1. #1
    trobin31
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    Which Big Favorite Loses Outright In NFL?

    I vote Browns Eagles Dolphins in that order

  2. #2
    pavyracer
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    Browns are not a favorite.

  3. #3
    Eddy Munny
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    I also think Browns lose outright. I'm not afraid to call my shot.

  4. #4
    lakerboy
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    Giants. They are the biggest favourite

  5. #5
    asiagambler
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    Wow Giants OL against that Buffalo DL

    How many sacks ?

  6. #6
    JIBBBY
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    Not KC tonight

  7. #7
    stevex
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    I can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.

  8. #8
    asiagambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevex View Post
    I can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.
    Have you seen the Giants OL ?

    They are in complete shambles

  9. #9
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by asiagambler View Post
    Wow Giants OL against that Buffalo DL

    How many sacks ?
    Ten.
    And I'm the biggest G-Man homer on the boards.

    I like Tyrod Taylor, but I can see him going down too, and I don't wish injury on anybody.
    Giants QB's should be getting combat pay.

  10. #10
    asiagambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Ten.
    And I'm the biggest G-Man homer on the boards.

    I like Tyrod Taylor, but I can see him going down too, and I don't wish injury on anybody.
    Giants QB's should be getting combat pay.
    They get a little break because Buffalo got some injuries too. DaQuan Jones put on IR. Rousseau hurt and limited in practice. But Von Miller is also back

    If they could get Barkley back it would be huge since Buffalo gives up lots of rushing yards

    But do you know if Justin Pugh is on track to play ?

    He could actually make a difference here because they really need a veteran presence on that line. So many plays I see them completely out of sync, one guy blocking nobody (usually Neal), other guys whiffing on their assignments, half the guys running one play while half do something else. They are a complete trainwreck right now without Thomas

  11. #11
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by asiagambler View Post
    They get a little break because Buffalo got some injuries too. DaQuan Jones put on IR. Rousseau hurt and limited in practice. But Von Miller is also back

    If they could get Barkley back it would be huge since Buffalo gives up lots of rushing yards

    But do you know if Justin Pugh is on track to play ?

    He could actually make a difference here because they really need a veteran presence on that line. So many plays I see them completely out of sync, one guy blocking nobody (usually Neal), other guys whiffing on their assignments, half the guys running one play while half do something else. They are a complete trainwreck right now without Thomas
    I know Pugh's been practicing this week, I'm going to presume he'll see snaps.
    Bark was limited in practice today but insiders say don't expect to see him Sunday night.
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  12. #12
    trobin31
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    Of course I meant to say Niners lose outright

  13. #13
    hehfest
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    Just wait JV will tell ya so

  14. #14
    JIBBBY
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    Dodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.

  15. #15
    Enkhbat
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    Eagles most likely to lose, almost lost at home to the commanders.

  16. #16
    Aunty808
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    Has anyone here ever used the website called SurvivorGrid? Google it.

    Here's how I use it to help me figure out who's gonna get upset.
    First, I use my contest Pick percentages and find the Road Favorites with a pick % of 90% or higher and on the other end, find the Road Dogs with a pick % of 9% or lower.
    Then I go to survivorgrid and see who everyone's picking in the ESPN, Yahoo and the OfficeFootballPool survivor pools.


    I like to click on the P% column to find the top picks 5 on the GRID page. This week it's Buffalo, Miami, LAR, KC (W) and Phil. It's rare that all five win. KC already won on the TNF game. Armed with that info, at the top of the page, I click the KNOCKOUT page. This is where they list all the Top Upsets by Win%, and Top Upsets by Pick% . Also listed there are the Teams Responsible for Eliminations.


    Elimination Pick Distribution shows the percentage of eliminations on the season where each team was the pick.

    My favorite is the Elimination OPPONENT Distribution which shows how often a team was an opponent who defeated a picked team.




    My guess would be LAR playing Arizona. Why? Because......


