1. 09-21-11 02:22 PM #1
    pavyracer
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    Lets talk about NCAAF totals for this week

    I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

    Michigan/San Diego St 61
    Duke/Tulane 55
    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
    Oregon St/UCLA 50
    Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

    The following three I think they are set too low:

    Washington U/California 58
    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
    Florida/Kentucky 43

    Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.
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  2. 09-21-11 03:29 PM #2
    TPowell
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    UK has zero offense, they may not even score against Florida.
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  3. 09-21-11 03:35 PM #3
    sportfan
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    East Carolina/UAB 60.5
    Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
    both are not high enough
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  4. 09-21-11 03:50 PM #4
    M.W.
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    Neb/Wyo over looks good. Unfortunately, it was up to 59 last I checked.
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  5. 09-21-11 03:57 PM #5
    Emily_Haines
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    based on what we have seen this year from uab & ecu offenses I would be very hesitant to bet that one over.
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  6. 09-21-11 04:09 PM #6
    Pickem2win
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    Im a season ticket holder to Washington...This year their defense sucks ass and they are allowing 37 pts a game...They are also scoring about 36 a game (offense is clicking)...Going over the 58 seems like a lock! BOL
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  7. 09-21-11 04:28 PM #7
    collie
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    I think SMU pit up at least 40 on Memphis. Going over 53.5 is my best totals play this week
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  8. 09-21-11 04:36 PM #8
    dfberger23
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    Love the under in the Michigan game, line is still inflated from the Rich Rod era, can't imagine this game going over.

    No opinions on the other games you posted. I grabbed West Virginia/LSU under 50, it is now 49.5, love that line, can't see this game cracking 40.
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  9. 09-21-11 04:39 PM #9
    BettingWizard
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    UK has zero offense, they may not even score against Florida.
    and Florida could score 42 themselves with UK having junk scores at the end


    I love FSU under 50 and agree with playing Duke unders that high when they are playing subpar teams
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  10. 09-21-11 04:42 PM #10
    Brock Landers
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    good thread, college totals get overlooked a lot of the time
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  11. 09-21-11 05:01 PM #11
    CarpeDime
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

    Michigan/San Diego St 61
    Duke/Tulane 55
    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
    Oregon St/UCLA 50
    Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

    The following three I think they are set too low:

    Washington U/California 58
    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
    Florida/Kentucky 43

    Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.
    Yeah I hit the UCLA under a little myself, but I usually wait until game day to make the majority of totals bets

    as far as leans, yeah my leans agree with you on E Car and Wash/Cal, but I also have "careful" next to those leans in my notes

    I had a lean on the under in Wyoming/Neb at 59.5, wish I had hit it I guess
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  12. 09-21-11 06:42 PM #12
    BiffTFinancial
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    i like

    UNC/GT over 58'
    Nebraska/Wyoming over 59
    NC State/Cincy over 60'
    LSU/WVU under 49'
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  13. 09-21-11 06:50 PM #13
    dume walker
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    As I mentioned in another thread, the weather reports for Greenville (ECU's home) call for scattered thunderstorms all week and on game day. Could put a damper on that total. You can also check the weather Saturday morning to see if things have cleared up.
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  14. 09-21-11 06:53 PM #14
    Louisvillekid1
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    im on these totals plays, i agree with you

    Tulane/Duke u55
    UAB/ECU u60.5
    W Mich/Illinois u53.5
    LSU/WVU u 49.5
    UCLA/Oregon St u50
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  15. 09-21-11 06:59 PM #15
    dume walker
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    I thought about taking that OSU/A&M over as well, but the score in last year's game was 38-35 and A&M's defense is even stronger this year. If Arizona can hold the Okies to 37 in Stillwater, A&M might be able to cut that down even further in College Station.
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  16. 09-21-11 07:01 PM #16
    dume walker
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    Ooops, sorry. Just re-read your starting post and saw you were saying the ECU/UAB and TAMU/OSU totals might be too high. So, yeah, I think you could be right about those.
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  17. 09-21-11 07:19 PM #17
    alamo
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    i like

