1. #1
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Packers - 12

    If this line doesn't hit, all of us need to stop gambling forever


    Packers are coming off a bye week, Rodgers is always extremely motivated against the bears (as are the packers as a team) and he absolutely owns that team


    If this is not a 21-30 point blowout, there's no point to bet on sports ever again

  2. #2
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,777
    Betpoints: 21725

    This has all the makings of a legendary thread.

  3. #3
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    I cannot give all those points NFL games

    Very few blowouts anymore

  4. #4
    JacketFan81
    GO GEORGIA TECH!
    JacketFan81's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-28-17
    Posts: 1,747
    Betpoints: 3920

    This is just so bad in so many ways

  5. #5
    BeatTheJerk
    BeatTheJerk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-07
    Posts: 31,798
    Betpoints: 84

    Very square bet might fade.

  6. #6
    johnnyvegas13
    johnnyvegas13's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-21-15
    Posts: 26,204
    Betpoints: 226

    Quote Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post
    Very square bet might fade.
    Ya this is a fade thread

  7. #7
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Quote Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post
    Very square bet might fade.
    The problem with big favorites is many of them are not motivated so they lay a dud and end up winning by 6 points


    This match up... the packers and Roger's are always super motivated against the bears

  8. #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Grecks you love chalk

  9. #9
    JacketFan81
    GO GEORGIA TECH!
    JacketFan81's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-28-17
    Posts: 1,747
    Betpoints: 3920

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    The problem with big favorites is many of them are not motivated so they lay a dud and end up winning by 6 points


    This match up... the packers and Roger's are always super motivated against the bears
    I'll be considering this in-depth analysis as the Packers kick the game-winning field goal with 17 seconds left.

  10. #10
    BeatTheJerk
    BeatTheJerk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-07
    Posts: 31,798
    Betpoints: 84

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    The problem with big favorites is many of them are not motivated so they lay a dud and end up winning by 6 points


    This match up... the packers and Roger's are always super motivated against the bears
    Point taken

  11. #11
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Grecks you love chalk
    This is a rare big chalk where the favorite is going to be supremely motivated to win big

    Rodgers wants to beat these guys by 30

  12. #12
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,643
    Betpoints: 10421

    Didn’t Rodgers just talk smack last game? Like “I own you”

    Bears might have a little something extra for Mr Rodgers

  13. #13
    thomorino
    thomorino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-17
    Posts: 45,842

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    If this line doesn't hit, all of us need to stop gambling forever


    Packers are coming off a bye week, Rodgers is always extremely motivated against the bears (as are the packers as a team) and he absolutely owns that team


    If this is not a 21-30 point blowout, there's no point to bet on sports ever again
    Teams coming off of byes ar often not sharp. I would never lay double digits with a team that hasn't played in 2 weeks against a rival. Bears are healthy now too, Robinson will be back.

  14. #14
    thomorino
    thomorino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-17
    Posts: 45,842

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    Didn’t Rodgers just talk smack last game? Like “I own you”

    Bears might have a little something extra for Mr Rodgers
    Yeah I would only look at the Bears, Green Bay hasn't played in 2 weeks.

  15. #15
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,643
    Betpoints: 10421

    Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything

  16. #16
    JacketFan81
    GO GEORGIA TECH!
    JacketFan81's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-28-17
    Posts: 1,747
    Betpoints: 3920

    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Teams coming off of byes ar often not sharp. I would never lay double digits with a team that hasn't played in 2 weeks against a rival. Bears are healthy now too, Robinson will be back.
    I changed my mind. I'm with you Grecu. Pack -12 it is.

  17. #17
    thomorino
    thomorino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-17
    Posts: 45,842

    Quote Originally Posted by JacketFan81 View Post
    I changed my mind. I'm with you Grecu. Pack -12 it is.
    Im up over 60 units on NFL sides, you are a dumb shit.

  18. #18
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything
    Stout defense?

    Bears pass rush has not been nearly as good since khalil mack is gone, the run defense is just avg and the secondary is terrible

    The bears defense plays well when the front 7 dominates. If they don't get pressure, they're very beatable. The secondary is bottom 5 in the league

    Also the bears offense is absolutely terrible

  19. #19
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything
    I agree 100% on mental focus

    But the packers and Rogers are always extremely focused and motivated on the bears games

  20. #20
    thomorino
    thomorino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-17
    Posts: 45,842

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    I agree 100% on mental focus

    But the packers and Rogers are always extremely focused and motivated on the bears games
    Teams coming off byes are not usually focused if they don't respect th competition and the Bears are a 4 win team. I don't see th Packers being sharp here. Bears are healthy on offense for the first time Ina while too

  21. #21
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,777
    Betpoints: 21725

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    Stout defense?

