[jmathes]

I will start posting all system plays tonight. This system yields approximately 8-10 picks a week and should hit in the 60% range. I will be flat betting $1,000 per game and should have a nice reward at the end of the season. A good friend shared this with me a couple of years back and it has given great results. We also found a correlation between line movements and the system which have been very beneficial. However, its a small sample size so we will just monitor it for record keeping purposes. I will call those System II plays just to make them clear to everyone.

This system typically starts out a little slow and gets stronger as the season progresses. Obviously statistics have a great deal to do with that. Week 1 started very well with one more pick tonight.

Here are yesterday's results:

GREEN BAY WIN
CAROLINA LOSS
NEW ENGLAND WIN
JACKSONVILLE WIN
PITT WIN
CLEVELAND PUSH
WASHINGTON WIN
MIAMI WIN
SAN FRAN LOSS


Monday Pick:

San Diego -4


OVERALL RECORD: 6-2-1 +$,3800






Good luck to everyone that follows this year!

[daneault23]

Looks good man. I think it's going to be very very difficult to finish with about a 60% win rate playing at least 8 games a week, but if you can do it, I'll be here to congratulate ya. Even if it's just 55%, were all here to make money.

[jmathes]

I will release my picks for Sunday's games tomorrow around 3 pm eastern time.





GREEN BAY WIN
CAROLINA LOSS
NEW ENGLAND WIN
JACKSONVILLE WIN
PITT WIN
CLEVELAND PUSH
WASHINGTON WIN
MIAMI WIN
SAN FRAN LOSS


Monday Pick:

San Diego -4 LOSS


OVERALL RECORD: 6-3-1 +$2,700

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

ya homie, just make sure u put the picks out before the games start going forward here

[jmathes]

ya homie, just make sure u put the picks out before the games start going forward here

absolutely, they will be posted every saturday night. at the end of the season i may share this system if all goes well. we will see....

[vyomguy]

good luck.

[HoulihansTX]

GL.

[cant call it]

bol to you. I look forward to all of us succeeding in winning other peoples money.

[jmathes]

I do have a System II play on Sunday's card which is included below. Remember all bets are flat bet at $1,000 each. Good luck everyone!


CHIGAGO +7.5
NEW ENGLAND -3 (SYSTEM II PLAY)
JACKSONVILLE +7
DENVER -3
BALTIMORE -2
MINNESOTA -5
ARIZONA +7
PHILLY -6
HOUSTON -3
CLEVELAND -2.5




OVERALL RECORD: 6-3-1 +$2,700

[vyomguy]

I do have a System II play on Sunday's card which is included below. Remember all bets are flat bet at $1,000 each. Good luck everyone! CHIGAGO +7.5 NEW ENGLAND -3 (SYSTEM II PLAY) JACKSONVILLE +7 DENVER -3 BALTIMORE -2 MINNESOTA -5 ARIZONA +7 PHILLY -6 HOUSTON -3 CLEVELAND -2.5 OVERALL RECORD: 6-3-1 +$2,700

Most of them are bad picks...I would be really surprised if you hit 50% this week. Your system must be relying a lot on the week 1 stats which shows the skewness in the system picks.

[Quake]

BOL jmath

[gmoney45]

Good luck JM

[JP10]

GL Jmath.

[ebbearsfb1]

Most of them are bad picks...I would be really surprised if you hit 50% this week. Your system must be relying a lot on the week 1 stats which shows the skewness in the system picks.

you don't really know if its a bad pick, till the game is played.... im guessing thats one of the reasons he said the system starts slow then picks up

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

Good week man...1-7-1 overall...7-10-2

better tweak the system if your gonna hit 60%

[jmathes]

Good week man...1-7-1 overall...7-10-2

better tweak the system if your gonna hit 60%

No need to tweak anything buddy. If you wanna double that bet to 200 points just let me know...

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

No need to tweak anything buddy. If you wanna double that bet to 200 points just let me know...

Ya i'm down--200/200...straight up- Good luck!

[jmathes]

Terrible results last week but the good thing is the stats only get stronger as the season goes on. Plays will be posted tomorrow evening...




CHIGAGO +7.5 WIN
NEW ENGLAND -3 LOSS
JACKSONVILLE +7 LOSS
DENVER -3 WIN
BALTIMORE -2 LOSS
MINNESOTA -5 LOSS
ARIZONA +7 LOSS
PHILLY -6 LOSS
HOUSTON -3 PUSH
CLEVELAND -2.5 LOSS




OVERALL RECORD: 8-10-2 -$3,000

[JW Cash]

Just bet Dallas...

you will be 1-0 for the week................................just sayin....

[ssk13809]

Good week man...1-7-1 overall...7-10-2

Can you post picks so people can fade this system?

[hitman2010]

no plays this week? I wait to see.

[million2one]

Good luck Jmathes.
If the system usually starts slow, why not wait until week 3 or 4?
I am a big stats and math guy and I am waiting until week 4 to start making picks.

[jmathes]

Good luck tomorrow guys. The system is only going to keep getting better from here on out.


CINCY -3
OAKLAND +4.5
DALLAS +3
KANSAS CITY +3
ATLANTA +3.5
INDY -5.5
WASHINGTON -4
MIAMI -2
SAN DIEGO -5




OVERALL RECORD: 8-10-2 -$3,000

[solecrazy]

BOL jmathes!

[daneault23]

6-2 with MIA pending

[daneault23]

Not to mess with ur system buddy, but I think if your system picks the dog as one of the plays, you should think about playing it on the ML because about 83% of the time, or 5/6 times if the dog covers the spread they will also win the game. Just something to think about, cuz I think the value on the dogs would be great compared to just the basic -110 or -105 line for spreads.

[JW Cash]

dont quit your day job buddy........................that is if you have one.....

[jmathes]

I went 6-3 yesterday and will take that anyday of the the week. Hopefully we see the same results or better next week.




CINCY -3 WIN
OAKLAND +4.5 WIN
DALLAS +3 WIN
KANSAS CITY +3 WIN
ATLANTA +3.5 WIN
INDY -5.5 WIN
WASHINGTON -4 LOSS
MIAMI -2 LOSS
SAN DIEGO -5 LOSS




OVERALL RECORD: 14-13-2 -$300

[hitman2010]

[solecrazy]

looking forward to this weeks plays Jmathes!

[jmathes]

looking forward to this weeks plays Jmathes!

I will have the plays posted on here tomorrow afternoon. It should be around 5 pm eastern time at the latest.

[jmathes]

Here are the picks for week 4. It picked 6 favorites but 4 of those games are less than 3 points, so I will live with that. Hopefully we can get another positive week



DENVER +7
PITT -1 (SYSTEM II PLAY)
CINCY -3
SEATTLE -1.5
HOUSTON -3 (SYSTEM II PLAY)
NEW ENGLAND -1
ATLANTA -7





OVERALL RECORD: 14-13-2 -$300

[hitman2010]

[jmathes]

Right now I am 2-4 on the week with one game pending on the Patriots tonight. I really need a victory because a 3-4 record on the week would look much better than a 2-5. I felt like atleast 1 of those losses should of gone our way yesterday but thats how it goes. The best of luck to everyone tonight...

[jmathes]

3-4 for week 4 with plenty of time to get back into the winning way...


Denver +7 win
pitt -1 (system ii play) loss
cincy -3 loss
seattle -1.5 loss
houston -3 (system ii play) win
new england -1 win
atlanta -7 loss





overall record: 17-17-2