Originally posted on 01/15/2016:

The idea with the keep-up game angle is that there is a medium-sized home dog that will be going hard from the outset to match their more-talented visitor. Most of the potential red flags fall on the home dog side of the ledger (offensive efficiency, 3PT%, 2PT%, ATO ratio) as well as in comparing both teams' pace (don't want either to be a slower team, nor do i want either team to be much faster-paced than the other - theory being that much slower fave will dictate slower tempo by virtue of being better team and that being their preferred pace, while much slower dog isn't going to be as interested in matching pace with much faster-paced fave). One potential red flag that i cannot evaluate at this point for Saturday's card is line movement (both where it opens relative to what i expect and how it moves).

Have a great Friday night, fellas. Out for a couple of cold ones and i'll see you tomorrow.