    Bears pass rush has not been nearly as good since khalil mack is gone, the run defense is just avg and the secondary is terrible

    The bears defense plays well when the front 7 dominates. If they don't get pressure, they're very beatable. The secondary is bottom 5 in the league

    Also the bears offense is absolutely terrible
    FWIW it looks like Aikeem Hicks is coming back.

    Be interesting to see how Fields looks after being off a few weeks.

  22. #22
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    DO NOT Forget that frozen tundra no longer exist the field is Heated i agrre teams rested as DD favs are bad bets i'm taking Bears

    funny thing both teams are 2-1 in div bears only won 4 games we have had huge upsets a 10 point rodad dog hammers DIV rival leader Titans texans +10

    Packers win but that back door is wide open for mr moose

  23. #23
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything
    J LOVE is OUT

  24. #24
    Eddy Munny
    Eddy Munny's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 14,626
    Betpoints: 24975

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    This is a rare big chalk where the favorite is going to be supremely motivated to win big

    Rodgers wants to beat these guys by 30
    Um... why?

    Where is this supreme motivation coming from?

    Why does Rodgers want to win by 30? Did Matt Nagy steal one of his lawn ornaments?

    Any substance to these statements or are you just trying to talk yourself into a bet?

    They practically have the division wrapped up. Packers would be happy with a win and onto the next one.

  25. #25
    JayDr3am
    Handi
    JayDr3am's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-14
    Posts: 18,259
    Betpoints: 8206

    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    Um... why?

    Where is this supreme motivation coming from?

    Why does Rodgers want to win by 30? Did Matt Nagy steal one of his lawn ornaments?

    Any substance to these statements or are you just trying to talk yourself into a bet?

    They practically have the division wrapped up. Packers would be happy with a win and onto the next one.
    edward is speaking facts here. shrugs shoulders

  26. #26
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    Um... why?

    Where is this supreme motivation coming from?

    Why does Rodgers want to win by 30? Did Matt Nagy steal one of his lawn ornaments?

    Any substance to these statements or are you just trying to talk yourself into a bet?

    They practically have the division wrapped up. Packers would be happy with a win and onto the next one.
    You don't understand bears packers

    Rogers is like 21-7 ATS vs the bears. He wants to dominate these games

  27. #27
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,566
    Betpoints: 6933

    potentially his last game vs bears in packers uniform?

    tough number to lay knowing how NFL defenses act in 4th quarters when they are only up 14-17

  28. #28
    Eddy Munny
    Eddy Munny's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 14,626
    Betpoints: 24975

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    You don't understand bears packers

    Rogers is like 21-7 ATS vs the bears. He wants to dominate these games
    You said it was a "rare big chalk play where the favorite is going to be supremely motivated to win big" but the reality is that it's just another big chalk play that may or may not cash, nothing particularly screams Packers here from a motivational standpoint.

    Sure, Green Bay has been good against these guys but that's because the Bears have been a shit show for a long time now. The Pack have been good ATS against the Lions for the same reason. The double digit line reflects this though, it's baked in.

  29. #29
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,777
    Betpoints: 21725

    Line is -10.5 at Heritage.

  30. #30
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1944

    Justin Fields is starting and he's a NFL bust. Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback in the league. Packers are going to put on a clinic out of the bye week. The public wins this game.

  31. #31
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Akeim hicks is out. Packers should be able to run for 150 yards and Roger's can get whatever he wants. This is 38-14 kind of game

  32. #32
    JacketFan81
    GO GEORGIA TECH!
    JacketFan81's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-28-17
    Posts: 1,747
    Betpoints: 3920

    What time does Aaron Rodgers start turning the motivation on?

  33. #33
    Str8Mush4Life
    Str8Mush4Life's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-13
    Posts: 988
    Betpoints: 6145

    I have my bankroll on what I thought should be an easy ML bet

  34. #34
    Str8Mush4Life
    Str8Mush4Life's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-13
    Posts: 988
    Betpoints: 6145

    As I type this Bears go up 10-0

  35. #35
    Demonata
    Demonata's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-12-11
    Posts: 25,800
    Betpoints: 5433

    Damn I thought packers had a chance to win Today.

123 Last
Top