    UNC/GT over 58'
    Nebraska/Wyoming over 59
    NC State/Cincy over 60'
    LSU/WVU under 49'
    Biff is that your girl friend in your Avatar. Man she is a hottie!
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  18. 09-21-11 07:25 PM #18
    NYER5680
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    love the ecu over myself
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  19. 09-21-11 07:31 PM #19
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post
    Biff is that your girl friend in your Avatar. Man she is a hottie!
    naw, it's Amanda Knox. wife's pretty hawt though.
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  20. 09-21-11 08:29 PM #20
    cackerman509
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    I dont know if I agree with the under on Mich/SDST Michigan still doesn't have much of a Defense and same goes for SDST. Along with that both teams have an above average offense. Am I missing something here? Anyone want to chime in on something that I may not be seeing thanks.
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  21. 09-21-11 08:31 PM #21
    bb_skoots
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    ^^^
    Amanda Knox is friggin gorgeous. Hope she is found innocent because she will pose naked after this for sure.
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  22. 09-21-11 08:33 PM #22
    Vuk
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

    Michigan/San Diego St 61
    Duke/Tulane 55
    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
    Oregon St/UCLA 50
    Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69 NOT SURE ABOUT THIS ONE, COULD GO EITHER WAY
    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

    The following three I think they are set too low:

    Washington U/California 58
    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5 HAVEN'T MADE THIS AN OFFICIAL PLAY BUT LIKE IT A LOT
    Florida/Kentucky 43 COULD SEE A 34-7 TYPE GAME...

    Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.


    GL!!!!
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  23. 09-21-11 08:42 PM #23
    pavyracer
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    Thank you all guys. These are not plays yet. Just leans so I can see if there are any angles that I'm missing.
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  24. 09-21-11 09:14 PM #24
    CBASS
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    Hey Pavy,

    It is not on your list, but I like La Tech/Miss. St. OVER. Take a look at that one. Miss St is going to run up the score after that devasting loss and La Tech plays a hurry up spread. I can easily see 60 pts scored here. Just my .02 BOL this weekend.
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  25. 09-21-11 11:33 PM #25
    AlwaysDrawing
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    I like:
    Michigan UNDER 61
    Duke UNDER 55
    UAB UNDER 60.5

    Good luck on the card. It's nice to see discussion of NCAAF totals.

    I also booked these for this week:
    LSU UNDER 50.5 -109
    Notre Dame OVER 53 -105
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  26. 09-22-11 12:34 PM #26
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

    Michigan/San Diego St 61
    Duke/Tulane 55
    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
    Oregon St/UCLA 50
    Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

    The following three I think they are set too low:

    Washington U/California 58
    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
    Florida/Kentucky 43

    Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.
    Here are my final plays:

    under
    Michigan/San Diego St 61
    Duke/Tulane 55
    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
    Oregon St/UCLA 50
    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

    over
    Washington U/California 58
    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
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  27. 09-22-11 12:54 PM #27
    MTek
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    naw, it's Amanda Knox. wife's pretty hawt though.

    I always thought that avatar was some girl from Party of Five, or Gilmore Giirls or something.
    Interesting case, sounds like she may go free soon

    Isnt that every american travelers worst nightmare... getting tangled in some effed up foreign country's legal system, for a crime you didnt commit?

    See SBR can be educational and relevant...not just sports and betting
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  28. 09-22-11 06:51 PM #28
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by MTek View Post
    I always thought that avatar was some girl from Party of Five, or Gilmore Giirls or something. Interesting case, sounds like she may go free soon Isnt that every american travelers worst nightmare... getting tangled in some effed up foreign country's legal system, for a crime you didnt commit? See SBR can be educational and relevant...not just sports and betting
    right, like Return to Paradise or Brokedown Palace? hope that she (1) didn't do it (2) gets off and (3) gets in good shape for the book tour.

    BOL with your totals, Pavy. liking SDSU/UM under and UNL/WYO over and liking them more thanks to this thread.
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