5.5 vs a +4.5 at kick. If they lose I guess +3.5
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  16. 10-08-12 03:46 PM #16
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    I'd see the most valuable situation as hoping Texans blow Jets out and you get a better line and get to fade off the charts perception that crashes down on SNF.

    It's more likely Texans lose or struggle, but in that case you might only get a useless +5.5 vs a +4.5 at kick. If they lose I guess +3.5
    I'd rather just have a +200 plus moneyline since to me its basically a 50/50 game.
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  17. 10-08-12 03:52 PM #17
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stevedore View Post
    Houston is only -2.5 on a neutral field? Line is way off IMO, Houston should be favored by at least 7-10 points.
    Funny how Packers fans lost their cockiness...lol

    This line was -1.5 Packers not too long ago. 7 point swing.
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  18. 10-08-12 03:55 PM #18
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Turnover can swing this game either way and deciding the outcome of this spread. I would stay way or play the OVER.
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  19. 10-08-12 10:53 PM #19
    k13
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    Lines taken off. I saw at least one decent injury.

    Do you guys expect much change?
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  20. 10-08-12 11:12 PM #20
    slacker00
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    I wouldn't touch GB unless I at least knew Raji was good to go against that fierce HOU running attack.
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  21. 10-08-12 11:13 PM #21
    t-wizzle
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    Texans are the superior team. They should win and cover but don't like the short week.
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  22. 10-08-12 11:15 PM #22
    Vegas39
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    Benson out hurts Packs running game ( what little they have )
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  23. 10-08-12 11:18 PM #23
    quantifyTHAT
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    GB wins this game straight up... ML play imo
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  24. 10-08-12 11:22 PM #24
    Titanup28
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    Pack 0-3 vs the spread last 3 weeks, I'm taking packers with the points and ML
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  25. 10-08-12 11:24 PM #25
    beermankirk
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    Really like the Texans , the fact Bennson is done helps...
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  26. 10-08-12 11:25 PM #26
    quantifyTHAT
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    People are forgetting GB is a season removed from being a 15-1 team. The Packers can't hang with the Texans? Since when? Clay Matthews can't rattle Schaub? GB can't win on the road? Anybody taking Houston is leaving value on the table.
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  27. 10-08-12 11:30 PM #27
    NYSportsGuy210
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    OVER or no play. Better games to choose from.
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  28. 10-08-12 11:33 PM #28
    Ernie Mccracken
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    Quote Originally Posted by quantifyTHAT View Post
    People are forgetting GB is a season removed from being a 15-1 team. The Packers can't hang with the Texans? Since when?
    Since they traded in their offensive line for some cardboard cutouts. What a difference.
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  29. 10-08-12 11:44 PM #29
    ronzer
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYSportsGuy210 View Post
    OVER or no play. Better games to choose from.
    i agree
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  30. 10-08-12 11:48 PM #30
    SmittyZ28
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYSportsGuy210 View Post
    OVER or no play. Better games to choose from.
    Whats the over? Anything under 52 it would be a solid play, maybe GB ML/over parlay for a small play too
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  31. 10-08-12 11:51 PM #31
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by SmittyZ28 View Post
    Whats the over? Anything under 52 it would be a solid play, maybe GB ML/over parlay for a small play too

    Looks like 47 to open
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  32. 10-08-12 11:59 PM #32
    rm18
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    GB the better team but most of their good players are hurt
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  33. 10-09-12 12:04 AM #33
    SmittyZ28
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    47 looks good to me, will prob grab that as soon as its open. I REALLY like the Over 44 on Giants/9ers next week, I know SF has a tough D but they will score on the weak NY secondary. Cannot see Manning not keeping this close which means he will have to score to keep up. Both teams have been scoring a TON of points.
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  34. 10-09-12 12:32 AM #34
    A4K
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    Current line as of 10:30 PST, is Texans -5 @ 5Dimes. I can see this moving to -6.5 by game day. Might bite at 5 and hope it moves upwards in hopes of a middle.
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  35. 10-09-12 12:50 AM #35
    shocka1212
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    call me biased toward my squad (NY FOOTBALL GIANTS) but i dont see the packers winning this game... im hoping that line drops a little more so i can take the texans to cover. GB's Defense is not all its cracked up to be.. their only chance is to get some pressure but the Texans O-Line should be able to contain and chip Clay Matthews who sometimes looks like the only player that is aware that he plays Defense. On the other side.. JJ Watt is the defensive version of Vernon Davis.. an absolute beast. Packers are suspect against teams that can generate a decent pass rush (Seahawks, Giants, TEXANS, Lions) and this disrupts their timing on offense. this is my reasoning as to why i see a high scoring, but double digit win.. Packers barely got by the Saints who cant stop a nosebleed. Texans -5.5 (wait till sunday to see if that line drops... wont go up)
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