if so what's the reasoning behind the ats pick???? NFL
thanks
veri-
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11-12-23 09:40 AM #1
anyone on the BRONCOS??
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11-12-23 10:01 AM #2
Random weird question
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11-12-23 10:12 AM #3
Naw, Buffalo at home smashes them.
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11-12-23 10:12 AM #4
I lived near telluride, co for a few years. Made friends with this electrician who likes sports. Spoke with him recently and he love them for MNF getting 7. Only conclusion I can come up with is he is a fan.
Originally Posted by Halfapointoff
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11-12-23 11:21 AM #5
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11-12-23 01:19 PM #6
Talk about your Rocky Mountain highs. Originally Posted by veriableodds
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11-13-23 08:07 AM #7
Yes, indeed truly god's country. Beautiful breath-taking views, pristine mountain forests, a little of heaven on earth. Believe me you talking to a guy that has been to the natural waterfall areas of Grand Canyon, upper California forests. ect ect. Nothing beats Colorado. Originally Posted by stevenash
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11-13-23 08:26 AM #8
Veri, I normally have a good read on WHY the markets are betting a certain direction. My thoughts:
1) Denver off the nice Home Dog win versus the Chefs. A few considerations:
...Word is that Mahomes was genuinely sick. Was not playing to his normal level.
...Bronco defense got healthier since the early game at Miami (where they conceded 70 pts).
2) Bills have struggled because of health and inconsistency.
...Defensive injuries and some question about Josh Allen's shoulder.
...Bills on the ATS losses. Bengals looked to be > Bills. Got backdoored ATS versus the Bucs.
Those are some reasons. I'm in the camp that this line should be closer to -10 than -7.Points Awarded:
veriableodds gave ChuckyTheGoat 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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11-13-23 08:29 AM #9
I’ve heard people say this about Tennessee. Was getting shown around by a CO and he said this is Gods Country .
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11-13-23 08:42 AM #10
Love the broncos tonight
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11-13-23 08:43 AM #11
I just saw Johnny on them. Changed my mind.
Points Awarded:
lakerboy gave gauchojake 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-13-23 08:49 AM #12
Well johnny is lol, I like the under here
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11-13-23 08:55 AM #13
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11-13-23 10:00 AM #14
I’m on broncos +7.5. Tough place to play though. I thought this line would be between 8-10. Likely many teasers w Buffalo -1 for tonight. This will be an unpopular opinion but I genuinely prefer Russell Wilson IF he is on his A game over Josh Allen
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11-13-23 10:01 AM #15
No opinion on this game from a math angle. Not going to post model #s. I've been laying eggs last few weeks with my picks. Line reminds me of how on earth did Atlanta loose yesterday when they should have rolled.?
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11-13-23 10:19 AM #16
No opinion on the spread. My teaser went south. Respect your football opinions but even though the Buf defense is banged up, I can't see any way that Wilson outplays Allen. When Allen is on his game, no one outplays him and Den has the worst passer rating against in the league 106.3. The last 3 games are really good at an average of 80.9 but on the road it's 131.5. Last year it was really good at 83.1 so who knows what happens but I'm thinking big game out of Allen. Originally Posted by trobin31
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11-13-23 10:38 AM #17
*Think the QB change made an impact there. Originally Posted by veriableodds
Tune < Dobbs < Murray. Not that Murray is great, but he's more talented than what they've had at that position.
Also, IMHO teams from the NFC South carry a low Strength of Schedule. So many subpar opponents.
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11-13-23 10:49 AM #18
Getting 7 points on the line is tempting with the Bronco's. They've stayed close in most games this year.
Bronx D has been getting better in recent games. They are on a 2 game winning streak also. You'd think they would be going into this game with confidence anyways.
I think I'll try Denver and the points. Why not?
https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/denver-...s-20231113002/
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11-13-23 10:51 AM #19
I changed my mind after capping this game. Originally Posted by JIBBBY
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11-13-23 11:43 AM #20
Trusting Wilson over Allen for me is really not data driven. It’s more of a which guy is less likely to crap in his pants in a tough situation. For my money Wilson has shown ability to block things out and play better under pressure. I can’t really say the same thing for Allen. I would take other middling QBs like Eli Manning or BDN Foles in a big game over Allen too Originally Posted by raiders72001
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11-13-23 02:23 PM #21
Looks like they get lucky on the wind. I've been watching all week. Still really windy but should calm down game time. Originally Posted by trobin31
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11-13-23 04:49 PM #22
Why does The Bufaloed Bills always get to play these prime time games at home. i'm sure they don't but it sure seems that way.
I got Russell (Capt'n Lucky) Wilson running over the 21.5 yards. The bufaloed rush is strong so Capt'n Lucky will be running around a little bit or atleast for 22 yards as far as I'm concerned.
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11-13-23 06:57 PM #23
Game time let's go Broncos!
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11-13-23 07:21 PM #24
What a dreadful series for Denver after the turnover. Three runs, wow. Attack.
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11-13-23 07:38 PM #25
Do you regret changing your mind yet? Originally Posted by JIBBBY
Game time let's go Broncos!
Awww, they overturned the Buffalo TD.
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11-13-23 07:41 PM #26
Josh Allen - Brian Daboll = Daniel Jones.
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11-13-23 07:42 PM #27
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11-13-23 07:47 PM #28
Rocking chair under. Originally Posted by sjm5122
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11-13-23 07:55 PM #29
Might be, Peyton clearly pounding the run game to shorten the possessions. Originally Posted by stevenash
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11-13-23 07:58 PM #30
Another compelling Broncos game.
Denver makes this years Patriots look like the 1999 Greatest Show on Turf Rams.
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11-13-23 08:11 PM #31
Is Allen carrying an injury? Originally Posted by stevenash
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11-13-23 08:12 PM #32
No, which makes it even more hilarious. Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat
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11-13-23 08:14 PM #33
Remember the old Josh Allen text messages? LOL. Originally Posted by stevenash
Maybe the Bill players are going on cocaine binges during the week. In pre-season, I never would have thought the Bills might miss the playoffs.
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11-13-23 08:19 PM #34
Nice kick shank-a-saurus.
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11-13-23 08:21 PM #35
LOL, that TD was unreal. I can't believe Sutton caught that pass and kept his feet in. Originally Posted by stevenash
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