LolOriginally Posted by nyplayer33
Ok
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09-21-20 04:18 PM #36
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09-21-20 04:19 PM #37
Brees far from done
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09-21-20 04:22 PM #38
Welcome back bro! Originally Posted by firedawg
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09-21-20 04:23 PM #39
Ty sir Originally Posted by pimike
Hope all is well
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09-21-20 04:28 PM #40
Line and ml have dropped but hasn't really crossed any main numbers. I don't really care about missing 5.5 or 5, but I'd really like 4.5 instead of 4 if i'm taking the Raiders.
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09-21-20 04:31 PM #41
Saints in a laugher...
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09-21-20 04:38 PM #42
Last week, they played against Carolina, which doesn’t have rushing defence and committed multiple pass interference penalties. This week, Saints defence is much stronger and will force turnovers against Carr. Therefore, line movement is very surprising. Originally Posted by thomorino
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09-21-20 04:46 PM #43
My raw, stacking percentages, forecast shows New Orleans beating Las Vegas 27-23. Originally Posted by CanuckG
what's going on? No new news out
The assessment I have from the this morning is that this line drop likely has a little more to do with the moneyline than the spread exposure.
Moneyline bettors are emboldened after yesterday as their favorites won the moneyline big time. They might be using some of that inflated pockets to try and get smart with bigger upset bets. There is a "due factor" brewing in the markets as well, ticking up a notch after last night's game. The books had to limit some of that payout exposure as well as attract NO moneyline bets.
It's my assessment that the lopsided moneyline position is getting corrected, that we should see more and more money coming in on the Saints moneyline and with the spread consideration like it is, we could very well see a jump to 4.5.
The initial drop made me think it must be a New Orleans cover but truthfully the possibility of the upset is more than real and the books had to do something about it.
Good Luck whatever you bet.
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09-21-20 04:48 PM #44
very bad for books if Saints win and cover
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09-21-20 04:53 PM #45
Even worse if they win by 4-6 Originally Posted by jjgold
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09-21-20 05:22 PM #46
You are a total and complete dumb shit, arguing that a late one point line move is predicative of the final result of the game is absolute and total dumb shit. Originally Posted by KVB
My raw, stacking percentages, forecast shows New Orleans beating Las Vegas 27-23.
The assessment I have from the this morning is that this line drop likely has a little more to do with the moneyline than the spread exposure.
Moneyline bettors are emboldened after yesterday as their favorites won the moneyline big time. They might be using some of that inflated pockets to try and get smart with bigger upset bets. There is a "due factor" brewing in the markets as well, ticking up a notch after last night's game. The books had to limit some of that payout exposure as well as attract NO moneyline bets.
It's my assessment that the lopsided moneyline position is getting corrected, that we should see more and more money coming in on the Saints moneyline and with the spread consideration like it is, we could very well see a jump to 4.5.
The initial drop made me think it must be a New Orleans cover but truthfully the possibility of the upset is more than real and the books had to do something about it.
Good Luck whatever you bet.
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09-21-20 05:28 PM #47
Morono my post went so far over your head you didn't even know how to respond as I didn't "argue" anything or make a prediction.
Big boys are talking kid, say something of substance for once.
Points Awarded:
lakerboy gave KVB 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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09-21-20 05:31 PM #48
This could be a Gold trick here. Tread carefully. He's a nice enough dad, but in the end, it's his job to limit y'all's winning Originally Posted by jjgold
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09-21-20 05:31 PM #49
Saints got this.. I'm going Saints ML in this one.. I think it's a solid bet even with the chalk..
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09-21-20 05:42 PM #50
I am rooting for the books tonight, guys will lose their jobs if Saints cover
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09-21-20 05:52 PM #51
You are a lightweight who is as dumb as they come. Only a co pledge dumb shit like you would talk about models after 1 week. Keep hiding in the sub forums coward. Originally Posted by KVB
Morono my post went so far over your head you didn't even know how to respond as I didn't "argue" anything or make a prediction.
Big boys are talking kid, say something of substance for once.
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09-21-20 06:02 PM #52
Yeah co pledge
Points Awarded:
pablo222 gave gauchojake 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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09-21-20 06:03 PM #53
Morono this is a legitmate thread you, and your ignorance, are not welcome here.
Take your fighting and ignorance elsewhere.
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09-21-20 06:06 PM #54
Go back to hiding in the sub forums dumb shit. Originally Posted by KVB
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09-21-20 06:07 PM #55
I'll take the ez +170 dog ty. saints on their superbowl beating Brady last week
morino why you love talking soo much trash?
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09-21-20 06:15 PM #56
What’s your play Biggie ? Thanks
Originally Posted by biggie12
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09-21-20 06:17 PM #57
I like it Biggie, it's the right read. Originally Posted by biggie12
Morono got serious attention seeking mental problems. Trash he talks isn't even legit.
