1. 07-29-12 08:19 PM #1
    AribaAriba
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    how freaking good are the oddsmakers?

    I mean they have the USA olympics basketball team winning against france at -25 and they won by 27. It will be pretty fascinating to know how would they create this line with all the randomness of players for each team.
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  2. 07-29-12 08:21 PM #2
    paco
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    It all evens out. On the other side, how horrible were oddsmakers on setting Argentina (with 3 legit nba starters) as 5 point dogs? Didn't Argentina win by 30+?
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  3. 07-29-12 08:24 PM #3
    alta
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    It all evens out. On the other side, how horrible were oddsmakers on setting Argentina (with 3 legit nba starters) as 5 point dogs? Didn't Argentina win by 30+?
    5 point favorite

    LITHUANIA 23 16 22 18 79
    ARGENTINA 24 27 27 24 102
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  4. 07-29-12 08:25 PM #4
    chilidog
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    I think that oddsmakers are wrong just as often as we are.
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  5. 07-29-12 08:26 PM #5
    lunchbawks
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    all the big bet sports have sharp lines.. NBA, NFL, MLB
    nhl oddsmakers have no idea, same with MLS soccer

    small league is most +ev, its gotta be
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  6. 07-29-12 08:28 PM #6
    AribaAriba
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    would liketo meet these bozos who create line like this maybe they're something special, probably typical sports fanatic who sits on couch with their beer belly touching their laptop.
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  7. 07-29-12 08:30 PM #7
    AribaAriba
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    Quote Originally Posted by chilidog View Post
    I think that oddsmakers are wrong just as often as we are.
    so true, i read in an article that vegas makes it money on juice and pubic bets are often 50-50 long term.
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  8. 07-29-12 08:34 PM #8
    CollegePro
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    Well, total for USA game eas over under 168.. Boris diaw make two point shot with 4sec left to go over...
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  9. 07-29-12 08:48 PM #9
    convick
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    For every game that lands close to the number there's 10 games that are not even close.
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  10. 07-29-12 09:02 PM #10
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    all the big bet sports have sharp lines.. NBA, NFL, MLB
    nhl oddsmakers have no idea, same with MLS soccer

    small league is most +ev, its gotta be
    The spread only matters in ~20% of games in the NFL.
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  11. 07-29-12 09:03 PM #11
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    The spread only matters in ~20% of games in the NFL.
    Pick the winner league
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  12. 07-29-12 09:15 PM #12
    lunchbawks
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    The spread only matters in ~20% of games in the NFL.
    ...thats alot
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  13. 07-29-12 09:25 PM #13
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    ...thats alot
    You can just make every spread +3 blindly and you'll be close to that number.
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