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imgv NFL Week 9 (YTD: 24-34 -8.84 Units)
YTD: 24-34 -8.84 Units
After a few bad weeks in a row had a pretty decent one last week. Hopefully continue it this week as I have a very large play.
My goal is to be within even units by week 13.
2.5* Teaser -115
Bengals +7.5
Steelers -2
1* Teaser -130
Bengals +9
Steelers -0.5
Writeup:
Whats the one thing everyone is saying about the Bengals? Their defense sucks, offense is the bomb Palmer,Chad Johnson, TJ Whosyourmama etc. But please let's realize that the Bills isn't any better.
BILLS DEFENSE:
Def Run: 24th (4.7ypc allowed)
Def Pass: 29th
^^^
BAD DEFENSE? Bengals shouldn't have much problems with this D.
Again we all know that the Bengals have an explosive offense actually the 5th best offense in NFL
Bills offense hmm NOT SO GOOD...............
Bills
Off Run: 20th
Off Pass: 31st
Bills really don't do anything good.
Buffalo is only averaging 13.9ppg this season (29th)
The most points the Bills have scored this season is 24.
Is Buffalo's dismal offense going to outscore the NFLs 6th best offense in the NFL?
Don't you think Carson Palmer will have a ton of success against the 29th worst PASS DEFENSE?
Consider this as well, Bengals have lost by DD's twice this season to - New England who has killed everyone and the Steelers who have their # and is a much better team than the Bills.
Bengals 0-3 on the road this season but they didn't lose any of those games by more than 7 points. Losing to three teams who are better than the Bills.
Bengals and the points is the right way to go, Bengals are not losing by much to a Bills team who does nothing well.
Whatever the case the Steelers have the edge in almost every category. Not only that but their @ HOME too.
Better QB
Better RBs
Better WRs
Better O-Line
Secondary Neutral
Run Defense: Baltimore but not by much cause the Steelers are still ranked 5th vs Run.
We all know the Ravens have a great defense but the damn
Steelers have a GREAT DEFENSE too.
Steelers Def Run: 4th
Steelers Def Pass: 5th
Steelers may even have the better DEFENSE
Points allowed
Ravens 119
Steelers 91
Let's talk about offense now..
Steelers have a pretty good offense averaging 26.7ppg
Steelers have the 5th ranked offense in the NFL
Ravens on the other hand are only averaging 17.7ppg on offense.
Okay so the Steelers have an as good or maybe even better defense AND they avg nine more points a game AND their @ HOME!!
Let's look even deeper......
Pittsburgh has the better RUNNING game.
Pitt Off Run:1st
Balt Off Run: 16th
Need more evidence?
Pitt offense Run: 4.8 yds per carry
Balt offense Run 3.9yds per carry
OK
Let's look at the pass now
Baltimore Off Pass: 16th
Steelers Off Pass : 21th
Alright, the Ravens pass the ball a little better. Oh well
BUT WAIT! This is a MISLEADING stat.
Baltimore has yielded only 100 more yards in passing than the Steelers
BUT
Have attempted 83 more passes.
Pass Attempts per game
Balt: 39.3
Pitt: 27.1
Yards per Pass
Balt 5.8
Pitt 8.0
So actually Baltimore doesn't have the better passing game...
Baltimore has really struggled on the road this season:
Balt 20
Cin 27
Balt 13
Clev 27
Balt 9
SF 7
Balt 14
Buff 19
1-3
Outscored 56 to 80, all by teams that Pittsburgh have played and defeated by 11 or more.
Let's see what the Steelers have done at home this season:
Buff 3
Pitt 26
SF 16
Pitt 37
Sea 0
Pitt 21
Won all three games by 21 points or more.
1* Pats/Colts Over 56
It's going to take at least 30 points to win this game. These are definitely the two best teams,offenses and QBs in football. Both teams have been putting up big points all season I don't see why it should stop now.
1* Cowboys -3 +100 (LAZERWAGER)
I have my doubts about the Eagles. There are some stats that make the Eagles look good but I'm convinced that we have the best team in the NFL going against probably the 6th best team in the NFL.
If I see the Packers go up to +3, I will be teasing them to +10 to the Steelers.
GL everyone feedback is always appreciated.
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Originally Posted by imgv94
