0.5 - 2 unit spread
That is my goal... 48hrs to make $5K
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03-24-12 07:43 AM #1
How hard it is to have a $5K weekend betting 1K per unit
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03-24-12 08:04 AM #2
essentially your best shot is to risk it all on as few games as possible.
which would mean 3 bets first day for the max (.5 x .5 x .5) 1 in 8 chance, the odds of winning 2/3 and then going 2/2 to still be up 5k are 3/8 x 1/4 or 3/32 chance. there is still a slim chance of continuing to waver then hitting a couple late but that is pretty insignificant.
so the odds of being up 5k on 2k bets are a little higher than 4/32 + 3/32 or 7/32
22%
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03-24-12 08:06 AM #3
mm , great post!
I know with fixed -EV odds, like craps, it is best to bet 5K on one bet
Thanks again
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03-24-12 09:02 AM #4
no problem sam
you are right, the best chance of winning 5k is laying 100k on a -2000 but that would probably mean you don't need the 5k anyway
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03-24-12 09:04 AM #5
If i had 100k laying around I would be somewhere else at the moment
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03-24-12 09:04 AM #6
You can do it easily, Sam. Key will be to not get buried early - spread out the risk a bit on the first few bets, build up the bankroll. Then unload Sunday night and get to the 5K!
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03-24-12 09:15 AM #7
Thanks Reload! I can always count on you to have my back...
1150/$300.00 Richard Gasquet - he is cocaine free these days
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03-24-12 09:21 AM #8
So hard
Sammy your playing a dangerous game here
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03-24-12 09:24 AM #9
Originally Posted by jjgold
i know
if i lose my nerve i will stop and recoup
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03-25-12 08:21 AM #10
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03-25-12 08:43 AM #11
damn nice work sam
you letting it ride?
i like tiger to win at -120 or so, but i don't think there's limits that high on in-progress golf anywhere
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03-25-12 08:49 AM #12
mm , I will make just one big bet today or two bets on one event may use 2 books
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03-25-12 12:44 PM #13
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03-25-12 03:36 PM #14
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03-25-12 04:03 PM #15
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03-25-12 04:09 PM #16
Good luck bro, I'm on it with you. Originally Posted by Sam Odom
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03-25-12 04:19 PM #17
You can do it. If I was betting full units on my plays instead of 1/4 and 1/2 I'd have grinded out 5k the past few days. Not confident in hoops so I play it safe by decreasing unit size.
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03-25-12 06:06 PM #18
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03-25-12 06:09 PM #19
Go Get Em Sammy
Your getting closer
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03-25-12 06:11 PM #20
Originally Posted by jjgold
i just took a fukking hit for $565
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03-25-12 06:31 PM #21
1389/1208
Ov 200 1/2 OkC
Not going to make it... 5K that is
Putting half of the winnings on the Total above
Going to win 1389 or 3986 for the weekend - I tried
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03-25-12 06:37 PM #22
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