Pitcher match up favors Snakes with Cahill.
Forget about the 2-4 record, Cahill has solid numbers, 1.22 WH/IP ratio is much better than the league average, his ERA is sound at 3.65
Rockies as a team are only 7 for 46 against Cahill, only one being for extra bases, a Car-Go double.
Tulo is hit less v. Cahill, plus he's not 100 percent.
COLORADO ROCKIES CAREER STATISTICS VS. TREVOR CAHILL BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS Tyler Colvin 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .167 .167 .167 .333 Michael Cuddyer 11 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 .091 .167 .091 .258 Jason Giambi 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Carlos Gonzalez 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 1.500 2.000 Todd Helton 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .500 .000 .500 Jonathan Herrera 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Chris Nelson 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Wilin Rosario 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 Marco Scutaro 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 Troy Tulowitzki 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .200 .000 .200 Eric Young Jr. 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Totals 40 7 0 1 0 0 7 9 .175 .313 .225 .538
Rockies start Nicasio, who despite looking good his last start versus LA Dodgers, has been allowing base runners all season, throws too many pitches, which accounts for the high WH/IP ratio of 1.48 and ERA of 4.65.
Looking at this game logs this season, he benefits from run support from the Rockie offense, getting six and eight runs in his two victories (2-1)
Can't use the small sample of D-Backs at bats versus Nicasio, because, well 5 for 11 is too small.
Nicasio isn't very efficient with his pitches, throws about 100 a game, barely gets out of the sixth, if he needs to turn the game over to that crappy bullpen of Brothers, Bettancourt, and the rest of those gas-cans, in the sixth, I don't see a Arizona loss.
Arizona with Cahill is a run better in this spot than the Rockies with Nicasio, I am looking for Cahill to once again control the Rockie bats, I am looking for the Snakes to push across 4 runs off Nicasio, both teams aren't going to play meaningful October games this season, but this game has D-back winning 6-2.
Zona +108 is my play