1. 10-08-21 04:51 AM #1
    usma1992
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    My projected finals vs actuals....

    3 Games...
    Rams..
    30-17. actual 26-17
    Coastal
    53-20 actual 52-20
    Houston
    40-22 actual 40-21...

    I don't care what metric you use. I didn't just predict the games correctly. I was within 6 total points of predicting the EXACT scores of 3 games... Booyah!!!

    Btw .protected scores were posted prior to any games beginning.

    Dave

    It was my birthday yesterday. Is it birthday luck, lol.
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  2. 10-08-21 04:57 AM #2
    Darkside Magick
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    Excellent 3 game metric.... Keep a Z-Score record... If Z-Score hit 2 and/or over then you have a winning system

    Good Luck
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  3. 10-08-21 06:37 AM #3
    usma1992
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    Dark.. zscore of 2 lol... really... z score of .5 gives me a winning system... without looking it up... z score of 2 is about 93%...

    You think that is where I need to be lol...

    Your right it is a small sample size... but yowsa... is it impressive... instead of touting z score of 2...

    What is the probability that I hit all those games perfect?

    Last night was insane
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  4. 10-08-21 06:50 AM #4
    Darkside Magick
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    Z score basically shows if the plays are random or not.. Z score of 2 is two distribution from the mean.. You really need a minimum of 2000 plays to effectively know if your system is good


    Good Luck
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  5. 10-08-21 07:05 AM #5
    usma1992
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    I know what a z score is... lol. And it doesn't need to be 2... to make money.

    Enjoy

    Your not even a little impressed... lol

    It's all good.
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  6. 10-08-21 07:11 AM #6
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    I am impressed!!
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  7. 10-08-21 07:11 AM #7
    Darkside Magick
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    Not really.. All these Classical ​Computer System regress back to a 51%-52% range
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  8. 10-08-21 07:15 AM #8
    TheGoldenGoose
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    Nicely done sir
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  9. 10-08-21 07:34 AM #9
    usma1992
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    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iwy...w?usp=drivesdk
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  10. 10-08-21 07:34 AM #10
    stevenash
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    a) Mighty fine fancy predicting there.
    Well done.

    b) Happy Birthday


    As a son of a 30 year Navy military engineer I thank you for your service.
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  11. 10-08-21 07:36 AM #11
    magpie878
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    Very nice... I hope you backed up your insight and made some good $.
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  12. 10-08-21 07:37 AM #12
    usma1992
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    Dark...

    Tough crowd... lol. Well, I'll stay my course I hit 57% last week plus some ML. So app. 60%. NCAAF.

    Everything is documented so at least you know I'm not lieing.

    Dave
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  13. 10-08-21 07:38 AM #13
    usma1992
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    I made $20 lol. Which is basically my school teacher salary... lol
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  14. 10-08-21 07:45 AM #14
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by usma1992 View Post
    I made $20 lol. Which is basically my school teacher salary... lol
    Does that salary include combat pay?
    Talk about rough jobs, I don't know how you do it?
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  15. 10-08-21 08:01 AM #15
    usma1992
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    We had shooting threat last week. I assume dad was a SeaBee. John Wayne movie.
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  16. 10-08-21 08:07 AM #16
    hubie69
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  17. 10-08-21 08:21 AM #17
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by usma1992 View Post
    We had shooting threat last week. I assume dad was a SeaBee. John Wayne movie.
    Dad was chief engineer at the Military Ocean Terminal Base (MOTB) in NJ.
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  18. 10-08-21 09:13 AM #18
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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  19. 10-08-21 09:21 AM #19
    jjgold
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    This stuff is all fun but as soon as you start betting serious money things don’t work out
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  20. 10-08-21 09:32 AM #20
    hubie69
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    This stuff is all fun but as soon as you start betting serious money things don’t work out
    Settle down baldy.
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  21. 10-08-21 09:36 AM #21
    usma1992
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    I've been there. But the whole point of my program is to detach urself from your money.

    Like a personal trainer or financial advisor.

    Let's see how it does through the weekend. I am by no means claiming victory.

    But still... those score predictions are insane.
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  22. 10-09-21 08:22 AM #22
    usma1992
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    Stanford Game ...

    Projected
    12-29
    Actual
    10-28

    6-1
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  23. 10-09-21 08:28 AM #23
    BeatTheJerk
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    Quote Originally Posted by usma1992 View Post
    Stanford Game ...

    Projected
    12-29
    Actual
    10-28

    6-1
    Incredible start to the model this week. Let’s keep it going pal
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  24. 10-09-21 08:30 AM #24
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Looking for to seeing Saturday’s projections talked about Sunday
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  25. 10-09-21 08:44 AM #25
    usma1992
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    Here is what I find remarkable.

    Stanford averages 29.0 pts
    Arizona St averages 34.4 points

    My system projected a 12-29 game

    The actual was 10-28.

    Way lower than their averages.

    Dave

    Knuckle--- the projected scores already happened. The games have been played.
    So far
    6-1

    I'm just having fun... but yowsa am I close.
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  26. 10-09-21 08:47 AM #26
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnuckleHeadz View Post
    Looking for to seeing Saturday’s projections talked about Sunday
    Dude he has a app it's real..its pretty good
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  27. 10-09-21 08:47 AM #27
    chico2663
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    Join the pick 6 contest. Gl
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  28. 10-09-21 08:49 AM #28
    chico2663
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    Dude he has a app it's real..its pretty good
    You know this how? If you are his friend is he in the pick 6 contest? Not giving you shit but just wondering.
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  29. 10-09-21 08:51 AM #29
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    He posted the link in his original post..I paid attention and down loaded it
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  30. 10-09-21 09:20 AM #30
    Lineman
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    Great stuff!!!

    Is anyone else having issues seeing it right?







    That's what I see and can't move or zoom out or anything else......
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  31. 10-09-21 09:29 AM #31
    chico2663
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    He posted the link in his original post..I paid attention and down loaded it
    Ok sorry
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  32. 10-09-21 09:30 AM #32
    usma1992
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    Change your screen setting... font size... happened to buddy of mine.

    How did u post pict.
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  33. 10-09-21 09:57 AM #33
    Lineman
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    Thank you usma keep up the good work!
    Here is the link for post pict.
    Last edited by Lineman; 10-09-21 at 10:06 AM.
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  34. 10-09-21 12:10 PM #34
    Lineman
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    usma maybe you've found the sweet spot, just 4 or 5 games of data.....
    Something to keep an eye on!
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  35. 10-09-21 12:24 PM #35
    svsooner
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    I spent 6 years US Navy. Submarines
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    A Bubblehead! I was an Avionics Tech in the Navy before I got my commission in the Air Force...
    Thanks for your service brother.
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