1. #1
    Snowball
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    Bucs Week 1 steam is heavy, and it's still August...

    Geez, I have been putting them in forward parlays for weeks but now I'm wondering if I should stop.

    Public seems a little google-eyed here at -8 /-400 ?

  2. #2
    SamsNCharge99
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    how bout them cowboys

  3. #3
    Eddy Munny
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    Fade the champs.

  4. #4
    pavyracer
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    The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their own practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
    Points Awarded:

    Snowball gave pavyracer 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  5. #5
    Booya711
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their one practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
    What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: beerman2619

  6. #6
    Snowball
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    I don't think I will add any more. Suppose it can go to -440 by game time but anything beyond that I'm hedging.
    Started buying around -300 or -330, can't recall which.

  7. #7
    lakerboy
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    Pinnacle not even board

  8. #8
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
    I think the OP is using them as ML parlays so I responded to that part. I don't know what the ATS is but 5 of the losses were double digits.

  9. #9
    johnnyvegas13
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    It is -400 now

    i kinda like cowboys 1h

  10. #10
    SamsNCharge99
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their own practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
    the return of Dak

  11. #11
    str
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
    2-6 ATS on the road.

  12. #12
    jjgold
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    Always fade public teams nfl

  13. #13
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Always fade public teams nfl

    proven does not work

    be thou neither sharp nor square
    so the quothy shakespeare penneth'd

  14. #14
    Eddy Munny
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    proven does not work

    be thou neither sharp nor square
    so the quothy shakespeare penneth'd
    I wouldn't blindly do anything, and that includes fading the public, but the Bucs price tag is a bit steep. What if the Cowboys hadn't had all those injuries on the offensive line last year and Dak had stayed healthy as well? What if the Saints hadn't let the Bucs off the hook in the divisional round of the playoffs? The entire narrative entering this game would be completely different.

    I know those are hypotheticals but it's a fine line when you try to cut through the noise and assess teams as objectively as possible. Giving a team as talented as Dallas (at least on the offensive side of the ball) over a touchdown on opening night isn't my idea of a layup.

  15. #15
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Brady 5-0 lifetime against Dallas.
    Last edited by KiDBaZkiT; 08-28-21 at 03:15 AM.

  16. #16
    Eddy Munny
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Brady 0-5 lifetime against Dallas.
    Switch those numbers around and you'll have an accurate statement.

  17. #17
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    Switch those numbers around and you'll have an accurate statement.
    They were supposed to be.

  18. #18
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Brady 5-0 lifetime against Dallas.
    Source? The alternate universe?

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    No layups

  20. #20
    Snowball
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    Guys just try to imagine the Cowboys going into Tampa to start NFL season and beating the SB champs outright.
    It's not going to happen. The line should be -2000.

  21. #21
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    No layups
    I got a couple layups for ya coach. Do you want their phone numbers? Def recommend wearing a glove though.

  22. #22
    ChiLLx
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    In on the -6.5 Bucs line but not touching this anymore

  23. #23
    johnnyvegas13
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    Bucs gonna b my first play of reg season

  24. #24
    Snowball
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    It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.

    seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?

    no freaking way.

  25. #25
    carolinakid
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    the cowboys are going nowhere again this yr.it more of the same old same with this team, a bad coach, a bad owner and a average qb

  26. #26
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.

    seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?

    no freaking way.
    They might hang around for a half

    but eventually bucs pull away

    I will say 28-17 bucs

  27. #27
    ToneKapone13
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    Also I dont know the numbers but the previous superbowl champs home opener ATS covers hugely if I remember correctly. Just food for thought.

  28. #28
    d2bets
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    It'll probably keep going higher. My guess is closes around -9.

  29. #29
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    It'll probably keep going higher. My guess is closes around -9.
    This is wat I said

    i cannot wait for this gm and then this weekend

  30. #30
    lonegambler23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.

    seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?

    no freaking way.
    and how many times have people said that for an nfl game, yet how about any game? if i were the books id be laughing at you laying -400

  31. #31
    johnnyvegas13
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    I am seeing 8.5 now

  32. #32
    Snowball
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    Not just this game but in general this season in NFL and the other major American sports, we're going to see juice on the favorites like never before in history. They are talking about 40 million Americans betting on NFL. Most of these people have never made a bet on sports in their lives.

    It's like the new pot users. These previously shunned and illegal activities are now mainstream.
    I suppose prostitution is next, there will be an app for it.

    If you like a favorite you have to hop on early. There are also going to be a lot of arb opps to sell back.

  33. #33
    Snowball
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    -420 at Hill. Bet Online -9.5


  34. #34
    johnnyvegas13
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    Yup we r closing at 9 here

  35. #35
    Snowball
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    -430 at public books in New England now
    everyone betting on Brady

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