1. #1
    BennyFang
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    Join Date: 12-27-09
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    Texans/Broncos will FLY over 48.5

    I can't believe that I'm thinking about making my play of the week in a meaningless game but:

    -both teams passing games have huge advantages over the other's secondaries
    -After 3 weeks in the road, Denver will play inspired to win a game before the Chargers roll in next week.
    -Broncos have scored 49 and 33 the last two home games.
    -Both teams will play wide open with no playoff implications.
    -Perfect weather.....Low 50s, little or no wind.
    -High altitude always helps FGs

    I have this game capped at 53 based on stats alone. The situation adds 4 - 7 points. I think it hits mid 50s easy. At 48.5 it can still be had by 7 TDs.

    Not sure whether I'll play the game total over or, as a hedge, play each team's total over.

    Tell me why if you think I'm off here!

  2. #2
    frostno98
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    Loser. The only thing that will make this game go over is turnovers, which is impossible to cap. If neither don't doesn't turn the ball over that gives the opposition a short field, this game goes under easily

  3. #3
    StackinGreen
    Can't stop Won't stop
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    Benny, I like the play.

  4. #4
    gilbert91016
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    On the over as well

  5. #5
    StackinGreen
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    And I've been hot on them. I'll play it, but can't make it a top play due to considerations and meaninglessness. My next top play comes likely in the playoffs (4-0 since joining).

    Best of luck. This should cash.

    I'm laying low but I would tease this one and:
    GB
    StL
    Bal

    This week and next seem weird to me, though, so I'm happy to be very disciplined. The only game I'm on this week so far is Baltimore -3 (-130). I might play some 2nd halves or this game since it's a 4pm start, especially if Baltimore covers for me. Good grab.

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