1. 01-05-11 04:51 PM #141
    Gilly86
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    Quote Originally Posted by lucky888gunz View Post
    but if green bay loses you lose 2x
    lol, no you dont, if you were going to bet 1 unit on green bay money line, then you just bet .5 unit on each of those parlays which equates to a 1 unit bet but with a much greater payout than playing just the green bay moneyline.
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  2. 01-05-11 04:55 PM #142
    jmilacek
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    Quote Originally Posted by kfranz31 View Post
    the packer defense is awesome....they held mike vick to just 17 points the last time they played... was just for one half but they still held him to below 20 points
    17 points in a half is terrible defense.
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  3. 01-05-11 05:05 PM #143
    lucky888gunz
    Parlay GB ML -145 Jon Jones -300
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gilly86 View Post
    If youre going to bet the GB moneyline, make two bets, one parlayed with the jets ML and one with the colts ML.

    GB +120 pays 1.2 to 1

    GB +120 & Jets +115 pays 3.73 to 1
    GB +120 & Colts -135 pays 2.8 to 1

    You'll make at minimum 1.8 to 1, with a possibility of making 2.73 to 1



    You're welcome.

    Edit: Odds from sportsbook.com
    With your odds, if you risk 1 unit on Greenbay moneyline
    you win 1.2

    lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Jets +115 pays 3.73 to 1
    you win 1.865
    lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Colts -135 pays 2.8 to 1
    you win 1.4
    therefore, if Greenbay and the Jets win you win 1.865 -.5(other parlay) = 1.365
    if Greenbay and the colts win, you win 1.4 -.5(other parlay) = .9

    if you average the result from the 2 possible outcomes of your parlay method, your average return is 1.1325, worse than the original moneyline odds.
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  4. 01-05-11 08:01 PM #144
    Gilly86
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    Quote Originally Posted by lucky888gunz View Post
    With your odds, if you risk 1 unit on Greenbay moneyline
    you win 1.2

    lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Jets +115 pays 3.73 to 1
    you win 1.865
    lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Colts -135 pays 2.8 to 1
    you win 1.4
    therefore, if Greenbay and the Jets win you win 1.865 -.5(other parlay) = 1.365
    if Greenbay and the colts win, you win 1.4 -.5(other parlay) = .9

    if you average the result from the 2 possible outcomes of your parlay method, your average return is 1.1325, worse than the original moneyline odds.
    No, the line with the colts pays 2.8 to 1 so essentially 2.8 to 2, or +140. The line with the jets pays 3.73 to 1 or essentially 3.73 to 2, or +186. The minimum payout would be +140?

    Unless I'm really missing something an am a stupidass
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  5. 01-05-11 09:22 PM #145
    lucky888gunz
    Parlay GB ML -145 Jon Jones -300
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    yeah you are missing the fact that you're risking .5 unit on each parlay , so you're not winning 2.8 or 3.73 units, but half of that.

    I think you're forgetting to subtract the half a unit you're losing on the parlay which loses.

    so +1.4 units or +1.86 units , then you got to subtract the .5 unit you lost on the parlay which didnt cover. so that equals .9 or 1.36 net profit as the two possible outcomes - average the two and you have 1.13, worse odds than playing a straight moneyline at 1.2
    Last edited by lucky888gunz; 01-05-11 at 09:27 PM.
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  6. 01-05-11 10:21 PM #146
    Art Vandelay
    Corona on St. Pats... WTF!
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    Clay Mathews will be all over Vick like white on rice! The hits on Vick accumulate and GB wins by 4!
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  7. 01-05-11 10:57 PM #147
    jjgold
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    Phila is the biggest square play of the week

    They have no shot
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  8. 01-06-11 01:10 AM #148
    sweethook
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    50/50
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  9. 01-06-11 01:33 AM #149
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
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    I agree with this play in theory, but I'm worried about GB's lack of ground game.
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  10. 01-06-11 01:39 AM #150
    Sunde91
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    JFC, STRONG lean by jj on his isolated plays = 75% winners...
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  11. 01-08-11 11:53 AM #151
    Sunde91
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    How big time is this play? Confidence on a scale of 1 to 10?
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  12. 01-09-11 04:31 PM #152
    jjgold
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    Well it was a strong play like 8

    WINNER
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  13. 01-09-11 04:44 PM #153
    Sunde91
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    Coach Unreal

    Wanted this for huge, got scared of the hype. Every fukin nitwit on ESPN was touting them.

    Do not question coach. 75% winners.
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  14. 01-09-11 04:45 PM #154
    jjgold
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    know the game Sunder even though I am down $44,000 lifetime at SBR
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  15. 01-09-11 05:35 PM #155
    sweethook
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    nice jj , youl get it back
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  16. 01-09-11 05:36 PM #156
    jjgold
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    Lets get the champagne out

    Congrats
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  17. 01-09-11 05:44 PM #157
    The Seer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Lets get the champagne out Congrats
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  18. 01-09-11 05:49 PM #158
    jjgold
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    Congrats Seer
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