Originally posted on 05/17/2014:

Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
So, the theme tonight is apparently a bunch of dudes randomly guessing who they're going to bet on before the fight starts?
perfect example of an absolutely unpredictable result...precisely why this game is all about using an understanding of basic--and not quite so basic--probability/statistics to "size" and "position" your bets intelligently for a predictable distribution of plausible results...

what result actually happens though--like Volkov by SUB--is the "spin of the roulette wheel"...this is, after all, the science-informed art of gambling, not the science of sports-prediction...

when something happens like that (with a z-score of at least /4/)...you realize why intelligent bet-sizing is your only insurance policy