Good Luck tonight. I'm starting a charity point push, Raider's gonna kick it off with a win tonight...lol.
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09-21-20 06:20 PM #58
did you read my post lol. Originally Posted by bill10
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09-21-20 06:20 PM #59
KVB obsession with Morino is disturbing
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09-21-20 06:21 PM #60
he never starts w me. I just don't understand the wasted time and energy some of these ppl waste on here its pure nonsense Originally Posted by KVB
I like it Biggie, it's the right read.
Morono got serious attention seeking mental problems. Trash he talks isn't even legit.
Good Luck tonight. I'm starting a charity point push, Raider's gonna kick it off with a win tonight...lol.
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09-21-20 06:22 PM #61
Helter skelter line movement on this one.
At one time NO was -6.5 at Pinny.
I'm goin with the square bet (NO - 4) as sometimes (even often) the so-called "smart money" doesn't come in.
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09-21-20 06:22 PM #62
nfl gonna get raiders into the playoffs so be wary
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09-21-20 06:29 PM #63
Originally Posted by KVB
My raw, stacking percentages, forecast shows New Orleans beating Las Vegas 27-23.
The assessment I have from the this morning is that this line drop likely has a little more to do with the moneyline than the spread exposure.
Moneyline bettors are emboldened after yesterday as their favorites won the moneyline big time. They might be using some of that inflated pockets to try and get smart with bigger upset bets. There is a "due factor" brewing in the markets as well, ticking up a notch after last night's game. The books had to limit some of that payout exposure as well as attract NO moneyline bets.
It's my assessment that the lopsided moneyline position is getting corrected, that we should see more and more money coming in on the Saints moneyline and with the spread consideration like it is, we could very well see a jump to 4.5.
The initial drop made me think it must be a New Orleans cover but truthfully the possibility of the upset is more than real and the books had to do something about it.
Good Luck whatever you bet.
Hey really good write-up. Enjoyed the read.
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09-21-20 06:30 PM #64
Not that I care this guy stalks me in everyone of my threads. Originally Posted by biggie12
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09-21-20 06:31 PM #65
Looks like this coward is projecting again. Originally Posted by KVB
I like it Biggie, it's the right read.
Morono got serious attention seeking mental problems. Trash he talks isn't even legit.
Good Luck tonight. I'm starting a charity point push, Raider's gonna kick it off with a win tonight...lol.
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09-21-20 06:31 PM #66
You are a parasite. Originally Posted by KVB
I like it Biggie, it's the right read.
Morono got serious attention seeking mental problems. Trash he talks isn't even legit.
Good Luck tonight. I'm starting a charity point push, Raider's gonna kick it off with a win tonight...lol.
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09-21-20 06:32 PM #67
Thought that a few days ago myself. Strange world. Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron
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09-21-20 06:43 PM #68
Probably going to expand my market analysis in the Forum, you'll probably like it. Originally Posted by hehfest
Here's some other analysis from MLB, and I do the same for NCAAF and NBA market tracking as well. It's tracking the market, not just "my plays" and I'll probably expand that as well in the Forum.
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post29723440
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post29723469
You're a good fukker Uncle Fester and if you ever have a question on a game or line let me know.
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09-21-20 07:15 PM #69
I'm on Raiders +3.5 1st half. Gruden's playcalling will work early and maybe run out of gas in the 2H, but I'll be gone.
Pressure on Derek Carr to keep the ball and let plays develop. 22-30 for 239 1 td last week. He's not that bad and Brees is not that young
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09-21-20 07:40 PM #70
I’ll explain to you why the line dropped dumb shit, even though I don’t care. The books in Vegas got a lot of late money on the raiders since the raiders have a big fan base and even with the pandemic a lot of raider fans wanted to be in Vegas for the opener. The way lines work today, when one well respected book moves a line so does everyone else most of the time, since they all look at the same boards. They line move did not mean shit,not that I care about line movements anyways. Originally Posted by KVB
My raw, stacking percentages, forecast shows New Orleans beating Las Vegas 27-23.
The assessment I have from the this morning is that this line drop likely has a little more to do with the moneyline than the spread exposure.
Moneyline bettors are emboldened after yesterday as their favorites won the moneyline big time. They might be using some of that inflated pockets to try and get smart with bigger upset bets. There is a "due factor" brewing in the markets as well, ticking up a notch after last night's game. The books had to limit some of that payout exposure as well as attract NO moneyline bets.
It's my assessment that the lopsided moneyline position is getting corrected, that we should see more and more money coming in on the Saints moneyline and with the spread consideration like it is, we could very well see a jump to 4.5.
The initial drop made me think it must be a New Orleans cover but truthfully the possibility of the upset is more than real and the books had to do something about it.
Good Luck whatever you bet.
This is an education lesson for a dumb shit such as you.
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