    1. Arizona is a Road Dog with a Pick % of 6. The game falls into my RED FLAG catagory.
    2. At survivorgrid, check the Elimination OPPONENT Distribution. They (Ariz) are in second place with a 10.9% KNOCKOUT rate.
    3. Who is Arizona's OPPONENT this week? The LA RAMS
    4. Check the GRID. LAR is listed in my TOP 5 in the P% (#3-16.1%)and W%(#5-73%).
    Now I go back to the Top Upsets by P% and W% on the KNOCKOUT page.. Top Upsets by P% falls between 21.1% and 2.6%. Top Upsets by W% fall between 82% and 65,2%.
    Check out LAR's numbers (P% 16.1%)(W% 73%) and look who's their OPPONENT......Arizona, who's knocked out 10.9% of survivor players, who picked opponents they played against so far this season.


    So sorry so long, but it's so easy to figure out once you get the hang of it.
    So, my best guess would be ARIZONA upsetting the LA Rams-7.


    but what do I know...........best of luck with all your bets!!
    Nomination(s):
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  17. #17
    teecee
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Dodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.
    NFL expansion teams?

  18. #18
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by teecee View Post
    NFL expansion teams?
    Anything goes now.. LOL..

  19. #19
    stevex
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Dodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.
    I didn’t know they are in the NFL?

  20. #20
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevex View Post
    I can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.
    Any chance Taylor is an UPGRADE over Danny Dimes?

  21. #21
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevex View Post
    I didn’t know they are in the NFL?
    They are, ever heard of Bo Jackson and Michael Jordan? Cross over sports is the shits now, every athlete is doing it. ; )

  22. #22
    OldBill
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    so 1 stupid fawwwking question what is a big favorite like - 6 - -10

  23. #23
    trobin31
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    Quote Originally Posted by OldBill View Post
    so 1 stupid fawwwking question what is a big favorite like - 6 - -10
    I would say a TD or greater

  24. #24
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    I vote Browns Eagles Dolphins in that order
    Browns as the most likely for upset!?


  25. #25
    JIBBBY
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    Going with the Seahawks as an outright dog winner.

  26. #26
    bjb7223
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    Browns as the most likely for upset!?

    he meant the 9ers

  27. #27
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjb7223 View Post
    he meant the 9ers
    Yeah, I knew what he meant. Guess I worded it wrong. He thinks Browns is the most likely to pull the upset. It’s still gets my same reaction. 😂😂😂

  28. #28
    Eddy Munny
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    Yeah, I knew what he meant. Guess I worded it wrong. He thinks Browns is the most likely to pull the upset. It’s still gets my same reaction. 
    I hope he's right... I have Browns Over 9.5 wins.

    Dolphins down 14-0 right now.

  29. #29
    bjb7223
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    I hope he's right... I have Browns Over 9.5 wins.

    Dolphins down 14-0 right now.
    14-7

  30. #30
    OldBill
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    and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14

  31. #31
    Str8Mush4Life
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    Quote Originally Posted by OldBill View Post
    and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
    That's the answer alright!!! Halfway through the 2nd quarter, definitely a wrap at this point!! And the QB wears #1, Miami going nowhere omggggg fawwwwkk
    Last edited by Str8Mush4Life; 10-15-23 at 01:07 PM. Reason: speeeling

  32. #32
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by OldBill View Post
    and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
    Already winning.
    -250 even when down 14-0.
    Probably still cover.

  33. #33
    Eddy Munny
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    Quote Originally Posted by OldBill View Post
    and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
    Lol, calling the game in the first quarter because Miami is down two scores to the Panthers. You're good.

  34. #34
    OldBill
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    and all of a sudden the panthers get bam pow boom kapow losing 28- 14 wtf did they do hand the ball off to miami defense or just sat on 14 points lead 4 unanswered td's

  35. #35
    bjb7223
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    There you have it

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